Kelly Weekly Sheet
NBA · Week 3 · Wed, Nov 4, 2026-27
Printed Mon, Nov 9, 9:46 AM ET · Kelly consensus over the books it follows
Open: Kelly's first consensus10 AM: edition, 10:00 AM ET on each game dayNow: consensus when printed
| # | Game | ET | Spread (favourite) | Total | At the books now | Mine | Notes | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fav | Open | 10 AM | Now | Moved | Open | 10 AM | Now | Circa | Pinnacle | Best | ||||||
| Wed, Nov 4 (14) | ||||||||||||||||
| 16 | PHI at DET Final 112–106 | 7:00 PM | DET | −1.5 | −2.5 | −2.5 close | 1 DET | 219.5 | 218.5 | 219.5 | — | — | — | PHI covered · under | ||
| 17 | ATL at WAS Final 120–105 | 7:00 PM | ATL | −1.5 | −2 | −2 close | 0.5 ATL | 234.5 | 232.5 | 230 | — | — | — | ATL covered · under | ||
| 18 | CHA at BKN Final 104–114 | 7:30 PM | CHA | −2.5 | −3.5 | −3.5 close | 1 CHA | 214.5 | 213.5 | 213.5 | — | — | — | BKN covered · over | ||
| 19 | MIL at BOS Final 102–109 | 7:30 PM | BOS | −11.5 | −11.5 | −11.5 close | — | 223.5 | 224.5 | 221.5 | — | — | — | MIL covered · under | ||
| 20 | CHI at NYK Final 105–135 | 7:30 PM | NYK | −12.5 | −11.5 | −12 close | 0.5 CHI | 232.5 | 234 | 234 | — | — | — | NYK covered · over | ||
| 21 | CLE at OKC Final 116–124 | 8:00 PM | OKC | −2.5 | −2.5 | −3.5 close | 1 OKC | 228.5 | 228.5 | 226.5 | — | — | — | OKC covered · over | ||
| 22 | IND at MEM Final 107–103 | 8:00 PM | MEM | −6.5 | −6.5 | −6.5 close | — | 230.5 | 228.5 | 228.5 | — | — | — | IND covered · under | ||
| 23 | UTA at NOP Final 113–120 | 8:00 PM | NOP | −4.5 | −5.5 | −4.5 close | — | 235.5 | 234 | 232 | — | — | — | NOP covered · over | ||
| 24 | MIN at HOU Final 117–107 | 8:30 PM | HOU | −8.5 | −8.5 | −7.5 close | 1 MIN | 223.5 | 220.5 | 219.5 | — | — | — | MIN covered · over | ||
| 25 | POR at PHX Final 132–119 | 9:00 PM | POR | −3.5 | −3 | −2.5 close | 1 PHX | 228.5 | 227.5 | 227.5 | — | — | — | POR covered · over | ||
| 26 | TOR at DEN Final 109–128 | 9:00 PM | DEN | −5.5 | −4.5 | −5 close | 0.5 TOR | 231.5 | 230.5 | 231.5 | — | — | — | DEN covered · over | ||
| 27 | DAL at SAS Final 111–112 | 9:30 PM | SAS | −12.5 | −11.5 | −12.5 close | — | 229.5 | 227.5 | 226.5 | — | — | — | DAL covered · under | ||
| 28 | LAL at SAC Final 116–103 | 10:00 PM | LAL | −11.5 | −11.5 | −12.5 close | 1 LAL | 237.5 | 234.5 | 233.5 | — | — | — | LAL covered · under | ||
| 29 | MIA at LAC Final 117–116 | 10:30 PM | MIA | −4.5 | −5 | −6.5 close | 2 MIA | 234.5 | 233.5 | 233.5 | — | — | — | LAC covered · under | ||
Kelly's numbers · NBA Week 3
Implied: each team's score from Kelly's consensus spread and total. ML: the consensus moneyline. Fav no-vig: the favourite's chance with the margin taken out. No Kelly line: every figure is the market's.
| # | Game | ET | Implied away | Implied home | Away ML | Home ML | Fav no-vig | Result | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Nov 4 (14) | ||||||||||
| 16 | PHI at DET Final 112–106 | 7:00 PM | 108.5 | 111 | +116 | −136 | DET 55.8% | PHI covered | 218 pts · under | |
| 17 | ATL at WAS Final 120–105 | 7:00 PM | 116 | 114 | −130 | +110 | ATL 54.6% | ATL covered | 225 pts · under | |
| 18 | CHA at BKN Final 104–114 | 7:30 PM | 108.5 | 105 | −167 | +141 | CHA 60.8% | BKN covered | 218 pts · over | |
| 19 | MIL at BOS Final 102–109 | 7:30 PM | 105 | 116.5 | +405 | −546 | BOS 83.1% | MIL covered | 211 pts · under | |
| 20 | CHI at NYK Final 105–135 | 7:30 PM | 111 | 123 | +441 | −604 | NYK 84.5% | NYK covered | 240 pts · over | |
| 21 | CLE at OKC Final 116–124 | 8:00 PM | 111.5 | 115 | +137 | −162 | OKC 60.0% | OKC covered | 240 pts · over | |
| 22 | IND at MEM Final 107–103 | 8:00 PM | 111 | 117.5 | +191 | −232 | MEM 68.1% | IND covered | 210 pts · under | |
| 23 | UTA at NOP Final 113–120 | 8:00 PM | 113.8 | 118.3 | +166 | −198 | NOP 64.7% | NOP covered | 233 pts · over | |
| 24 | MIN at HOU Final 117–107 | 8:30 PM | 106 | 113.5 | +224 | −276 | HOU 71.7% | MIN covered | 224 pts · over | |
| 25 | POR at PHX Final 132–119 | 9:00 PM | 115 | 112.5 | −145 | +123 | POR 57.3% | POR covered | 251 pts · over | |
| 26 | TOR at DEN Final 109–128 | 9:00 PM | 113.3 | 118.3 | +166 | −198 | DEN 64.7% | DEN covered | 237 pts · over | |
| 27 | DAL at SAS Final 111–112 | 9:30 PM | 107 | 119.5 | +440 | −613 | SAS 84.6% | DAL covered | 223 pts · under | |
| 28 | LAL at SAC Final 116–103 | 10:00 PM | 123 | 110.5 | −655 | +464 | LAL 85.4% | LAL covered | 219 pts · under | |
| 29 | MIA at LAC Final 117–116 | 10:30 PM | 120 | 113.5 | −221 | +183 | MIA 67.1% | LAC covered | 233 pts · under | |
- 16 · 7:00 PMPhiladelphia 76ers at Detroit Pistons
Final 112–106
Open 10 AM Close Circa Best DET −1.5 −2.5 −2.5 — — Total 219.5 218.5 219.5 — — PHI covered · under
- 17 · 7:00 PMAtlanta Hawks at Washington Wizards
Final 120–105
Open 10 AM Close Circa Best ATL −1.5 −2 −2 — — Total 234.5 232.5 230 — — ATL covered · under
- 18 · 7:30 PMCharlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets
Final 104–114
Open 10 AM Close Circa Best CHA −2.5 −3.5 −3.5 — — Total 214.5 213.5 213.5 — — BKN covered · over
- 19 · 7:30 PMMilwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics
Final 102–109
Open 10 AM Close Circa Best BOS −11.5 −11.5 −11.5 — — Total 223.5 224.5 221.5 — — MIL covered · under
- 20 · 7:30 PMChicago Bulls at New York Knicks
Final 105–135
Open 10 AM Close Circa Best NYK −12.5 −11.5 −12 — — Total 232.5 234 234 — — NYK covered · over
- 21 · 8:00 PMCleveland Cavaliers at Oklahoma City Thunder
Final 116–124
Open 10 AM Close Circa Best OKC −2.5 −2.5 −3.5 — — Total 228.5 228.5 226.5 — — OKC covered · over
- 22 · 8:00 PMIndiana Pacers at Memphis Grizzlies
Final 107–103
Open 10 AM Close Circa Best MEM −6.5 −6.5 −6.5 — — Total 230.5 228.5 228.5 — — IND covered · under
- 23 · 8:00 PMUtah Jazz at New Orleans Pelicans
Final 113–120
Open 10 AM Close Circa Best NOP −4.5 −5.5 −4.5 — — Total 235.5 234 232 — — NOP covered · over
- 24 · 8:30 PMMinnesota Timberwolves at Houston Rockets
Final 117–107
Open 10 AM Close Circa Best HOU −8.5 −8.5 −7.5 — — Total 223.5 220.5 219.5 — — MIN covered · over
- 25 · 9:00 PMPortland Trail Blazers at Phoenix Suns
Final 132–119
Open 10 AM Close Circa Best POR −3.5 −3 −2.5 — — Total 228.5 227.5 227.5 — — POR covered · over
- 26 · 9:00 PMToronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets
Final 109–128
Open 10 AM Close Circa Best DEN −5.5 −4.5 −5 — — Total 231.5 230.5 231.5 — — DEN covered · over
- 27 · 9:30 PMDallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs
Final 111–112
Open 10 AM Close Circa Best SAS −12.5 −11.5 −12.5 — — Total 229.5 227.5 226.5 — — DAL covered · under
- 28 · 10:00 PMLos Angeles Lakers at Sacramento Kings
Final 116–103
Open 10 AM Close Circa Best LAL −11.5 −11.5 −12.5 — — Total 237.5 234.5 233.5 — — LAL covered · under
- 29 · 10:30 PMMiami Heat at Los Angeles Clippers
Final 117–116
Open 10 AM Close Circa Best MIA −4.5 −5 −6.5 — — Total 234.5 233.5 233.5 — — LAC covered · under