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Kelly

New England Patriots

NFLRecord 5-4Home 3-1Away 2-3LWLWW

New England Patriots are 5-4 in the 2026 NFL season (3-1 at home, 2-3 away). They last lost to Packers 27-45 on Nov 8. Next: at Lions, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ET. Against the closing spread they are 3-4-2 (9 games), and 6-3 on the over/under (9 games). Kelly lists 95 players on the roster.

Next games (3)

Results (9)

23.4 points scored and 23 allowed per game over 9 games, 2026 season.

Betting record (9)

Straight up
5-4 (9 games)
Against the spread
3-4-2 (9 games)
Over/under
6-3 (9 games)
ATS at home
2-1-1 (4 games)
ATS away
1-3-1 (5 games)
ATS as favourite
2-2-1 (5 games)
ATS as underdog
1-2-1 (4 games)
O/U at home
3-1 (4 games)
O/U away
3-2 (5 games)
Average cover margin
-0.6 (9 games)

Closing lines: Kelly's closing consensus and nflverse's published close. Ties, pushes and games without a line are counted apart.

Closing lines (9)

DateOpponentScoreSpreadATSTotalO/U
Nov 8vs PackersL 27-45-3L44.5O
Nov 1at DolphinsW 24-19-7L41.5O
Oct 22at BearsL 24-30+3L50.5O
Oct 18vs JetsW 26-19-7P42.5O
Oct 11vs RaidersW 45-17-3.5W45.5O
Oct 4at BillsW 29-26+7W49.5O
Sep 27at JaguarsL 6-35+3L46.5U
Sep 20vs SteelersW 20-3-4.5W41.5U
Sep 9at SeahawksL 10-13+3P44.5U

Picks

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Season stats (1)

Pace
62.4
Plays
312
Epa per play
0.043
Games played
5
Success rate
0.452

Source kelly, 2026 regular

Information is the edge.

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