Opponent-adjusted success rate (CFBD WEPA)

Definition

Opponent-adjusted success rate (CFBD WEPA).

Known at

After final Known only after the game. Use it in a backward window, never as a same-game input.

Role

feature A value a model can read.

Dataset

Games One row: game_id

Type

percent · game · per game

Status

Available

Use in

Formula bar, API, MCP

How to read it

Formula bar

=matchup_adj_success_rate on a grid of game rows

Look it up

GET /v1/attribute-catalogue?q=matchup_adj_success_rate · MCP search_attributes

More in Games (120)

• luck_season Season the luck figures cover
• luck_through_week Last week the luck figures include
• luck_ties Ties
• luck_turnover_margin_per_game Takeaways minus giveaways per game
• luck_win_luck Wins minus Pythagorean wins (ties count half)
• luck_wins Wins
• matchup Each offense against the other defense (container)
• matchup_adj_epa_per_play Opponent-adjusted EPA per play (NFL: Kelly's ridge ratings; college: CFBD WEPA)
• matchup_adj_explosiveness Opponent-adjusted explosiveness (CFBD WEPA)
• matchup_adj_line_yards Opponent-adjusted line yards (CFBD WEPA)
• matchup_adj_pass_epa_per_play Opponent-adjusted EPA per dropback or pass play (NFL: Kelly's; college: CFBD WEPA)
• matchup_adj_rush_epa_per_play Opponent-adjusted EPA per run (NFL: Kelly's; college: CFBD WEPA)
• matchup_as_of When the source last served the college figures
• matchup_avg_start Average starting field position (CFBD)
• matchup_epa_per_play EPA per play
• matchup_explosive_rate Explosive play rate (20+ yard pass, 10+ yard run)
• matchup_explosiveness Explosiveness (CFBD: average EPA on successful plays)
• matchup_havoc_rate Havoc rate (CFBD)
• matchup_last4_epa_per_play EPA per play over the last four games
• matchup_last4_success_rate Success rate over the last four games
• matchup_line_yards Offensive line yards per carry (CFBD)
• matchup_net Net: the offense's figure minus what the defense allowed
• matchup_neutral_epa_per_play EPA per play with the offense's win probability 20-80%
• matchup_neutral_success_rate Success rate with the offense's win probability 20-80%

All (120) fields in Games