NFL Game Page Metric Catalogue

Columns (126)

Showing (126) of (126) · Every column on the game page

Column	Tables	Definition	Formula	Minimum	Status
Status	Injuries	Game status from the latest team report.	—	—	On the page
Injury	Injuries	Body part as reported.	—	—	On the page
Practice	Injuries	The latest practice participation: DNP, limited or full.	—	—	On the page
Changed	Injuries	When Kelly last saw this status change (ET).	—	—	On the page
Wed, Thu, Fri	Injuries	Practice by day.	—	—	Locked
Games missed	Injuries	Consecutive games missed going in.	—	—	Locked
Snap share	Injuries	His share of snaps this season.	—	—	Locked
Expected to play %	Injuries	Kelly's chance he plays.	—	—	Locked
1	Line score	Points in quarter 1.	—	—	Locked
2	Line score	Points in quarter 2.	—	—	Locked
3	Line score	Points in quarter 3.	—	—	Locked
4	Line score	Points in quarter 4.	—	—	Locked
Final	Line score	Final score (the score so far while live).	—	—	On the page
Close	Line score	The team's closing spread: Kelly's consensus close, else nflverse's published close.	—	—	On the page
ATS	Line score	Result against the closing spread: Covered, Missed or Push.	—	—	On the page
Total	Line score	The closing total.	—	—	On the page
O/U	Line score	Combined points against the closing total.	—	—	On the page
Completions	Player box score	Forward passes caught by a teammate.	—	—	On the page
Pass attempts	Player box score	Forward passes thrown, not counting sacks.	—	—	On the page
Completion %	Player box score	Completions per pass attempt.	Completions ÷ Attempts	dotted under 10 attempts	On the page
Passing yards	Player box score	Yards gained on completed passes, sacks excluded.	—	—	On the page
Passing touchdowns	Player box score	Touchdown passes thrown.	—	—	On the page
Interceptions thrown	Player box score	Passes thrown that the defense caught.	—	—	On the page
Sacks taken	Player box score	Times the passer was tackled behind the line on a pass play.	—	—	On the page
Yards per pass attempt	Player box score	Passing yards per attempt.	Passing yards ÷ Attempts	dotted under 10 attempts	On the page
Carries	Player box score	Running plays with the player as ball carrier.	—	—	On the page
Rushing yards	Player box score	Yards gained on rushing attempts.	—	—	On the page
Yards per carry	Player box score	Rushing yards per carry.	Rushing yards ÷ Carries	dotted under 5 carries	On the page
Rushing touchdowns	Player box score	Touchdowns scored on rushing attempts.	—	—	On the page
Longest rush	Player box score	Yards on the longest rushing attempt.	—	—	On the page
Targets	Player box score	Passes thrown to the player, caught or not (charted, not an official stat).	—	—	On the page
Receptions	Player box score	Passes caught.	—	—	On the page
Receiving yards	Player box score	Yards gained on receptions.	—	—	On the page
Receiving touchdowns	Player box score	Touchdowns scored on receptions.	—	—	On the page
Catch %	Player box score	Receptions per target.	Receptions ÷ Targets	dotted under 5 targets	On the page
Tackles	Player box score	Solo plus assisted tackles (charted by the scorers; never an official league stat).	—	—	On the page
Sacks	Player box score	Times the defender tackled the passer behind the line (half-sacks are 0.5).	—	—	On the page
Interceptions caught	Player box score	Opponent passes the defender caught.	—	—	On the page
Passes defended	Player box score	Passes the defender deflected or caught (charted).	—	—	On the page
Field goals made	Player box score	Field goals kicked through.	—	—	On the page
Field goals attempted	Player box score	Field-goal attempts.	—	—	On the page
Extra points made	Player box score	Point-after kicks made.	—	—	On the page
Kicking points	Player box score	Points from field goals and extra points.	—	—	On the page
Half-PPR points	Player box score	Kelly's points in the public Half-PPR format, scored by Kelly's engine from the box score (offensive players and kickers; no team defenses).	—	—	On the page
PPR points	Player box score	Kelly's points in the public PPR format, scored by Kelly's engine from the box score (offensive players and kickers; no team defenses).	—	—	On the page
Standard points	Player box score	Kelly's points in the public Standard format, scored by Kelly's engine from the box score (offensive players and kickers; no team defenses).	—	—	On the page
Snaps	Player box score	Offensive or defensive snaps played.	—	—	Locked
Routes run	Player box score	Pass routes run.	—	—	Locked
Pressures	Player box score	Quarterback pressures.	—	—	Locked
Separation	Player box score	Average separation at the catch.	—	—	Locked
Target share	Player box score	His share of team targets in this game.	—	—	Locked
EPA per play	Player box score	Expected points added per play he was part of.	—	—	Locked
Line	Market board	Kelly consensus line now (the close at the final).	—	—	On the page
Price	Market board	Kelly consensus price, American odds.	—	—	On the page
No-vig	Market board	The chance the price implies after removing the sportsbook margin.	Implied ÷ (Implied this side + Implied other side)	—	On the page
Hold	Market board	The sportsbook margin in the pair of prices (median across books).	Implied this side + Implied other side − 1	—	On the page
Open	Market board	Kelly consensus line at the open: the first consensus Kelly could compute.	—	—	On the page
Line move	Market board, Player props	Line now minus the open.	Line − Open	—	On the page
Books	Market board	US sportsbooks in the consensus at this line.	—	—	On the page
Last change	Market board	When the newest book update behind the consensus arrived.	—	—	On the page
Graded	Market board	Won, lost or push at the final against the closing line. Fills at the final.	—	—	On the page
DraftKings	Market board	DraftKings's own price.	—	—	Locked
FanDuel	Market board	FanDuel's own price.	—	—	Locked
BetMGM	Market board	BetMGM's own price.	—	—	Locked
Caesars	Market board	Caesars's own price.	—	—	Locked
ESPN BET	Market board	ESPN BET's own price.	—	—	Locked
Fanatics	Market board	Fanatics's own price.	—	—	Locked
BetRivers	Market board	BetRivers's own price.	—	—	Locked
Hard Rock Bet	Market board	Hard Rock Bet's own price.	—	—	Locked
bet365	Market board	bet365's own price.	—	—	Locked
Best price	Market board	The best price across books.	—	—	Locked
Bet % and handle %	Market board	Share of bets and money on each side.	—	—	Locked
Time	Every line move	When Kelly's consensus changed.	—	—	On the page
From	Every line move	Consensus before the change (points; cents for a moneyline).	—	—	On the page
To	Every line move	Consensus after the change.	—	—	On the page
Change	Every line move	To minus from.	To − From	—	On the page
Books	Every line move	Books in the consensus after the change.	—	—	On the page
Moved first	Every line move	Which group of books moved first.	—	—	Locked
G	Betting results	Finals in this row.	—	—	On the page
W-L	Betting results	Straight-up record.	—	—	On the page
ATS	Betting results	Against the closing spread: covers, losses, pushes.	—	—	On the page
Cover %	Betting results	Covers per decided game (pushes left out). Hover for the count and 95% range.	Covers ÷ (Covers + Losses)	dotted under 5 decided games	On the page
O/U	Betting results	Over-under against the closing total.	—	—	On the page
Over %	Betting results	Overs per decided game.	Overs ÷ (Overs + Unders)	dotted under 5 decided games	On the page
Avg vs spread	Betting results	Average margin plus the closing spread; positive beat the number.	Σ (Margin + Spread) ÷ G	—	On the page
Line	Player props	Kelly consensus line. Anytime TD shows 0.5 (one or more).	—	—	On the page
Over	Player props	Consensus over (or yes) price, American odds.	—	—	On the page
Under	Player props	Consensus under (or no) price, American odds.	—	—	On the page
No-vig over	Player props	Chance of the over after removing the sportsbook margin.	Implied over ÷ (Implied over + Implied under)	—	On the page
Open	Player props	Consensus line at the open.	—	—	On the page
Books	Player props	Sportsbooks in the consensus.	—	—	On the page
L10 hits	Player props	Games over this line in his last 10 played, with the count.	—	—	On the page
L10 hit %	Player props	Hit rate over his last 10 played. Hover for the count and 95% range.	—	dotted under 5 games	On the page
Season hits	Player props	Games over this line this season, with the count.	—	—	On the page
Season hit %	Player props	Hit rate this season. Hover for the count and 95% range.	—	dotted under 5 games	On the page
Result	Player props	His stat in this game (so far while live).	—	—	On the page
O/U	Player props	Result against the line. Fills at the final.	—	—	On the page
DraftKings	Player props	DraftKings's own price.	—	—	Locked
FanDuel	Player props	FanDuel's own price.	—	—	Locked
BetMGM	Player props	BetMGM's own price.	—	—	Locked
Caesars	Player props	Caesars's own price.	—	—	Locked
ESPN BET	Player props	ESPN BET's own price.	—	—	Locked
Fanatics	Player props	Fanatics's own price.	—	—	Locked
BetRivers	Player props	BetRivers's own price.	—	—	Locked
Hard Rock Bet	Player props	Hard Rock Bet's own price.	—	—	Locked
bet365	Player props	bet365's own price.	—	—	Locked
Prop CLV	Player props	Closing line value on the prop.	—	—	Locked
Kelly projection vs line	Player props	Kelly's projection beside the line.	—	—	Locked
Avg vs opponent	Player props	His average for this stat against this opponent.	—	—	Locked
Opp rank vs pos	Player props	The opponent's rank of 32 against the position on this stat.	—	—	Locked
G	Fantasy	Games he played this season before this one.	—	—	On the page
Half PPR/G	Fantasy	Half-PPR points per game this season.	Σ points ÷ G	—	On the page
PPR/G	Fantasy	PPR points per game this season.	Σ points ÷ G	—	On the page
Std/G	Fantasy	Standard points per game this season.	Σ points ÷ G	—	On the page
Half PPR, last 3	Fantasy	Half-PPR points per game over his last three games.	Σ last 3 ÷ 3	dotted under 3 games	On the page
Half PPR, this game	Fantasy	Half-PPR points in this game. Fills at kickoff.	—	—	On the page
PPR, this game	Fantasy	PPR points in this game.	—	—	On the page
Std, this game	Fantasy	Standard points in this game.	—	—	On the page
Projected	Fantasy	Kelly's projection for this game.	—	—	Locked
80% range	Fantasy	Kelly's 80% range.	—	—	Locked
Week rank	Fantasy	Projected rank at his position this week.	—	—	Locked
Prop-implied	Fantasy	Points implied by his consensus prop lines.	—	—	Locked
Opp vs pos	Fantasy	Opponent rank of 32 in fantasy points allowed to his position.	—	—	Locked
Rostered %	Fantasy	Platform rostership.	—	—	Locked
Started %	Fantasy	Platform start rates.	—	—	Locked
Expert consensus rank	Fantasy	FantasyPros ECR.	—	—	Locked

Source: Kelly metric catalogue

Engine views still to come (12)

game.team_compare: Game: Team comparison (points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties, ATS beside the ranks)
game.unit_vs_unit: Game: Unit against unit (rank gap)
game.injuries: Game: Injuries (practice by day, games missed, usage share)
game.box_players: Box score: Player stats (target share, aDOT, EPA per play, success rate per player)
game.line_score: Box score: Line score (points by quarter)
game.scoring_plays: Box score: Scoring plays
game.drives: Box score: Drives and the win-probability chart
game.team_box: Box score: Team stats (the NFL average per team game)
game.line_history: Odds: Line history before Kelly's own consensus log (books moved, who moved first)
game.props: Props: average against the opponent, opponent rank against the position
player.prop_history: Props: Prop history (each game against the line Kelly graded it at)
game.fantasy: Fantasy: Kelly projection, 80% range, week rank, prop-implied points, opponent rank vs position