Kelly Weekly Sheet
NBA · Week 4 · Mon, Nov 9, 2026-27
Printed Mon, Nov 9, 5:10 PM ET · Kelly consensus over the books it follows
Open: Kelly's first consensus10 AM: edition, 10:00 AM ET on each game dayNow: consensus when printed
| # | Game | ET | Spread (favourite) | Total | At the books now | Mine | Notes | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fav | Open | 10 AM | Now | Moved | Open | 10 AM | Now | Circa | Pinnacle | Best | ||||||
| Mon, Nov 9 (8) | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | LAL at ATL | 7:00 PM | ATL | +2.5 | +1.5 | −1.5 | 4 ATL | 235.5 | 236.5 | 236.5 | — | −1.5 −108 | −1.5 −105 Caesars | Fav flipped | ||
| 2 | CLE at CHA | 7:00 PM | CLE | −8.5 | −9 | −8.5 | — | 216.5 | 214.5 | 214.5 | — | −8.5 −105 | −8.5 −105 Pinnacle | |||
| 3 | WAS at DET | 7:00 PM | DET | −10.5 | −10.5 | −10.5 | — | 218.5 | 218 | 219.5 | — | −10.5 +100 | −10.5 +100 Pinnacle | |||
| 4 | MEM at TOR | 7:30 PM | TOR | −3.5 | −3 | −2.5 | 1 MEM | 229.5 | 230.5 | 228.5 | — | −3 +100 | −2.5 −108 FanDuel | |||
| 5 | IND at DAL | 8:00 PM | DAL | −3.5 | −3.5 | −4 | 0.5 DAL | 221.5 | 222.5 | 226.5 | — | −4 −109 | −4 −109 Pinnacle | |||
| 6 | DEN at HOU | 8:30 PM | HOU | −4.5 | −8.5 | −4.5 | — | 222.5 | 217.5 | 223.5 | — | −4 −111 | −4.5 +100 ESPN BET | |||
| 7 | SAS at PHX | 9:00 PM | SAS | −7.5 | −8.5 | −8.5 | 1 SAS | 225.5 | 227.5 | 226 | — | −8.5 −108 | −8.5 −105 ESPN BET | |||
| 8 | NOP at GSW | 10:00 PM | GSW | −9.5 | −9.5 | −9.5 | — | 231.5 | 232 | 231.5 | — | −9.5 −108 | −9.5 −108 Pinnacle | |||
Kelly's numbers · NBA Week 4
Implied: each team's score from Kelly's consensus spread and total. ML: the consensus moneyline. Fav no-vig: the favourite's chance with the margin taken out. No Kelly line: every figure is the market's.
| # | Game | ET | Implied away | Implied home | Away ML | Home ML | Fav no-vig | Result | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Nov 9 (8) | ||||||||||
| 1 | LAL at ATL | 7:00 PM | 117.5 | 119 | +107 | −126 | ATL 53.8% | — | — | |
| 2 | CLE at CHA | 7:00 PM | 111.5 | 103 | −342 | +275 | CLE 75.9% | — | — | |
| 3 | WAS at DET | 7:00 PM | 104.5 | 115 | +378 | −504 | DET 82.0% | — | — | |
| 4 | MEM at TOR | 7:30 PM | 113 | 115.5 | +120 | −142 | TOR 56.7% | — | — | |
| 5 | IND at DAL | 8:00 PM | 111.3 | 115.3 | +145 | −172 | DAL 61.4% | — | — | |
| 6 | DEN at HOU | 8:30 PM | 109.5 | 114 | +149 | −175 | HOU 62.0% | — | — | |
| 7 | SAS at PHX | 9:00 PM | 117.3 | 108.8 | −363 | +288 | SAS 76.9% | — | — | |
| 8 | NOP at GSW | 10:00 PM | 111 | 120.5 | +340 | −442 | GSW 80.1% | — | — | |
- 1 · 7:00 PMLos Angeles Lakers at Atlanta Hawks
Open 10 AM Now Circa Best ATL +2.5 +1.5 −1.5 — −1.5 −105 Total 235.5 236.5 236.5 — 236.5 −105 Fav flipped
- 2 · 7:00 PMCleveland Cavaliers at Charlotte Hornets
Open 10 AM Now Circa Best CLE −8.5 −9 −8.5 — −8.5 −105 Total 216.5 214.5 214.5 — 214.5 −110 - 3 · 7:00 PMWashington Wizards at Detroit Pistons
Open 10 AM Now Circa Best DET −10.5 −10.5 −10.5 — −10.5 +100 Total 218.5 218 219.5 — 219.5 −105 - 4 · 7:30 PMMemphis Grizzlies at Toronto Raptors
Open 10 AM Now Circa Best TOR −3.5 −3 −2.5 — −2.5 −108 Total 229.5 230.5 228.5 — 228.5 −108 - 5 · 8:00 PMIndiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks
Open 10 AM Now Circa Best DAL −3.5 −3.5 −4 — −4 −109 Total 221.5 222.5 226.5 — 226.5 −105 - 6 · 8:30 PMDenver Nuggets at Houston Rockets
Open 10 AM Now Circa Best HOU −4.5 −8.5 −4.5 — −4.5 +100 Total 222.5 217.5 223.5 — 223.5 −108 - 7 · 9:00 PMSan Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns
Open 10 AM Now Circa Best SAS −7.5 −8.5 −8.5 — −8.5 −105 Total 225.5 227.5 226 — 226 +100 - 8 · 10:00 PMNew Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors
Open 10 AM Now Circa Best GSW −9.5 −9.5 −9.5 — −9.5 −108 Total 231.5 232 231.5 — 231.5 −105