Kelly Weekly Sheet
NFL · Week 1 · Wed Sep 9 – Mon Sep 14, 2026
Printed Mon, Nov 9, 12:57 PM ET · Kelly consensus over the books it follows
Open: Kelly's first consensusMon: edition, Sep 7 10:00 AM ETNow: consensus when printed
| # | Game | ET | Spread (favourite) | Total | At the books now | Mine | Notes | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fav | Open | Mon | Now | Moved | Open | Mon | Now | Circa | Pinnacle | Best | ||||||
| Wed, Sep 9 (1) | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | NE at SEA Final 10–13 | 8:20 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| Thu, Sep 10 (1) | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | SF vs LA Final 27–7 | 8:35 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| Sun, Sep 13 (13) | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | TB at CIN Final 27–33 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 4 | NO at DET Final 30–31 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 5 | NYJ at TEN Final 23–10 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 6 | ATL at PIT Final 13–20 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 7 | BUF at HOU Final 36–31 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 8 | BAL at IND Final 41–23 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 9 | CLE at JAX Final 10–34 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 10 | CHI at CAR Final 59–37 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 11 | WAS at PHI Final 22–24 | 4:25 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 12 | ARI at LAC Final 26–14 | 4:25 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 13 | MIA at LV Final 13–27 | 4:25 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 14 | GB at MIN Final 22–39 | 4:25 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 15 | DAL at NYG Final 20–28 | 8:20 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| Mon, Sep 14 (1) | ||||||||||||||||
| 16 | DEN at KC Final 10–31 | 8:15 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
Kelly's numbers · NFL Week 1
Implied: each team's score from Kelly's consensus spread and total. ML: the consensus moneyline. Fav no-vig: the favourite's chance with the margin taken out. No Kelly line: every figure is the market's.
| # | Game | ET | Implied away | Implied home | Away ML | Home ML | Fav no-vig | Result | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Sep 9 (1) | ||||||||||
| 1 | NE at SEA Final 10–13 | 8:20 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23 pts | |
| Thu, Sep 10 (1) | ||||||||||
| 2 | SF vs LA Final 27–7 | 8:35 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 34 pts | |
| Sun, Sep 13 (13) | ||||||||||
| 3 | TB at CIN Final 27–33 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60 pts | |
| 4 | NO at DET Final 30–31 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 61 pts | |
| 5 | NYJ at TEN Final 23–10 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 33 pts | |
| 6 | ATL at PIT Final 13–20 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 33 pts | |
| 7 | BUF at HOU Final 36–31 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 67 pts | |
| 8 | BAL at IND Final 41–23 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 64 pts | |
| 9 | CLE at JAX Final 10–34 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 44 pts | |
| 10 | CHI at CAR Final 59–37 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 96 pts | |
| 11 | WAS at PHI Final 22–24 | 4:25 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46 pts | |
| 12 | ARI at LAC Final 26–14 | 4:25 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40 pts | |
| 13 | MIA at LV Final 13–27 | 4:25 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40 pts | |
| 14 | GB at MIN Final 22–39 | 4:25 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 61 pts | |
| 15 | DAL at NYG Final 20–28 | 8:20 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 48 pts | |
| Mon, Sep 14 (1) | ||||||||||
| 16 | DEN at KC Final 10–31 | 8:15 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 41 pts | |
- 1 · 8:20 PMPatriots at Seahawks
Final 10–13
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 2 · 8:35 PM49ers at Rams
Final 27–7
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 3 · 1:00 PMBuccaneers at Bengals
Final 27–33
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 4 · 1:00 PMSaints at Lions
Final 30–31
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 5 · 1:00 PMJets at Titans
Final 23–10
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 6 · 1:00 PMFalcons at Steelers
Final 13–20
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 7 · 1:00 PMBills at Texans
Final 36–31
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 8 · 1:00 PMRavens at Colts
Final 41–23
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 9 · 1:00 PMBrowns at Jaguars
Final 10–34
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 10 · 1:00 PMBears at Panthers
Final 59–37
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 11 · 4:25 PMCommanders at Eagles
Final 22–24
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 12 · 4:25 PMCardinals at Chargers
Final 26–14
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 13 · 4:25 PMDolphins at Raiders
Final 13–27
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 14 · 4:25 PMPackers at Vikings
Final 22–39
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 15 · 8:20 PMCowboys at Giants
Final 20–28
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 16 · 8:15 PMBroncos at Chiefs
Final 10–31
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — —