Kelly Weekly Sheet
NFL · Week 4 · Thu Oct 1 – Mon Oct 5, 2026
Printed Mon, Nov 9, 11:03 AM ET · Kelly consensus over the books it follows
Open: Kelly's first consensusMon: edition, Sep 28 10:00 AM ETNow: consensus when printed
| # | Game | ET | Spread (favourite) | Total | At the books now | Mine | Notes | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fav | Open | Mon | Now | Moved | Open | Mon | Now | Circa | Pinnacle | Best | ||||||
| Thu, Oct 1 (1) | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | PIT at CLE Final 24–27 | 8:15 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| Sun, Oct 4 (14) | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | IND vs WAS Final 30–13 | 9:30 AM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 3 | NE at BUF Final 29–26 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 4 | NYJ at CHI Final 12–23 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 5 | LA at PHI Final 24–20 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 6 | TEN at BAL Final 18–24 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 7 | DAL at HOU Final 34–30 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 8 | GB at TB Final 17–14 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 9 | ARI at NYG Final 24–36 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 10 | JAX at CIN Final 22–17 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 11 | MIA at MIN Final 10–15 | 4:05 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 12 | KC at LV Final 30–27 | 4:25 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 13 | LAC at SEA Final 23–30 | 4:25 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 14 | DEN at SF Final 14–24 | 4:25 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 15 | DET at CAR Final 26–32 | 8:20 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| Mon, Oct 5 (1) | ||||||||||||||||
| 16 | ATL at NO Final 45–24 | 8:15 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
Kelly's numbers · NFL Week 4
Implied: each team's score from Kelly's consensus spread and total. ML: the consensus moneyline. Fav no-vig: the favourite's chance with the margin taken out. No Kelly line: every figure is the market's.
| # | Game | ET | Implied away | Implied home | Away ML | Home ML | Fav no-vig | Result | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 1 (1) | ||||||||||
| 1 | PIT at CLE Final 24–27 | 8:15 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 51 pts | |
| Sun, Oct 4 (14) | ||||||||||
| 2 | IND vs WAS Final 30–13 | 9:30 AM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43 pts | |
| 3 | NE at BUF Final 29–26 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 55 pts | |
| 4 | NYJ at CHI Final 12–23 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 35 pts | |
| 5 | LA at PHI Final 24–20 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 44 pts | |
| 6 | TEN at BAL Final 18–24 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 42 pts | |
| 7 | DAL at HOU Final 34–30 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 64 pts | |
| 8 | GB at TB Final 17–14 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 31 pts | |
| 9 | ARI at NYG Final 24–36 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 60 pts | |
| 10 | JAX at CIN Final 22–17 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 39 pts | |
| 11 | MIA at MIN Final 10–15 | 4:05 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25 pts | |
| 12 | KC at LV Final 30–27 | 4:25 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 57 pts | |
| 13 | LAC at SEA Final 23–30 | 4:25 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53 pts | |
| 14 | DEN at SF Final 14–24 | 4:25 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 38 pts | |
| 15 | DET at CAR Final 26–32 | 8:20 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 58 pts | |
| Mon, Oct 5 (1) | ||||||||||
| 16 | ATL at NO Final 45–24 | 8:15 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 69 pts | |
- 1 · 8:15 PMSteelers at Browns
Final 24–27
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 2 · 9:30 AMColts at Commanders
Final 30–13
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 3 · 1:00 PMPatriots at Bills
Final 29–26
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 4 · 1:00 PMJets at Bears
Final 12–23
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 5 · 1:00 PMRams at Eagles
Final 24–20
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 6 · 1:00 PMTitans at Ravens
Final 18–24
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 7 · 1:00 PMCowboys at Texans
Final 34–30
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 8 · 1:00 PMPackers at Buccaneers
Final 17–14
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 9 · 1:00 PMCardinals at Giants
Final 24–36
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 10 · 1:00 PMJaguars at Bengals
Final 22–17
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 11 · 4:05 PMDolphins at Vikings
Final 10–15
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 12 · 4:25 PMChiefs at Raiders
Final 30–27
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 13 · 4:25 PMChargers at Seahawks
Final 23–30
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 14 · 4:25 PMBroncos at 49ers
Final 14–24
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 15 · 8:20 PMLions at Panthers
Final 26–32
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 16 · 8:15 PMFalcons at Saints
Final 45–24
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — —