Kelly Weekly Sheet
NFL · Week 5 · Thu Oct 8 – Mon Oct 12, 2026
Printed Mon, Nov 9, 10:43 AM ET · Kelly consensus over the books it follows
Open: Kelly's first consensusMon: edition, Oct 5 10:00 AM ETNow: consensus when printed
| # | Game | ET | Spread (favourite) | Total | At the books now | Mine | Notes | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fav | Open | Mon | Now | Moved | Open | Mon | Now | Circa | Pinnacle | Best | ||||||
| Thu, Oct 8 (1) | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | TB at DAL Final 24–16 | 8:15 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| Sun, Oct 11 (13) | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | PHI vs JAX Final 17–19 | 9:30 AM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 3 | IND at PIT Final 22–34 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 4 | CLE at NYJ Final 12–17 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 5 | LV at NE Final 17–45 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 6 | CIN at MIA Final 31–24 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 7 | MIN at NO Final 23–13 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 8 | HOU at TEN Final 26–3 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 9 | NYG at WAS Final 27–27 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 10 | CHI at GB Final 7–31 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 11 | DEN at LAC Final 23–17 | 4:05 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 12 | SF at SEA Final 32–29 | 4:25 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 13 | DET at ARI Final 45–21 | 4:25 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 14 | BAL at ATL Final 30–23 | 8:20 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| Mon, Oct 12 (1) | ||||||||||||||||
| 15 | BUF at LA Final 37–34 | 8:15 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
Kelly's numbers · NFL Week 5
Implied: each team's score from Kelly's consensus spread and total. ML: the consensus moneyline. Fav no-vig: the favourite's chance with the margin taken out. No Kelly line: every figure is the market's.
| # | Game | ET | Implied away | Implied home | Away ML | Home ML | Fav no-vig | Result | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 8 (1) | ||||||||||
| 1 | TB at DAL Final 24–16 | 8:15 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40 pts | |
| Sun, Oct 11 (13) | ||||||||||
| 2 | PHI vs JAX Final 17–19 | 9:30 AM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 36 pts | |
| 3 | IND at PIT Final 22–34 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 56 pts | |
| 4 | CLE at NYJ Final 12–17 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 29 pts | |
| 5 | LV at NE Final 17–45 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 62 pts | |
| 6 | CIN at MIA Final 31–24 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 55 pts | |
| 7 | MIN at NO Final 23–13 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 36 pts | |
| 8 | HOU at TEN Final 26–3 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 29 pts | |
| 9 | NYG at WAS Final 27–27 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 54 pts | |
| 10 | CHI at GB Final 7–31 | 1:00 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 38 pts | |
| 11 | DEN at LAC Final 23–17 | 4:05 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40 pts | |
| 12 | SF at SEA Final 32–29 | 4:25 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 61 pts | |
| 13 | DET at ARI Final 45–21 | 4:25 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 66 pts | |
| 14 | BAL at ATL Final 30–23 | 8:20 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53 pts | |
| Mon, Oct 12 (1) | ||||||||||
| 15 | BUF at LA Final 37–34 | 8:15 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 71 pts | |
- 1 · 8:15 PMBuccaneers at Cowboys
Final 24–16
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 2 · 9:30 AMEagles at Jaguars
Final 17–19
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 3 · 1:00 PMColts at Steelers
Final 22–34
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 4 · 1:00 PMBrowns at Jets
Final 12–17
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 5 · 1:00 PMRaiders at Patriots
Final 17–45
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 6 · 1:00 PMBengals at Dolphins
Final 31–24
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 7 · 1:00 PMVikings at Saints
Final 23–13
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 8 · 1:00 PMTexans at Titans
Final 26–3
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 9 · 1:00 PMGiants at Commanders
Final 27–27
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 10 · 1:00 PMBears at Packers
Final 7–31
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 11 · 4:05 PMBroncos at Chargers
Final 23–17
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 12 · 4:25 PM49ers at Seahawks
Final 32–29
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 13 · 4:25 PMLions at Cardinals
Final 45–21
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 14 · 8:20 PMRavens at Falcons
Final 30–23
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 15 · 8:15 PMBills at Rams
Final 37–34
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — —