Kelly Weekly Sheet
NFL · Week 6 · Thu Oct 15 – Mon Oct 19, 2026
Printed Mon, Nov 9, 10:36 AM ET · Kelly consensus over the books it follows
Open: Kelly's first consensusMon: edition, Oct 12 10:00 AM ETNow: consensus when printed
| # | Game | ET | Spread (favourite) | Total | At the books now | Mine | Notes | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fav | Open | Mon | Now | Moved | Open | Mon | Now | Circa | Pinnacle | Best | ||||||
| Thu, Oct 15 (1) | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | SEA at DEN Final 14–17 | 8:15 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| Sun, Oct 18 (12) | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | HOU vs JAX Final 34–31 | 9:30 AM | JAX | −2.5 | — | −2.5 close | — | 42.5 | — | 42 | — | — | — | HOU covered · over | ||
| 3 | NO at NYG Final 34–27 | 1:00 PM | NO | 0 | — | −1 close | 1 NO | 46 | — | 46.5 | — | — | — | NO covered · over · Crossed 1 | ||
| 4 | PIT at TB Final 26–19 | 1:00 PM | PIT | −2.5 | — | −2.5 close | — | 39.5 | — | 38 | — | — | — | PIT covered · over | ||
| 5 | NYJ at NE Final 19–26 | 1:00 PM | NE | −7 | — | −7 close | — | 43.5 | — | 42.5 | — | — | — | Push · over | ||
| 6 | BAL at CLE Final 10–13 | 1:00 PM | BAL | −3.5 | — | −3 close | 0.5 CLE | 41 | — | 39.5 | — | — | — | CLE covered · under · Crossed 3 | ||
| 7 | TEN at IND Final 26–20 | 1:00 PM | IND | −7 | — | −6.5 close | 0.5 TEN | 44.5 | — | 43.5 | — | — | — | TEN covered · over · Crossed 7 | ||
| 8 | CAR at PHI Final 25–14 | 1:00 PM | CAR | −3.5 | — | −3 close | 0.5 PHI | 39 | — | 39 | — | — | — | CAR covered · total push · Crossed 3 | ||
| 9 | CHI at ATL Final 31–23 | 1:00 PM | CHI | −1 | — | −1 close | — | 51.5 | — | 51 | — | — | — | CHI covered · over | ||
| 10 | ARI at LA Final 18–16 | 4:05 PM | LA | −12.5 | — | −13 close | 0.5 LA | 51.5 | — | 51 | — | — | — | ARI covered · under · Crossed 13 | ||
| 11 | LAC at KC Final 6–22 | 4:25 PM | KC | −7.5 | — | −7.5 close | — | 41.5 | — | 41.5 | — | — | — | KC covered · under | ||
| 12 | BUF at LV Final 33–30 | 4:25 PM | BUF | −4.5 | — | −4.5 close | — | 53.5 | — | 54 | — | — | — | LV covered · over | ||
| 13 | DAL at GB Final 13–23 | 8:20 PM | DAL | +1.5 | — | −1 close | 2.5 DAL | 53 | — | 54 | — | — | — | GB covered · under · Crossed 1 · Fav flipped | ||
| Mon, Oct 19 (1) | ||||||||||||||||
| 14 | WAS at SF Final 17–23 | 8:15 PM | SF | −7.5 | — | −7 close | 0.5 WAS | 51.5 | — | 51.5 | — | — | — | WAS covered · under · Crossed 7 | ||
Kelly's numbers · NFL Week 6
Implied: each team's score from Kelly's consensus spread and total. ML: the consensus moneyline. Fav no-vig: the favourite's chance with the margin taken out. No Kelly line: every figure is the market's.
| # | Game | ET | Implied away | Implied home | Away ML | Home ML | Fav no-vig | Result | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 15 (1) | ||||||||||
| 1 | SEA at DEN Final 14–17 | 8:15 PM | — | — | — | — | — | — | 31 pts | |
| Sun, Oct 18 (12) | ||||||||||
| 2 | HOU vs JAX Final 34–31 | 9:30 AM | 19.8 | 22.3 | +115 | −137 | JAX 55.8% | HOU covered | 65 pts · over | |
| 3 | NO at NYG Final 34–27 | 1:00 PM | 23.8 | 22.8 | −112 | −107 | NO 50.6% | NO covered | 61 pts · over | |
| 4 | PIT at TB Final 26–19 | 1:00 PM | 20.3 | 17.8 | −140 | +118 | PIT 56.4% | PIT covered | 45 pts · over | |
| 5 | NYJ at NE Final 19–26 | 1:00 PM | 17.8 | 24.8 | +280 | −351 | NE 76.3% | Push | 45 pts · over | |
| 6 | BAL at CLE Final 10–13 | 1:00 PM | 21.3 | 18.3 | −174 | +147 | BAL 61.7% | CLE covered | 23 pts · under | |
| 7 | TEN at IND Final 26–20 | 1:00 PM | 18.5 | 25 | +242 | −300 | IND 73.4% | TEN covered | 46 pts · over | |
| 8 | CAR at PHI Final 25–14 | 1:00 PM | 21 | 18 | −165 | +141 | CAR 60.6% | CAR covered | 39 pts · push | |
| 9 | CHI at ATL Final 31–23 | 1:00 PM | 26 | 25 | −116 | −103 | CHI 51.5% | CHI covered | 54 pts · over | |
| 10 | ARI at LA Final 18–16 | 4:05 PM | 19 | 32 | +581 | −855 | LA 88.3% | ARI covered | 34 pts · under | |
| 11 | LAC at KC Final 6–22 | 4:25 PM | 17 | 24.5 | +318 | −409 | KC 78.8% | KC covered | 28 pts · under | |
| 12 | BUF at LV Final 33–30 | 4:25 PM | 29.3 | 24.8 | −236 | +195 | BUF 68.5% | LV covered | 63 pts · over | |
| 13 | DAL at GB Final 13–23 | 8:20 PM | 27.5 | 26.5 | −117 | −103 | DAL 51.6% | GB covered | 36 pts · under | |
| Mon, Oct 19 (1) | ||||||||||
| 14 | WAS at SF Final 17–23 | 8:15 PM | 22.3 | 29.3 | +296 | −375 | SF 77.4% | WAS covered | 40 pts · under | |
- 1 · 8:15 PMSeahawks at Broncos
Final 14–17
Open Mon Close Circa Best Pick'em — — — — — Total — — — — — - 2 · 9:30 AMTexans at Jaguars
Final 34–31
Open Mon Close Circa Best JAX −2.5 — −2.5 — — Total 42.5 — 42 — — HOU covered · over
- 3 · 1:00 PMSaints at Giants
Final 34–27
Open Mon Close Circa Best NO 0 — −1 — — Total 46 — 46.5 — — NO covered · over · Crossed 1
- 4 · 1:00 PMSteelers at Buccaneers
Final 26–19
Open Mon Close Circa Best PIT −2.5 — −2.5 — — Total 39.5 — 38 — — PIT covered · over
- 5 · 1:00 PMJets at Patriots
Final 19–26
Open Mon Close Circa Best NE −7 — −7 — — Total 43.5 — 42.5 — — Push · over
- 6 · 1:00 PMRavens at Browns
Final 10–13
Open Mon Close Circa Best BAL −3.5 — −3 — — Total 41 — 39.5 — — CLE covered · under · Crossed 3
- 7 · 1:00 PMTitans at Colts
Final 26–20
Open Mon Close Circa Best IND −7 — −6.5 — — Total 44.5 — 43.5 — — TEN covered · over · Crossed 7
- 8 · 1:00 PMPanthers at Eagles
Final 25–14
Open Mon Close Circa Best CAR −3.5 — −3 — — Total 39 — 39 — — CAR covered · total push · Crossed 3
- 9 · 1:00 PMBears at Falcons
Final 31–23
Open Mon Close Circa Best CHI −1 — −1 — — Total 51.5 — 51 — — CHI covered · over
- 10 · 4:05 PMCardinals at Rams
Final 18–16
Open Mon Close Circa Best LA −12.5 — −13 — — Total 51.5 — 51 — — ARI covered · under · Crossed 13
- 11 · 4:25 PMChargers at Chiefs
Final 6–22
Open Mon Close Circa Best KC −7.5 — −7.5 — — Total 41.5 — 41.5 — — KC covered · under
- 12 · 4:25 PMBills at Raiders
Final 33–30
Open Mon Close Circa Best BUF −4.5 — −4.5 — — Total 53.5 — 54 — — LV covered · over
- 13 · 8:20 PMCowboys at Packers
Final 13–23
Open Mon Close Circa Best DAL +1.5 — −1 — — Total 53 — 54 — — GB covered · under · Crossed 1 · Fav flipped
- 14 · 8:15 PMCommanders at 49ers
Final 17–23
Open Mon Close Circa Best SF −7.5 — −7 — — Total 51.5 — 51.5 — — WAS covered · under · Crossed 7