NFL Week 7 sheet

Wk 8 ›

Thu Oct 22 – Mon Oct 26 · Games (14) · Final (14) · Live (0) · On bye (4): BUF JAX LAC WAS

Pool sheet

By kickoff Moved most

Open: Kelly's first consensusMon: edition, Oct 19 10:00 AM ETNow: connectingNow: consensus when printed

#	Game	ET	Ask Kelly	Spread (favourite)					Total			At the books now			Mine	Notes
#	Game	ET	Ask Kelly	Fav	Open	Mon	Now	Moved	Open	Mon	Now	Circa	Pinnacle	Best	Mine	Notes
Thu, Oct 22 (1)
1	NE at CHI Final 24–30	8:15 PM		CHI	−2.5	—	−3 close	0.5 CHI	48.5	—	50.5	—	—	—		CHI covered · over · Crossed 3
Sun, Oct 25 (12)
2	PIT vs NO Final 16–10	9:30 AM		PIT	−2.5	—	−3 close	0.5 PIT	44.5	—	43.5	—	—	—		PIT covered · under · Crossed 3
3	SF at ATL Final 20–29	1:00 PM		SF	−4.5	—	−2.5 close	2 ATL	50	—	50	—	—	—		ATL covered · under · Crossed 3, 4
4	MIA at NYJ Final 28–25	1:00 PM		NYJ	−4.5	—	−3.5 close	1 MIA	38.5	—	39.5	—	—	—		MIA covered · over · Crossed 4
5	CLE at TEN Final 27–24	1:00 PM		CLE	−2.5	—	−1.5 close	1 TEN	37	—	37	—	—	—		CLE covered · over · Crossed 2
6	IND at MIN Final 10–16	1:00 PM		MIN	−5	—	−7 close	2 MIN	43.5	—	42.5	—	—	—		IND covered · under · Crossed 5, 6, 7
7	CIN at BAL Final 35–13	1:00 PM		CIN	+3.5	—	−3 close	6.5 CIN	51	—	46.5	—	—	—		CIN covered · over · Crossed 1, 2, 3 · Fav flipped
8	NYG at HOU Final 27–21	1:00 PM		HOU	−7	—	−10 close	3 HOU	41.5	—	42.5	—	—	—		NYG covered · over · Crossed 7, 8, 9, 10
9	TB at CAR Final 43–13	1:00 PM		CAR	−3	—	−3 close	—	43.5	—	44.5	—	—	—		TB covered · over
10	DEN at ARI Final 30–16	4:05 PM		DEN	−4.5	—	−4.5 close	—	43.5	—	44	—	—	—		DEN covered · over
11	GB at DET Final 17–20	4:25 PM		DET	−3.5	—	−3.5 close	—	53	—	55.5	—	—	—		GB covered · under
12	LA at LV Final 35–21	4:25 PM		LA	−6.5	—	−3 close	3.5 LV	48.5	—	49.5	—	—	—		LA covered · over · Crossed 3, 4, 5, 6
13	KC at SEA Final 3–20	8:20 PM		SEA	−2	—	−3 close	1 SEA	42	—	43	—	—	—		SEA covered · under · Crossed 2, 3
Mon, Oct 26 (1)
14	DAL at PHI Final 38–21	8:15 PM		DAL	−4.5	—	−4 close	0.5 PHI	44.5	—	43.5	—	—	—		DAL covered · over · Crossed 4

How to readOpen: Kelly's first consensus for the gameMon: frozen edition, Oct 19 10:00 AM ETNow: consensus when printed (bold)Spread: the favourite's line; Total: the over/underMine: write your own numberMoved: points since open, toward the team named

Kelly's numbers · NFL Week 7

Implied: each team's score from Kelly's consensus spread and total. ML: the consensus moneyline. Fav no-vig: the favourite's chance with the margin taken out. No Kelly line: every figure is the market's.

#	Game	ET	Implied away	Implied home	Away ML	Home ML	Fav no-vig	Result	Total
Thu, Oct 22 (1)
1	NE at CHI Final 24–30	8:15 PM	23.8	26.8	+132	−153	CHI 58.8%	CHI covered	54 pts · over
Sun, Oct 25 (12)
2	PIT vs NO Final 16–10	9:30 AM	23.3	20.3	−162	+139	PIT 60.1%	PIT covered	26 pts · under
3	SF at ATL Final 20–29	1:00 PM	26.3	23.8	−144	+124	SF 57.3%	ATL covered	49 pts · under
4	MIA at NYJ Final 28–25	1:00 PM	18	21.5	+172	−202	NYJ 65.3%	MIA covered	53 pts · over
5	CLE at TEN Final 27–24	1:00 PM	19.3	17.8	−129	+110	CLE 54.4%	CLE covered	51 pts · over
6	IND at MIN Final 10–16	1:00 PM	17.8	24.8	+262	−321	MIN 74.8%	IND covered	26 pts · under
7	CIN at BAL Final 35–13	1:00 PM	24.8	21.8	−146	+125	CIN 57.6%	CIN covered	48 pts · over
8	NYG at HOU Final 27–21	1:00 PM	16.3	26.3	+367	−474	HOU 81.2%	NYG covered	48 pts · over
9	TB at CAR Final 43–13	1:00 PM	20.8	23.8	+135	−157	CAR 59.5%	TB covered	56 pts · over
10	DEN at ARI Final 30–16	4:05 PM	24.3	19.8	−224	+188	DEN 67.5%	DEN covered	46 pts · over
11	GB at DET Final 17–20	4:25 PM	26	29.5	+170	−200	DET 65.0%	GB covered	37 pts · under
12	LA at LV Final 35–21	4:25 PM	26.3	23.3	−174	+149	LA 61.9%	LA covered	56 pts · over
13	KC at SEA Final 3–20	8:20 PM	20	23	+134	−155	SEA 59.2%	SEA covered	23 pts · under
Mon, Oct 26 (1)
14	DAL at PHI Final 38–21	8:15 PM	23.8	19.8	−218	+183	DAL 66.9%	DAL covered	59 pts · over

1 · 8:15 PMPatriots at Bears
Final 24–30
Open Mon Close Circa Best
CHI −2.5 — −3 — —
Total 48.5 — 50.5 — —
CHI covered · over · Crossed 3
2 · 9:30 AMSteelers at Saints
Final 16–10
Open Mon Close Circa Best
PIT −2.5 — −3 — —
Total 44.5 — 43.5 — —
PIT covered · under · Crossed 3
3 · 1:00 PM49ers at Falcons
Final 20–29
Open Mon Close Circa Best
SF −4.5 — −2.5 — —
Total 50 — 50 — —
ATL covered · under · Crossed 3, 4
4 · 1:00 PMDolphins at Jets
Final 28–25
Open Mon Close Circa Best
NYJ −4.5 — −3.5 — —
Total 38.5 — 39.5 — —
MIA covered · over · Crossed 4
5 · 1:00 PMBrowns at Titans
Final 27–24
Open Mon Close Circa Best
CLE −2.5 — −1.5 — —
Total 37 — 37 — —
CLE covered · over · Crossed 2
6 · 1:00 PMColts at Vikings
Final 10–16
Open Mon Close Circa Best
MIN −5 — −7 — —
Total 43.5 — 42.5 — —
IND covered · under · Crossed 5, 6, 7
7 · 1:00 PMBengals at Ravens
Final 35–13
Open Mon Close Circa Best
CIN +3.5 — −3 — —
Total 51 — 46.5 — —
CIN covered · over · Crossed 1, 2, 3 · Fav flipped
8 · 1:00 PMGiants at Texans
Final 27–21
Open Mon Close Circa Best
HOU −7 — −10 — —
Total 41.5 — 42.5 — —
NYG covered · over · Crossed 7, 8, 9, 10
9 · 1:00 PMBuccaneers at Panthers
Final 43–13
Open Mon Close Circa Best
CAR −3 — −3 — —
Total 43.5 — 44.5 — —
TB covered · over
10 · 4:05 PMBroncos at Cardinals
Final 30–16
Open Mon Close Circa Best
DEN −4.5 — −4.5 — —
Total 43.5 — 44 — —
DEN covered · over
11 · 4:25 PMPackers at Lions
Final 17–20
Open Mon Close Circa Best
DET −3.5 — −3.5 — —
Total 53 — 55.5 — —
GB covered · under
12 · 4:25 PMRams at Raiders
Final 35–21
Open Mon Close Circa Best
LA −6.5 — −3 — —
Total 48.5 — 49.5 — —
LA covered · over · Crossed 3, 4, 5, 6
13 · 8:20 PMChiefs at Seahawks
Final 3–20
Open Mon Close Circa Best
SEA −2 — −3 — —
Total 42 — 43 — —
SEA covered · under · Crossed 2, 3
14 · 8:15 PMCowboys at Eagles
Final 38–21
Open Mon Close Circa Best
DAL −4.5 — −4 — —
Total 44.5 — 43.5 — —
DAL covered · over · Crossed 4