Kelly Weekly Sheet
NFL · Week 8 · Thu Oct 29 – Mon Nov 2, 2026
Printed Mon, Nov 9, 9:37 AM ET · Kelly consensus over the books it follows
Open: Kelly's first consensusMon: edition, Oct 26 10:00 AM ETNow: consensus when printed
| # | Game | ET | Spread (favourite) | Total | At the books now | Mine | Notes | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fav | Open | Mon | Now | Moved | Open | Mon | Now | Circa | Pinnacle | Best | ||||||
| Thu, Oct 29 (1) | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | CAR at GB Final 19–27 | 8:15 PM | GB | −3 | −4 | −3.5 close | 0.5 GB | 46 | 47.5 | 47.5 | — | — | — | GB covered · under · Crossed 3 | ||
| Sun, Nov 1 (12) | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | TEN at CIN Final 36–43 | 1:00 PM | CIN | −10 | −10 | −13.5 close | 3.5 CIN | 46 | 47 | 46 | — | — | — | TEN covered · over · Crossed 10, 11, 12, 13 | ||
| 3 | MIN at DET Final 15–19 | 1:00 PM | DET | −3 | −3 | −3.5 close | 0.5 DET | 47 | 46.5 | 46.5 | — | — | — | DET covered · under · Crossed 3 | ||
| 4 | IND at JAX Final 7–42 | 1:00 PM | JAX | −7.5 | −7.5 | −10 close | 2.5 JAX | 48.5 | 46.5 | 45.5 | — | — | — | JAX covered · over · Crossed 8, 9, 10 | ||
| 5 | ARI at DAL Final 33–30 | 1:00 PM | DAL | −6.5 | −6 | −7.5 close | 1 DAL | 52.5 | 53.5 | 54.5 | — | — | — | ARI covered · over · Crossed 7 | ||
| 6 | LV at NYJ Final 38–33 | 1:00 PM | NYJ | −1.5 | −1 | −1.5 close | — | 43 | 44.5 | 46.5 | — | — | — | LV covered · over | ||
| 7 | CLE at PIT Final 6–27 | 1:00 PM | PIT | −4.5 | −4 | −3.5 close | 1 CLE | 39 | 38.5 | 39 | — | — | — | PIT covered · under · Crossed 4 | ||
| 8 | BAL at BUF Final 10–36 | 1:00 PM | BUF | −2.5 | −3.5 | −3 close | 0.5 BUF | 52.5 | 53.5 | 55.5 | — | — | — | BUF covered · under · Crossed 3 | ||
| 9 | ATL at TB Final 0–16 | 1:00 PM | TB | 0 | −1.5 | −2 close | 2 TB | 44.5 | 45 | 43 | — | — | — | TB covered · under · Crossed 1, 2 | ||
| 10 | LAC at LA Final 9–24 | 4:05 PM | LA | −7.5 | −7 | −6.5 close | 1 LAC | 46 | 43.5 | 46 | — | — | — | LA covered · under · Crossed 7 | ||
| 11 | NE at MIA Final 24–19 | 4:25 PM | NE | −7.5 | −7.5 | −7 close | 0.5 MIA | 44.5 | 44.5 | 41.5 | — | — | — | MIA covered · over · Crossed 7 | ||
| 12 | KC at DEN Final 24–28 | 4:25 PM | KC | −1.5 | −1.5 | −1 close | 0.5 DEN | 42.5 | 42.5 | 42 | — | — | — | DEN covered · over · Crossed 1 | ||
| 13 | PHI at WAS Final 10–27 | 8:20 PM | WAS | −4 | −3.5 | −5.5 close | 1.5 WAS | 41 | 40.5 | 40.5 | — | — | — | WAS covered · under · Crossed 4, 5 | ||
| Mon, Nov 2 (1) | ||||||||||||||||
| 14 | CHI at SEA Final 34–17 | 8:15 PM | SEA | −3 | −3 | −3 close | — | 46.5 | 46.5 | 46.5 | — | — | — | CHI covered · over | ||
Kelly's numbers · NFL Week 8
Implied: each team's score from Kelly's consensus spread and total. ML: the consensus moneyline. Fav no-vig: the favourite's chance with the margin taken out. No Kelly line: every figure is the market's.
| # | Game | ET | Implied away | Implied home | Away ML | Home ML | Fav no-vig | Result | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 29 (1) | ||||||||||
| 1 | CAR at GB Final 19–27 | 8:15 PM | 22 | 25.5 | +164 | −193 | GB 64.2% | GB covered | 46 pts · under | |
| Sun, Nov 1 (12) | ||||||||||
| 2 | TEN at CIN Final 36–43 | 1:00 PM | 16.3 | 29.8 | +655 | −991 | CIN 89.8% | TEN covered | 79 pts · over | |
| 3 | MIN at DET Final 15–19 | 1:00 PM | 21.5 | 25 | +153 | −183 | DET 62.8% | DET covered | 34 pts · under | |
| 4 | IND at JAX Final 7–42 | 1:00 PM | 17.8 | 27.8 | +380 | −501 | JAX 82.0% | JAX covered | 49 pts · over | |
| 5 | ARI at DAL Final 33–30 | 1:00 PM | 23.5 | 31 | +289 | −371 | DAL 77.1% | ARI covered | 63 pts · over | |
| 6 | LV at NYJ Final 38–33 | 1:00 PM | 22.5 | 24 | +109 | −128 | NYJ 54.3% | LV covered | 71 pts · over | |
| 7 | CLE at PIT Final 6–27 | 1:00 PM | 17.8 | 21.3 | +173 | −206 | PIT 65.7% | PIT covered | 33 pts · under | |
| 8 | BAL at BUF Final 10–36 | 1:00 PM | 26.3 | 29.3 | +144 | −170 | BUF 61.2% | BUF covered | 46 pts · under | |
| 9 | ATL at TB Final 0–16 | 1:00 PM | 20.5 | 22.5 | +112 | −132 | TB 55.0% | TB covered | 16 pts · under | |
| 10 | LAC at LA Final 9–24 | 4:05 PM | 19.8 | 26.3 | +242 | −299 | LA 73.4% | LA covered | 33 pts · under | |
| 11 | NE at MIA Final 24–19 | 4:25 PM | 24.3 | 17.3 | −359 | +285 | NE 76.7% | MIA covered | 43 pts · over | |
| 12 | KC at DEN Final 24–28 | 4:25 PM | 21.5 | 20.5 | −110 | −108 | KC 50.1% | DEN covered | 52 pts · over | |
| 13 | PHI at WAS Final 10–27 | 8:20 PM | 17.5 | 23 | +204 | −248 | WAS 69.6% | WAS covered | 37 pts · under | |
| Mon, Nov 2 (1) | ||||||||||
| 14 | CHI at SEA Final 34–17 | 8:15 PM | 21.8 | 24.8 | +150 | −178 | SEA 62.3% | CHI covered | 51 pts · over | |
- 1 · 8:15 PMPanthers at Packers
Final 19–27
Open Mon Close Circa Best GB −3 −4 −3.5 — — Total 46 47.5 47.5 — — GB covered · under · Crossed 3
- 2 · 1:00 PMTitans at Bengals
Final 36–43
Open Mon Close Circa Best CIN −10 −10 −13.5 — — Total 46 47 46 — — TEN covered · over · Crossed 10, 11, 12, 13
- 3 · 1:00 PMVikings at Lions
Final 15–19
Open Mon Close Circa Best DET −3 −3 −3.5 — — Total 47 46.5 46.5 — — DET covered · under · Crossed 3
- 4 · 1:00 PMColts at Jaguars
Final 7–42
Open Mon Close Circa Best JAX −7.5 −7.5 −10 — — Total 48.5 46.5 45.5 — — JAX covered · over · Crossed 8, 9, 10
- 5 · 1:00 PMCardinals at Cowboys
Final 33–30
Open Mon Close Circa Best DAL −6.5 −6 −7.5 — — Total 52.5 53.5 54.5 — — ARI covered · over · Crossed 7
- 6 · 1:00 PMRaiders at Jets
Final 38–33
Open Mon Close Circa Best NYJ −1.5 −1 −1.5 — — Total 43 44.5 46.5 — — LV covered · over
- 7 · 1:00 PMBrowns at Steelers
Final 6–27
Open Mon Close Circa Best PIT −4.5 −4 −3.5 — — Total 39 38.5 39 — — PIT covered · under · Crossed 4
- 8 · 1:00 PMRavens at Bills
Final 10–36
Open Mon Close Circa Best BUF −2.5 −3.5 −3 — — Total 52.5 53.5 55.5 — — BUF covered · under · Crossed 3
- 9 · 1:00 PMFalcons at Buccaneers
Final 0–16
Open Mon Close Circa Best TB 0 −1.5 −2 — — Total 44.5 45 43 — — TB covered · under · Crossed 1, 2
- 10 · 4:05 PMChargers at Rams
Final 9–24
Open Mon Close Circa Best LA −7.5 −7 −6.5 — — Total 46 43.5 46 — — LA covered · under · Crossed 7
- 11 · 4:25 PMPatriots at Dolphins
Final 24–19
Open Mon Close Circa Best NE −7.5 −7.5 −7 — — Total 44.5 44.5 41.5 — — MIA covered · over · Crossed 7
- 12 · 4:25 PMChiefs at Broncos
Final 24–28
Open Mon Close Circa Best KC −1.5 −1.5 −1 — — Total 42.5 42.5 42 — — DEN covered · over · Crossed 1
- 13 · 8:20 PMEagles at Commanders
Final 10–27
Open Mon Close Circa Best WAS −4 −3.5 −5.5 — — Total 41 40.5 40.5 — — WAS covered · under · Crossed 4, 5
- 14 · 8:15 PMBears at Seahawks
Final 34–17
Open Mon Close Circa Best SEA −3 −3 −3 — — Total 46.5 46.5 46.5 — — CHI covered · over