Kelly Weekly Sheet
NFL · Week 9 · Thu Nov 5 – Mon Nov 9, 2026
Printed Mon, Nov 9, 9:43 AM ET · Kelly consensus over the books it follows
Open: Kelly's first consensusMon: edition, Nov 2 10:00 AM ETNow: consensus when printed
| # | Game | ET | Spread (favourite) | Total | At the books now | Mine | Notes | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fav | Open | Mon | Now | Moved | Open | Mon | Now | Circa | Pinnacle | Best | ||||||
| Thu, Nov 5 (1) | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | JAX at BAL Final 33–10 | 8:15 PM | JAX | +2.5 | −8.5 | −9 close | 11.5 JAX | 48.5 | 43.5 | 40 | — | — | — | JAX covered · over · Crossed 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 · Fav flipped | ||
| Sun, Nov 8 (13) | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | CIN vs ATL Final 34–17 | 9:30 AM | CIN | −3 | −3 | −3 close | — | 49.5 | 51 | 52.5 | — | — | — | CIN covered · under | ||
| 3 | NYJ at KC Final 12–35 | 1:00 PM | KC | −9.5 | −10 | −9.5 close | — | 43.5 | 46 | 47.5 | — | — | — | KC covered · under | ||
| 4 | NYG at PHI Final 19–11 | 1:00 PM | NYG | −1.5 | −3 | −3 close | 1.5 NYG | 39.5 | 40.5 | 37.5 | — | — | — | NYG covered · under · Crossed 2, 3 | ||
| 5 | DEN at CAR Final 26–21 | 1:00 PM | DEN | −2.5 | −2.5 | −3 close | 0.5 DEN | 45 | 43.5 | 44.5 | — | — | — | DEN covered · over · Crossed 3 | ||
| 6 | LA at WAS Final 20–13 | 1:00 PM | LA | −5.5 | −5.5 | −4.5 close | 1 WAS | 48.5 | 48 | 48 | — | — | — | LA covered · under · Crossed 5 | ||
| 7 | CLE at NO Final 22–23 | 1:00 PM | NO | −2.5 | −3 | −4.5 close | 2 NO | 43 | 43 | 43.5 | — | — | — | CLE covered · over · Crossed 3, 4 | ||
| 8 | DAL at IND Final 27–23 | 1:00 PM | DAL | −3.5 | −5.5 | −3.5 close | — | 51 | 51.5 | 51.5 | — | — | — | DAL covered · under | ||
| 9 | DET at MIA Final 19–9 | 1:00 PM | DET | −7 | −7 | −6.5 close | 0.5 MIA | 48.5 | 49.5 | 50.5 | — | — | — | DET covered · under · Crossed 7 | ||
| 10 | HOU at LAC Final 44–22 | 4:05 PM | HOU | −3.5 | −5 | −5.5 close | 2 HOU | 42.5 | 41.5 | 40.5 | — | — | — | HOU covered · over · Crossed 4, 5 | ||
| 11 | LV at SF Final 17–38 | 4:05 PM | SF | −9.5 | −9.5 | −9 close | 0.5 LV | 48.5 | 51.5 | 52 | — | — | — | SF covered · over · Crossed 9 | ||
| 12 | GB at NE Final 45–27 | 4:25 PM | NE | −3 | −2.5 | −3 close | — | 46.5 | 47.5 | 44.5 | — | — | — | GB covered · over | ||
| 13 | ARI at SEA Final 3–17 | 4:25 PM | SEA | −11 | −11 | −8.5 close | 2.5 ARI | 44.5 | 44.5 | 39.5 | — | — | — | SEA covered · under · Crossed 9, 10, 11 | ||
| 14 | TB at CHI Final 24–27 | 8:20 PM | CHI | −6 | −5.5 | −6.5 close | 0.5 CHI | 48.5 | 47 | 47.5 | — | — | — | TB covered · over · Crossed 6 | ||
| Mon, Nov 9 (1) | ||||||||||||||||
| 15 | BUF at MIN | 8:15 PM | BUF | −2.5 | −3 | −3 | 0.5 BUF | 47.5 | 46.5 | 44 | — | −3 −114 | −3 −110 MyBookie | Crossed 3 | ||
Kelly's numbers · NFL Week 9
Implied: each team's score from Kelly's consensus spread and total. ML: the consensus moneyline. Fav no-vig: the favourite's chance with the margin taken out. No Kelly line: every figure is the market's.
| # | Game | ET | Implied away | Implied home | Away ML | Home ML | Fav no-vig | Result | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Nov 5 (1) | ||||||||||
| 1 | JAX at BAL Final 33–10 | 8:15 PM | 24.5 | 15.5 | −429 | +333 | JAX 79.7% | JAX covered | 43 pts · over | |
| Sun, Nov 8 (13) | ||||||||||
| 2 | CIN vs ATL Final 34–17 | 9:30 AM | 27.8 | 24.8 | −183 | +154 | CIN 62.8% | CIN covered | 51 pts · under | |
| 3 | NYJ at KC Final 12–35 | 1:00 PM | 19 | 28.5 | +376 | −497 | KC 81.8% | KC covered | 47 pts · under | |
| 4 | NYG at PHI Final 19–11 | 1:00 PM | 20.3 | 17.3 | −153 | +131 | NYG 58.7% | NYG covered | 30 pts · under | |
| 5 | DEN at CAR Final 26–21 | 1:00 PM | 23.8 | 20.8 | −162 | +138 | DEN 60.0% | DEN covered | 47 pts · over | |
| 6 | LA at WAS Final 20–13 | 1:00 PM | 26.3 | 21.8 | −223 | +185 | LA 67.3% | LA covered | 33 pts · under | |
| 7 | CLE at NO Final 22–23 | 1:00 PM | 19.5 | 24 | +197 | −239 | NO 68.8% | CLE covered | 45 pts · over | |
| 8 | DAL at IND Final 27–23 | 1:00 PM | 27.5 | 24 | −210 | +175 | DAL 66.0% | DAL covered | 50 pts · under | |
| 9 | DET at MIA Final 19–9 | 1:00 PM | 28.5 | 22 | −323 | +258 | DET 74.8% | DET covered | 28 pts · under | |
| 10 | HOU at LAC Final 44–22 | 4:05 PM | 23 | 17.5 | −236 | +194 | HOU 68.5% | HOU covered | 66 pts · over | |
| 11 | LV at SF Final 17–38 | 4:05 PM | 21.5 | 30.5 | +360 | −478 | SF 81.2% | SF covered | 55 pts · over | |
| 12 | GB at NE Final 45–27 | 4:25 PM | 20.8 | 23.8 | +149 | −176 | NE 62.1% | GB covered | 72 pts · over | |
| 13 | ARI at SEA Final 3–17 | 4:25 PM | 15.5 | 24 | +338 | −440 | SEA 80.0% | SEA covered | 20 pts · under | |
| 14 | TB at CHI Final 24–27 | 8:20 PM | 20.5 | 27 | +229 | −281 | CHI 72.1% | TB covered | 51 pts · over | |
| Mon, Nov 9 (1) | ||||||||||
| 15 | BUF at MIN | 8:15 PM | 23.5 | 20.5 | −179 | +150 | BUF 62.4% | — | — | |
- 1 · 8:15 PMJaguars at Ravens
Final 33–10
Open Mon Close Circa Best JAX +2.5 −8.5 −9 — — Total 48.5 43.5 40 — — JAX covered · over · Crossed 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 · Fav flipped
- 2 · 9:30 AMBengals at Falcons
Final 34–17
Open Mon Close Circa Best CIN −3 −3 −3 — — Total 49.5 51 52.5 — — CIN covered · under
- 3 · 1:00 PMJets at Chiefs
Final 12–35
Open Mon Close Circa Best KC −9.5 −10 −9.5 — — Total 43.5 46 47.5 — — KC covered · under
- 4 · 1:00 PMGiants at Eagles
Final 19–11
Open Mon Close Circa Best NYG −1.5 −3 −3 — — Total 39.5 40.5 37.5 — — NYG covered · under · Crossed 2, 3
- 5 · 1:00 PMBroncos at Panthers
Final 26–21
Open Mon Close Circa Best DEN −2.5 −2.5 −3 — — Total 45 43.5 44.5 — — DEN covered · over · Crossed 3
- 6 · 1:00 PMRams at Commanders
Final 20–13
Open Mon Close Circa Best LA −5.5 −5.5 −4.5 — — Total 48.5 48 48 — — LA covered · under · Crossed 5
- 7 · 1:00 PMBrowns at Saints
Final 22–23
Open Mon Close Circa Best NO −2.5 −3 −4.5 — — Total 43 43 43.5 — — CLE covered · over · Crossed 3, 4
- 8 · 1:00 PMCowboys at Colts
Final 27–23
Open Mon Close Circa Best DAL −3.5 −5.5 −3.5 — — Total 51 51.5 51.5 — — DAL covered · under
- 9 · 1:00 PMLions at Dolphins
Final 19–9
Open Mon Close Circa Best DET −7 −7 −6.5 — — Total 48.5 49.5 50.5 — — DET covered · under · Crossed 7
- 10 · 4:05 PMTexans at Chargers
Final 44–22
Open Mon Close Circa Best HOU −3.5 −5 −5.5 — — Total 42.5 41.5 40.5 — — HOU covered · over · Crossed 4, 5
- 11 · 4:05 PMRaiders at 49ers
Final 17–38
Open Mon Close Circa Best SF −9.5 −9.5 −9 — — Total 48.5 51.5 52 — — SF covered · over · Crossed 9
- 12 · 4:25 PMPackers at Patriots
Final 45–27
Open Mon Close Circa Best NE −3 −2.5 −3 — — Total 46.5 47.5 44.5 — — GB covered · over
- 13 · 4:25 PMCardinals at Seahawks
Final 3–17
Open Mon Close Circa Best SEA −11 −11 −8.5 — — Total 44.5 44.5 39.5 — — SEA covered · under · Crossed 9, 10, 11
- 14 · 8:20 PMBuccaneers at Bears
Final 24–27
Open Mon Close Circa Best CHI −6 −5.5 −6.5 — — Total 48.5 47 47.5 — — TB covered · over · Crossed 6
- 15 · 8:15 PMBills at Vikings
Open Mon Now Circa Best BUF −2.5 −3 −3 — −3 −110 Total 47.5 46.5 44 — 44 −110 Crossed 3