Kelly Weekly Sheet
NFL · Week 10 · Thu Nov 12 – Mon Nov 16, 2026
Printed Mon, Nov 9, 9:37 AM ET · Kelly consensus over the books it follows
Open: Kelly's first consensusMon: edition, Nov 9 10:00 AM ET (not frozen yet)Now: consensus when printed
| # | Game | ET | Spread (favourite) | Total | At the books now | Mine | Notes | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fav | Open | Mon | Now | Moved | Open | Mon | Now | Circa | Pinnacle | Best | ||||||
| Thu, Nov 12 (1) | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | WAS at NYG | 8:15 PM | NYG | −1.5 | — | −1.5 | — | 45 | — | 43 | — | −2.5 +102 | −1.5 −106 Caesars | |||
| Sun, Nov 15 (12) | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | NE vs DET | 9:30 AM | DET | +1.5 | — | −2.5 | 4 DET | 49.5 | — | 51 | — | −2.5 −115 | −2.5 −109 Caesars | Crossed 1, 2 · Fav flipped | ||
| 3 | BUF at NYJ | 1:00 PM | BUF | −7.5 | — | −7.5 | — | 51.5 | — | 51.5 | — | — | −7.5 −110 BetOnline | |||
| 4 | CAR at NO | 1:00 PM | CAR | −1.5 | — | −1 | 0.5 NO | 47 | — | 47.5 | — | −1 +101 | −1 +101 Pinnacle | Crossed 1 | ||
| 5 | JAX at TEN | 1:00 PM | JAX | −9.5 | — | −9.5 | — | 44.5 | — | 47 | — | −9.5 −110 | −9.5 −110 Pinnacle | |||
| 6 | MIN at GB | 1:00 PM | GB | −2.5 | — | −3.5 | 1 GB | 41.5 | — | 42 | — | — | −3.5 −104 Bally Bet | Crossed 3 | ||
| 7 | MIA at IND | 1:00 PM | IND | −1.5 | — | −2.5 | 1 IND | 43 | — | 40.5 | — | −2.5 −103 | −2.5 −103 Pinnacle | Crossed 2 | ||
| 8 | KC at ATL | 1:00 PM | KC | −3 | — | −3.5 | 0.5 KC | 46.5 | — | 45.5 | — | −3.5 +104 | −3.5 +104 Pinnacle | Crossed 3 | ||
| 9 | HOU at CLE | 1:00 PM | HOU | −3.5 | — | −4.5 | 1 HOU | 39.5 | — | 39.5 | — | −4 −114 | −4.5 −105 BetOnline | Crossed 4 | ||
| 10 | LA at ARI | 4:05 PM | LA | −7.5 | — | −7.5 | — | 47.5 | — | 45 | — | −7.5 −102 | −7.5 +100 FanDuel | |||
| 11 | SEA at LV | 4:05 PM | SEA | −6 | — | −3.5 | 2.5 LV | 45.5 | — | 43.5 | — | — | −3.5 +100 Fliff | Crossed 4, 5, 6 | ||
| 12 | SF at DAL | 4:25 PM | SF | −3.5 | — | −4 | 0.5 SF | 54.5 | — | 55.5 | — | −4 −106 | −4 −106 Pinnacle | Crossed 4 | ||
| 13 | PIT at CIN | 8:20 PM | CIN | −3.5 | — | −3.5 | — | 47.5 | — | 47.5 | — | −3.5 −106 | −3.5 −105 Hard Rock Bet | |||
| Mon, Nov 16 (1) | ||||||||||||||||
| 14 | LAC at BAL | 8:15 PM | BAL | +1 | — | −5 | 6 BAL | 37.5 | — | 38.5 | — | −3.5 −135 | −5 −108 BetMGM | Crossed 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 · Fav flipped | ||
Kelly's numbers · NFL Week 10
Implied: each team's score from Kelly's consensus spread and total. ML: the consensus moneyline. Fav no-vig: the favourite's chance with the margin taken out. No Kelly line: every figure is the market's.
| # | Game | ET | Implied away | Implied home | Away ML | Home ML | Fav no-vig | Result | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Nov 12 (1) | ||||||||||
| 1 | WAS at NYG | 8:15 PM | 20.8 | 22.3 | +107 | −127 | NYG 53.9% | — | — | |
| Sun, Nov 15 (12) | ||||||||||
| 2 | NE vs DET | 9:30 AM | 24.3 | 26.8 | +123 | −144 | DET 57.2% | — | — | |
| 3 | BUF at NYJ | 1:00 PM | 29.5 | 22 | −493 | +369 | BUF 81.7% | — | — | |
| 4 | CAR at NO | 1:00 PM | 24.3 | 23.3 | −113 | −106 | CAR 50.9% | — | — | |
| 5 | JAX at TEN | 1:00 PM | 28.3 | 18.8 | −507 | +381 | JAX 82.1% | — | — | |
| 6 | MIN at GB | 1:00 PM | 19.3 | 22.8 | +146 | −176 | GB 61.8% | — | — | |
| 7 | MIA at IND | 1:00 PM | 19 | 21.5 | +114 | −134 | IND 55.4% | — | — | |
| 8 | KC at ATL | 1:00 PM | 24.5 | 21 | −182 | +153 | KC 62.7% | — | — | |
| 9 | HOU at CLE | 1:00 PM | 22 | 17.5 | −215 | +177 | HOU 66.4% | — | — | |
| 10 | LA at ARI | 4:05 PM | 26.3 | 18.8 | −367 | +287 | LA 77.0% | — | — | |
| 11 | SEA at LV | 4:05 PM | 23.5 | 20 | −179 | +147 | SEA 62.1% | — | — | |
| 12 | SF at DAL | 4:25 PM | 29.8 | 25.8 | −215 | +178 | SF 66.5% | — | — | |
| 13 | PIT at CIN | 8:20 PM | 22 | 25.5 | +164 | −196 | CIN 64.5% | — | — | |
| Mon, Nov 16 (1) | ||||||||||
| 14 | LAC at BAL | 8:15 PM | 16.8 | 21.8 | +187 | −228 | BAL 67.7% | — | — | |
- 1 · 8:15 PMCommanders at Giants
Open Mon Now Circa Best NYG −1.5 — −1.5 — −1.5 −106 Total 45 — 43 — 43 −110 - 2 · 9:30 AMPatriots at Lions
Open Mon Now Circa Best DET +1.5 — −2.5 — −2.5 −109 Total 49.5 — 51 — 51 −108 Crossed 1, 2 · Fav flipped
- 3 · 1:00 PMBills at Jets
Open Mon Now Circa Best BUF −7.5 — −7.5 — −7.5 −110 Total 51.5 — 51.5 — 51.5 +100 - 4 · 1:00 PMPanthers at Saints
Open Mon Now Circa Best CAR −1.5 — −1 — −1 +101 Total 47 — 47.5 — 47.5 −108 Crossed 1
- 5 · 1:00 PMJaguars at Titans
Open Mon Now Circa Best JAX −9.5 — −9.5 — −9.5 −110 Total 44.5 — 47 — 47 −108 - 6 · 1:00 PMVikings at Packers
Open Mon Now Circa Best GB −2.5 — −3.5 — −3.5 −104 Total 41.5 — 42 — 42 −108 Crossed 3
- 7 · 1:00 PMDolphins at Colts
Open Mon Now Circa Best IND −1.5 — −2.5 — −2.5 −103 Total 43 — 40.5 — 40.5 −105 Crossed 2
- 8 · 1:00 PMChiefs at Falcons
Open Mon Now Circa Best KC −3 — −3.5 — −3.5 +104 Total 46.5 — 45.5 — 45.5 +100 Crossed 3
- 9 · 1:00 PMTexans at Browns
Open Mon Now Circa Best HOU −3.5 — −4.5 — −4.5 −105 Total 39.5 — 39.5 — 39.5 −106 Crossed 4
- 10 · 4:05 PMRams at Cardinals
Open Mon Now Circa Best LA −7.5 — −7.5 — −7.5 +100 Total 47.5 — 45 — 45 −108 - 11 · 4:05 PMSeahawks at Raiders
Open Mon Now Circa Best SEA −6 — −3.5 — −3.5 +100 Total 45.5 — 43.5 — 43.5 +100 Crossed 4, 5, 6
- 12 · 4:25 PM49ers at Cowboys
Open Mon Now Circa Best SF −3.5 — −4 — −4 −106 Total 54.5 — 55.5 — 55.5 −110 Crossed 4
- 13 · 8:20 PMSteelers at Bengals
Open Mon Now Circa Best CIN −3.5 — −3.5 — −3.5 −105 Total 47.5 — 47.5 — 47.5 −105 - 14 · 8:15 PMChargers at Ravens
Open Mon Now Circa Best BAL +1 — −5 — −5 −108 Total 37.5 — 38.5 — 38.5 −105 Crossed 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 · Fav flipped