Skip to content
Kelly

NFL over-under records

Every NFL team's over-under record against the closing total: over rate with its range, average total and points, home and away, domes, cold, wind and primetime, for any seasons since 1999.

NFL games in the 2026 regular season are 71-65-1 (52.2%) against the closing total across 137 games, with an average total of 45.1 and 45.9 points scored. The Denver Broncos's games are 4-5-0 (44.4%) over-under.

Team over-under records (32)

Showing (32) of (32) · Totals · Sorted by Over %, high to low · Compared with the 32 teams over the same games

TeamGO/UOver %Avg totalAvg pointsPts vs totalPts for/GPts against/G
Las Vegas Raiders97-2-077.8%46.956.29.326.429.8
Dallas Cowboys96-3-066.7%50.453.63.127.326.2
New England Patriots96-3-066.7%45.246.41.323.423
New York Giants96-3-066.7%42.844.31.522.621.8
Buffalo Bills85-3-062.5%51.255.44.23223.4
Cincinnati Bengals85-3-062.5%47.451.94.43021.9
Detroit Lions85-3-062.5%51.851.4-0.427.823.6
Houston Texans85-3-062.5%42.850.17.326.124
New Orleans Saints85-3-062.5%45.150.1523.127
Carolina Panthers84-3-157.1%45.152.27.224.927.4
Arizona Cardinals95-4-055.6%47.348.10.819.828.3
Baltimore Ravens95-4-055.6%46.247.212126.2
Chicago Bears95-4-055.6%46.947.20.326.820.4
Cleveland Browns95-4-055.6%39.939.7-0.317.921.8
Indianapolis Colts95-4-055.6%45.348.12.820.427.7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers95-4-055.6%43.942.2-1.722.419.8
Washington Commanders95-4-055.6%44.946.61.721.824.8
Jacksonville Jaguars84-4-050%44.143.8-0.428.615.1
Miami Dolphins84-4-050%43.140.8-2.415.825
Philadelphia Eagles94-4-150%41.141-0.116.424.6
Pittsburgh Steelers84-4-050%40.640.5-0.122.518
San Francisco 49ers84-4-050%48.648.90.229.419.5
Tennessee Titans84-4-050%40.442.92.51824.9
Atlanta Falcons94-5-044.4%46.245.7-0.620.924.8
Denver Broncos94-5-044.4%43.742.7-1.12220.7
Los Angeles Rams94-5-044.4%47.943.9-423.820.1
New York Jets94-5-044.4%43.5451.520.224.8
Seattle Seahawks94-5-044.4%42.740.4-2.222.418
Kansas City Chiefs83-5-037.5%44.543.1-1.425.217.9
Green Bay Packers93-6-033.3%46.845.2-1.62421.2
Los Angeles Chargers82-6-025%44.342.5-1.815.127.4
Minnesota Vikings81-7-012.5%43.832.8-1118.214.5
NFL, all teams27471-65-152.2%45.145.90.82323
Break-even at −110——52.4%—————

Data as of 2026-11-13 13:37 UTCSource: nflverse schedules and scores (CC BY 4.0), graded by Kelly; Kelly's closing consensus of the books it tracks; before Kelly kept prices, nflverse's published close (CC BY 4.0), else The Odds API's closing snapshots137 finals, 2026, regular season; closes: kelly_consensus, nflverse_closing.A rate under 5 decided games is a small sample; pushes are left out of every rate.

One team, every season (8)

Showing (8) of (8) · Totals · Sorted by Season, high to low · Compared with this team's 8 seasons

SeasonGSUATSCover %Avg cover marginAvg spreadAs favAs dogO/UOver %
202680-8-00-7-10%-9.52.80-2-00-5-12-6-025%
20251711-6-09-8-052.9%0.2-1.55-7-04-1-07-10-041.2%
20241711-6-013-4-076.5%4.1-1.911-2-02-2-08-9-047.1%
2023175-12-0————————
20221710-7-0————————
2021179-8-0————————
2020167-9-08-7-153.3%-3.2-0.64-4-14-3-09-7-056.2%
2019165-11-0————————
All (8) seasons12558-67-030-26-253.6%-0.9-0.820-15-110-11-126-32-044.8%
Break-even at −110———52.4%—————52.4%

Data as of 2026-11-13 13:37 UTCSource: nflverse schedules and scores (CC BY 4.0), graded by Kelly; Kelly's closing consensus of the books it tracks; before Kelly kept prices, nflverse's published close (CC BY 4.0), else The Odds API's closing snapshots125 finals, 1999 on, regular season; closes: kelly_consensus, nflverse_closing, odds_api_closing.A rate under 5 decided games is a small sample; pushes are left out of every rate.

Questions

How often do NFL games go over the total in the 2026 regular season?

71-65-1 (52.2%) over-unders-pushes against the closing total across 137 games.

What does over-under mean?

The total is the combined points the books set for a game. A game goes over when both teams score more than the closing total together, under when fewer, and pushes when exactly the total.

What over rate breaks even?

52.4% at the standard −110 price: risk 110 to win 100, so 110 ÷ 210.

As of Nov 13, 8:37 AM ET · /nfl/over-under