Carson Beck stats methodology and sources

Games played

Games in which the player appeared or the team played.

Unit: games · Better: higher · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.games_played v1.0.0

Completions

Forward passes caught by a teammate.

Unit: cmp · Better: higher · Since 1932 · 272 of 272 games have no value · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.passing_completions v1.0.0

Pass attempts

Forward passes thrown, not counting sacks.

Unit: att · Better: higher · Since 1932 · 13 of 13 games have no value · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.passing_attempts v1.0.0

Completion percentage

Completions divided by pass attempts.

Formula: passing_completions / passing_attempts

Unit: fraction · Better: higher · Per: passing_attempts · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.completion_pct v1.0.0

Passing yards

Yards gained on completed passes, sacks excluded.

Unit: yd · Better: higher · Since 1932 · 13 of 13 games have no value · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.passing_yards v1.0.0

Passing touchdowns

Touchdown passes thrown.

Unit: td · Better: higher · Since 1932 · 272 of 272 games have no value · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.passing_tds v1.0.0

Interceptions thrown

Passes thrown that the defense caught.

Unit: int · Better: lower · Since 1932 · 13 of 13 games have no value · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.interceptions v1.0.0

Yards per pass attempt

Passing yards divided by pass attempts.

Formula: passing_yards / passing_attempts

Unit: yd/att · Better: higher · Per: passing_attempts · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.yards_per_attempt v1.0.0

Passer rating

The NFL passer rating: four capped components (completion %, yards, TDs and interceptions per attempt), summed, divided by 6 and times 100.

Formula: 100 * (greatest(0, least(2.375, (passing_completions / passing_attempts - 0.3) * 5)) + greatest(0, least(2.375, (passing_yards / passing_attempts - 3) * 0.25)) + greatest(0, least(2.375, passing_tds / passing_attempts * 20)) + greatest(0, least(2.375, 2.375 - interceptions / passing_attempts * 25))) / 6

Unit: rating · Better: higher · Per: interceptions · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.passer_rating v1.0.0

Sacks taken

Times the passer was tackled behind the line on a pass play.

Unit: sacks · Better: lower · Since 1969 · 13 of 13 games have no value · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.sacks_taken v1.0.0

Rushing attempts

Running plays with the player as ball carrier.

Unit: att · Better: higher · Since 1932 · 272 of 272 games have no value · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.rushing_attempts v1.0.0

Rushing yards

Yards gained on rushing attempts.

Unit: yd · Better: higher · Since 1932 · 272 of 272 games have no value · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.rushing_yards v1.0.0

Rushing touchdowns

Touchdowns scored on rushing attempts.

Unit: td · Better: higher · Since 1932 · 272 of 272 games have no value · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.rushing_tds v1.0.0

Pass EPA per play

EPA per pass play.

Unit: pts/play · Better: higher · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.pass_epa_per_play v1.0.0

Pass success rate

Success rate on pass plays.

Unit: fraction · Better: higher · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.pass_success_rate v1.0.0

Completion % over expected

Completion rate minus the model's expected completion rate.

Unit: fraction · Better: higher · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.cpoe v1.0.0

EPA per play

Expected points added per play (change in expected points over the play).

Unit: pts/play · Better: higher · Since 1999 · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.epa_per_play v1.0.0

Success rate

Share of plays with positive EPA (Kelly's) or, for CFBD figures, the 50/70/100% yards rule.

Unit: fraction · Better: higher · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.success_rate v1.0.0

Air yards share

Player's air yards divided by team's air yards.

Unit: fraction · Better: higher · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.air_yards_share v1.0.0

Yards per carry

Rushing yards divided by rushing attempts.

Formula: rushing_yards / rushing_attempts

Unit: yd/car · Better: higher · Per: rushing_attempts · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.yards_per_carry v1.0.0

Longest rush

Yards on the longest rushing attempt.

Unit: yd · Better: higher · 137 of 137 games have no value · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.longest_rush v1.0.0

Rush EPA per play

EPA per rush play.

Unit: pts/play · Better: higher · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.rush_epa_per_play v1.0.0

Rush success rate

Success rate on rush plays.

Unit: fraction · Better: higher · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.rush_success_rate v1.0.0

Fumbles

Times the player lost hold of the ball.

Unit: fum · Better: lower · 13 of 13 games have no value · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.fumbles v1.0.0

Fumbles lost

Fumbles the defense recovered.

Unit: fum · Better: lower · 272 of 272 games have no value · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.fumbles_lost v1.0.0

Fantasy points (Half-PPR)

Kelly's points in the public Half-PPR format, scored by Kelly's engine from the box score (offensive players and kickers; no team defenses).

Unit: pts · Better: higher · 13 of 13 games have no value · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.fpts_half_ppr v1.0.0

Fantasy points (PPR)

Kelly's points in the public PPR format, scored by Kelly's engine from the box score (offensive players and kickers; no team defenses).

Unit: pts · Better: higher · 272 of 272 games have no value · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.fpts_ppr v1.0.0

Fantasy points (Standard)

Kelly's points in the public Standard format, scored by Kelly's engine from the box score (offensive players and kickers; no team defenses).

Unit: pts · Better: higher · 272 of 272 games have no value · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.fpts_standard v1.0.0

Fantasy points (PPR · 6-pt pass TD)

Kelly's points in the public PPR · 6-pt pass TD format, scored by Kelly's engine from the box score (offensive players and kickers; no team defenses).

Unit: pts · Better: higher · 13 of 13 games have no value · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.fpts_ppr_6pt v1.0.0

Fantasy points (Half-PPR · 6-pt pass TD)

Kelly's points in the public Half-PPR · 6-pt pass TD format, scored by Kelly's engine from the box score (offensive players and kickers; no team defenses).

Unit: pts · Better: higher · 13 of 13 games have no value · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.fpts_half_ppr_6pt v1.0.0

Fantasy points (Standard · 6-pt pass TD)

Kelly's points in the public Standard · 6-pt pass TD format, scored by Kelly's engine from the box score (offensive players and kickers; no team defenses).

Unit: pts · Better: higher · 272 of 272 games have no value · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.fpts_standard_6pt v1.0.0

Fantasy points (PPR · TE premium)

Kelly's points in the public PPR · TE premium format, scored by Kelly's engine from the box score (offensive players and kickers; no team defenses).

Unit: pts · Better: higher · 13 of 13 games have no value · Source: s1 · nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0 · nfl.fpts_ppr_tep v1.0.0

• s1nflverse data (CC BY 4.0) · CC BY 4.0

Data through 2026-11-13T01:15:00Z (nfl), 2026-11-13T21:22:22Z (dota2), 2026-11-14T03:25:37Z (ncaaf), 2026-10-22T12:00:00Z (cricket_t20i_women), 2026-10-31T08:00:00Z (cricket_odi), 2026-10-28T12:00:00Z (cricket_odi_women), 2026-09-26T04:30:00Z (afl), 2026-10-29T16:30:00Z (wnba), 2026-11-08T20:00:00Z (laliga), 2026-11-08T19:45:00Z (ligue1), 2026-11-08T00:10:00Z (mls), 2026-11-14T03:30:00Z (ncaab), 2026-10-29T00:10:00Z (mlb), 2026-11-14T03:00:00Z (nhl), 2026-11-14T03:30:00Z (nba), 2026-10-24T17:10:00Z (mma), 2026-11-08T16:30:00Z (epl), 2026-11-01T07:00:00Z (cricket_international_t20), 2026-10-28T12:00:00Z (cricket_test_match), 2026-11-08T18:30:00Z (bundesliga), 2026-11-08T19:48:00Z (seriea), 2026-11-04T20:00:00Z (ucl). As of 2026-11-14T17:09:52.148447Z. Every number on Carson Beck's tables comes from the engine, and a rate over a season is worked out from its summed parts, never an average of averages. Betting and fantasy terms are explained in Learn.

• Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.
• All seasons Kelly holds.
• At least 1 games (min_sample).
• Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.