Prop hit rates and team betting records
A player's hit rate counts his games over, under and push against a line; a team's betting record counts its finals against the closing lines.
Updated November 6, 2026
Prop hit rates
A hit rate counts a player's games over, under and push against a line in his last 5, 10 and 20 games and the season, each with its game count: always "7 of 10", never a percentage alone.
It is counted against today's consensus line by default, and against each game's own closing line where Kelly froze one. Games he didn't play are left out; a game he left hurt is kept and marked. A hit rate is a count, never an edge.
Team betting records
A team's betting record counts its finals against the closing lines: straight up, against the spread and over/under, at home and away, as favourite and underdog, with pushes apart and every split with its game count. Each game names whose close it used.