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Kelly

Bills 31, Dolphins 28

Buffalo Bills (1-0) at Miami Dolphins (0-1)Hard Rock Stadium

Final: Bills 31, Dolphins 28 at Hard Rock Stadium. The Dolphins covered the closing spread (Dolphins +5.5). 59 points went over the 42.5 closing total.

Bills
31
Dolphins
28
Closing spread
Dolphins +5.5Dolphins covered
Closing total
42.5Over

Line score (2)

Showing (2) of (2) · This game

TeamFinalCloseATSTotalO/U
Buffalo Bills31-5.5Missed42.5Over
Miami Dolphins285.5Covered42.5Over

Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close

Team comparison (2)

Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

TeamGames playedEPA per playSuccess rateEPA per play allowedSuccess rate allowedPassing yardsRushing yardsSacksInterceptions caughtFumbles lost
Miami Dolphins1610.005190.45915———————
Buffalo Bills1610.16540.5032———————
League average160.0319690.453———————

Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.

Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.

Unit against unit (10)

Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

StatOffenseOff rankDefense facedDef rankNFL avgRank gap
Bills offense against Dolphins defense
EPA per play0.1654——0.031969Locked
Success rate0.5032——0.452625Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked
Dolphins offense against Bills defense
EPA per play0.00519——0.031969Locked
Success rate0.45915——0.452625Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked

Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.

Injuries (6)

Showing (6) of (6) · Latest team reports

PlayerTeamPosStatusInjuryPracticeChanged
Cole TurnerMIATEInjured reserve———
De'Von AchaneMIARBInjured reserve———
Josh PalmerBUFWRInjured reserve———
Rene KongaMIADEInjured reserve———
Ronnie HarrisonMIALBInjured reserve———
Zane DurantBUFDTInjured reserve———

Source: Injury status from team reports

Questions (4)

Who won Bills vs Dolphins?

Bills 31, Dolphins 28 at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, September 20, 2020.

Did the Bills cover the spread?

No. The closing spread was Dolphins +5.5 at Kelly's consensus.

Did Bills vs Dolphins go over the total?

Yes. 59 points against a 42.5 closing total.

What is the Bills vs Dolphins all-time record?

The Bills lead 13-2 in the (15) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.