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Kelly

Bills 30, Chiefs 21

Kansas City Chiefs (9-0) at Buffalo Bills (8-2)New Era Field

Final: Bills 30, Chiefs 21 at New Era Field. The Bills covered the closing spread (Bills −2.5). 51 points went over the 46.5 closing total.

Chiefs
21
Bills
30
Closing spread
Bills −2.5Bills covered
Closing total
46.5Over

Line score (2)

Showing (2) of (2) · This game

TeamFinalCloseATSTotalO/U
Kansas City Chiefs212.5Missed46.5Over
Buffalo Bills30-2.5Covered46.5Over

Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close

Team comparison (2)

Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

TeamGames playedEPA per playSuccess rateEPA per play allowedSuccess rate allowedPassing yardsRushing yardsSacksInterceptions caughtFumbles lost
Kansas City Chiefs1710.07290.4776———————
Buffalo Bills1710.18820.4747———————
League average170.0091560.439———————

Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.

Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.

Unit against unit (10)

Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

StatOffenseOff rankDefense facedDef rankNFL avgRank gap
Chiefs offense against Bills defense
EPA per play0.0729——0.009156Locked
Success rate0.4776——0.438781Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked
Bills offense against Chiefs defense
EPA per play0.1882——0.009156Locked
Success rate0.4747——0.438781Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked

Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.

Injuries (12)

Showing (12) of (12) · Latest team reports

PlayerTeamPosStatusInjuryPracticeChanged
Brashard SmithKCRBInjured reserve———
Chris OladokunKCQBInjured reserve———
Ethan DownsKCLBInjured reserve———
Jeff CaldwellKCWRInjured reserve———
Jimmy HolidayKCWRInjured reserve———
John Michael GyllenborgKCTEInjured reserve———
Josh PalmerBUFWRInjured reserve———
Josh SimmonsKCOTInjured reserve———
L'Jarius SneedKCCBInjured reserve———
Matt WaletzkoKCOTInjured reserve———
Tyquan ThorntonKCWRInjured reserve———
Zane DurantBUFDTInjured reserve———

Source: Injury status from team reports

Questions (4)

Who won Chiefs vs Bills?

Bills 30, Chiefs 21 at New Era Field on Sunday, November 17, 2024.

Did the Bills cover the spread?

Yes. The closing spread was Bills −2.5 at Kelly's consensus.

Did Chiefs vs Bills go over the total?

Yes. 51 points against a 46.5 closing total.

What is the Chiefs vs Bills all-time record?

The series is level at 5-5 in the (10) meetings Kelly holds.