Commanders 30, Falcons 24
Final: Commanders 30, Falcons 24 at FedExField. The Commanders covered the closing spread (Commanders −3.5). 54 points went over the 46.5 closing total.
- Falcons
- 24
- Commanders
- 30
- Closing spread
- Commanders −3.5Commanders covered
- Closing total
- 46.5Over
Line score (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · This game
| Team | Final | Close | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons | 24 | 3.5 | Missed | 46.5 | Over |
| Washington Commanders | 30 | -3.5 | Covered | 46.5 | Over |
Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close
Team comparison (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Team | Games played | EPA per play | Success rate | EPA per play allowed | Success rate allowed | Passing yards | Rushing yards | Sacks | Interceptions caught | Fumbles lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Commanders | 171 | 0.1384 | 0.4844 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Atlanta Falcons | 171 | 0.03413 | 0.4815 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| League average | 17 | 0.009156 | 0.439 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.
Unit against unit (10)
Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Stat | Offense | Off rank | Defense faced | Def rank | NFL avg | Rank gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons offense against Commanders defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | 0.034 | 13 | — | — | 0.009156 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.481 | 5 | — | — | 0.438781 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Commanders offense against Falcons defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | 0.138 | 4 | — | — | 0.009156 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.484 | 4 | — | — | 0.438781 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Injuries (20)
Showing (20) of (20) · Latest team reports
| Player | Team | Pos | Status | Injury | Practice | Changed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Robinson | ATL | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Cameron Williams | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Carter Warren | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Da'Shawn Hand | ATL | DE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Daron Payne | WAS | NT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Dyami Brown | WAS | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| JD Bertrand | ATL | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jalon Walker | ATL | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Javon Kinlaw | WAS | DT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Javontae Jean-Baptiste | WAS | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jaylin Lane | WAS | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jeremy McNichols | WAS | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Laremy Tunsil | WAS | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Leo Chenal | WAS | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Michael Jerrell | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Ryan Hayes | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Samson Ebukam | ATL | DE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Terry McLaurin | WAS | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Trey Sermon | ATL | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
Source: Injury status from team reports
Questions (4)
Who won Falcons vs Commanders?
Commanders 30, Falcons 24 at FedExField on Sunday, December 29, 2024.
Did the Commanders cover the spread?
Yes. The closing spread was Commanders −3.5 at Kelly's consensus.
Did Falcons vs Commanders go over the total?
Yes. 54 points against a 46.5 closing total.
What is the Falcons vs Commanders all-time record?
The Commanders lead 4-1 in the (5) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.