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Kelly

Commanders 30, Falcons 24

Atlanta Falcons (8-7) at Washington Commanders (10-5)FedExField

Final: Commanders 30, Falcons 24 at FedExField. The Commanders covered the closing spread (Commanders −3.5). 54 points went over the 46.5 closing total.

Falcons
24
Commanders
30
Closing spread
Commanders −3.5Commanders covered
Closing total
46.5Over

Line score (2)

Showing (2) of (2) · This game

TeamFinalCloseATSTotalO/U
Atlanta Falcons243.5Missed46.5Over
Washington Commanders30-3.5Covered46.5Over

Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close

Team comparison (2)

Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

TeamGames playedEPA per playSuccess rateEPA per play allowedSuccess rate allowedPassing yardsRushing yardsSacksInterceptions caughtFumbles lost
Washington Commanders1710.13840.4844———————
Atlanta Falcons1710.034130.4815———————
League average170.0091560.439———————

Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.

Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.

Unit against unit (10)

Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

StatOffenseOff rankDefense facedDef rankNFL avgRank gap
Falcons offense against Commanders defense
EPA per play0.03413——0.009156Locked
Success rate0.4815——0.438781Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked
Commanders offense against Falcons defense
EPA per play0.1384——0.009156Locked
Success rate0.4844——0.438781Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked

Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.

Injuries (20)

Showing (20) of (20) · Latest team reports

PlayerTeamPosStatusInjuryPracticeChanged
Brian RobinsonATLRBInjured reserve———
Cameron WilliamsATLOTInjured reserve———
Carter WarrenATLOTInjured reserve———
Da'Shawn HandATLDEInjured reserve———
Daron PayneWASNTInjured reserve———
Dyami BrownWASWRInjured reserve———
JD BertrandATLLBInjured reserve———
Jacory Croskey-MerrittWASRBInjured reserve———
Jalon WalkerATLLBInjured reserve———
Javon KinlawWASDTInjured reserve———
Javontae Jean-BaptisteWASLBInjured reserve———
Jaylin LaneWASWRInjured reserve———
Jeremy McNicholsWASRBInjured reserve———
Laremy TunsilWASOTInjured reserve———
Leo ChenalWASLBInjured reserve———
Michael JerrellATLOTInjured reserve———
Ryan HayesATLOTInjured reserve———
Samson EbukamATLDEInjured reserve———
Terry McLaurinWASWRInjured reserve———
Trey SermonATLRBInjured reserve———

Source: Injury status from team reports

Questions (4)

Who won Falcons vs Commanders?

Commanders 30, Falcons 24 at FedExField on Sunday, December 29, 2024.

Did the Commanders cover the spread?

Yes. The closing spread was Commanders −3.5 at Kelly's consensus.

Did Falcons vs Commanders go over the total?

Yes. 54 points against a 46.5 closing total.

What is the Falcons vs Commanders all-time record?

The Commanders lead 4-1 in the (5) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.