Panthers 44, Falcons 38
Final: Panthers 44, Falcons 38 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Panthers covered the closing spread (Falcons −7.5). 82 points went over the 48.5 closing total.
- Panthers
- 44
- Falcons
- 38
- Closing spread
- Falcons −7.5Falcons missed
- Closing total
- 48.5Over
Line score (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · This game
| Team | Final | Close | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Panthers | 44 | 7.5 | Covered | 48.5 | Over |
| Atlanta Falcons | 38 | -7.5 | Missed | 48.5 | Over |
Data as of 2026-11-14Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close
Team comparison (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Team | Games played | EPA per play | Success rate | EPA per play allowed | Success rate allowed | Passing yards | Rushing yards | Sacks | Interceptions caught | Fumbles lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Panthers | 171 | -0.05222 | 0.41421 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Atlanta Falcons | 171 | 0.03413 | 0.4815 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| League average | 17 | 0.009156 | 0.439 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-14Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.
Unit against unit (10)
Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Stat | Offense | Off rank | Defense faced | Def rank | NFL avg | Rank gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers offense against Falcons defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | -0.052 | 22 | — | — | 0.009156 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.414 | 21 | — | — | 0.438781 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Falcons offense against Panthers defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | 0.034 | 13 | — | — | 0.009156 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.481 | 5 | — | — | 0.438781 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
Data as of 2026-11-14Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Injuries (17)
Showing (17) of (17) · Latest team reports
| Player | Team | Pos | Status | Injury | Practice | Changed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akayleb Evans | CAR | CB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Brian Robinson | ATL | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Cam Jackson | CAR | DT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Cameron Williams | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Carter Warren | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Chris Brazzell II | CAR | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Da'Shawn Hand | ATL | DE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| JD Bertrand | ATL | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jalon Walker | ATL | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jaycee Horn | CAR | CB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Michael Jerrell | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Nic Scourton | CAR | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Ryan Hayes | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Samson Ebukam | ATL | DE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Taylor Moton | CAR | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Thomas Incoom | CAR | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Trey Sermon | ATL | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
Source: Injury status from team reports
Questions (4)
Who won Panthers vs Falcons?
Panthers 44, Falcons 38 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, January 5, 2025.
Did the Panthers cover the spread?
Yes. The closing spread was Falcons −7.5 at Kelly's consensus.
Did Panthers vs Falcons go over the total?
Yes. 82 points against a 48.5 closing total.
What is the Panthers vs Falcons all-time record?
The Panthers lead 8-7 in the (15) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.