Commanders 23, Buccaneers 20
Final: Commanders 23, Buccaneers 20 at Raymond James Stadium. The Commanders covered the closing spread (Buccaneers −3). 43 points went under the 51.5 closing total.
- Commanders
- 23
- Buccaneers
- 20
- Closing spread
- Buccaneers −3Buccaneers missed
- Closing total
- 51.5Under
Line score (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · This game
| Team | Final | Close | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Commanders | 23 | 3 | Covered | 51.5 | Under |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 20 | -3 | Missed | 51.5 | Under |
Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close
Team comparison (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Team | Games played | EPA per play | Success rate | EPA per play allowed | Success rate allowed | Passing yards | Rushing yards | Sacks | Interceptions caught | Fumbles lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Commanders | 171 | 0.1384 | 0.4844 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 171 | 0.1315 | 0.4953 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| League average | 17 | 0.009156 | 0.439 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.
Unit against unit (10)
Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Stat | Offense | Off rank | Defense faced | Def rank | NFL avg | Rank gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders offense against Buccaneers defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | 0.138 | 4 | — | — | 0.009156 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.484 | 4 | — | — | 0.438781 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Buccaneers offense against Commanders defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | 0.131 | 5 | — | — | 0.009156 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.495 | 3 | — | — | 0.438781 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Injuries (13)
Showing (13) of (13) · Latest team reports
| Player | Team | Pos | Status | Injury | Practice | Changed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Rozeboom | TB | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Daron Payne | WAS | NT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Dyami Brown | WAS | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jalen McMillan | TB | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Javon Kinlaw | WAS | DT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Javontae Jean-Baptiste | WAS | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jaylin Lane | WAS | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jeremy McNichols | WAS | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Laremy Tunsil | WAS | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Leo Chenal | WAS | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Kamara | TB | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Terry McLaurin | WAS | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
Source: Injury status from team reports
Questions (4)
Who won Commanders vs Buccaneers?
Commanders 23, Buccaneers 20 at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, January 12, 2025.
Did the Commanders cover the spread?
Yes. The closing spread was Buccaneers −3 at Kelly's consensus.
Did Commanders vs Buccaneers go over the total?
No. 43 points against a 51.5 closing total.
What is the Commanders vs Buccaneers all-time record?
The series is level at 2-2 in the (4) meetings Kelly holds.