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Kelly

Bills 30, Dolphins 27

Miami Dolphins (2-5) at Buffalo Bills (6-2)New Era Field

Final: Bills 30, Dolphins 27 at New Era Field. The Dolphins covered the closing spread (Bills −6.5). 57 points went over the 49 closing total.

Dolphins
27
Bills
30
Closing spread
Bills −6.5Bills missed
Closing total
49Over

Line score (2)

Showing (2) of (2) · This game

TeamFinalCloseATSTotalO/U
Miami Dolphins276.5Covered49Over
Buffalo Bills30-6.5Missed49Over

Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close

Team comparison (2)

Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

TeamGames playedEPA per playSuccess rateEPA per play allowedSuccess rate allowedPassing yardsRushing yardsSacksInterceptions caughtFumbles lost
Miami Dolphins171-0.038210.44415———————
Buffalo Bills1710.18820.4747———————
League average170.0091560.439———————

Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.

Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.

Unit against unit (10)

Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

StatOffenseOff rankDefense facedDef rankNFL avgRank gap
Dolphins offense against Bills defense
EPA per play-0.03821——0.009156Locked
Success rate0.44415——0.438781Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked
Bills offense against Dolphins defense
EPA per play0.1882——0.009156Locked
Success rate0.4747——0.438781Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked

Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.

Injuries (6)

Showing (6) of (6) · Latest team reports

PlayerTeamPosStatusInjuryPracticeChanged
Cole TurnerMIATEInjured reserve———
De'Von AchaneMIARBInjured reserve———
Josh PalmerBUFWRInjured reserve———
Rene KongaMIADEInjured reserve———
Ronnie HarrisonMIALBInjured reserve———
Zane DurantBUFDTInjured reserve———

Source: Injury status from team reports

Questions (4)

Who won Dolphins vs Bills?

Bills 30, Dolphins 27 at New Era Field on Sunday, November 3, 2024.

Did the Bills cover the spread?

No. The closing spread was Bills −6.5 at Kelly's consensus.

Did Dolphins vs Bills go over the total?

Yes. 57 points against a 49 closing total.

What is the Dolphins vs Bills all-time record?

The Bills lead 13-2 in the (15) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.