Bills 44, Buccaneers 32
Final: Bills 44, Buccaneers 32 at New Era Field. The Bills covered the closing spread (Bills −6). 76 points went over the 46.5 closing total.
- Buccaneers
- 32
- Bills
- 44
- Closing spread
- Bills −6Bills covered
- Closing total
- 46.5Over
Line score (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · This game
| Team | Final | Close | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 32 | 6 | Missed | 46.5 | Over |
| Buffalo Bills | 44 | -6 | Covered | 46.5 | Over |
Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close
Team comparison (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Team | Games played | EPA per play | Success rate | EPA per play allowed | Success rate allowed | Passing yards | Rushing yards | Sacks | Interceptions caught | Fumbles lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 171 | -0.00619 | 0.42524 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Buffalo Bills | 171 | 0.1413 | 0.4882 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| League average | 17 | 0.005844 | 0.440 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.
Unit against unit (10)
Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Stat | Offense | Off rank | Defense faced | Def rank | NFL avg | Rank gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers offense against Bills defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | -0.006 | 19 | — | — | 0.005844 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.425 | 24 | — | — | 0.4395 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Bills offense against Buccaneers defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | 0.141 | 3 | — | — | 0.005844 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.488 | 2 | — | — | 0.4395 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Injuries (5)
Showing (5) of (5) · Latest team reports
| Player | Team | Pos | Status | Injury | Practice | Changed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Rozeboom | TB | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jalen McMillan | TB | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Josh Palmer | BUF | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Kamara | TB | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Zane Durant | BUF | DT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
Source: Injury status from team reports
Questions (4)
Who won Buccaneers vs Bills?
Bills 44, Buccaneers 32 at New Era Field on Sunday, November 16, 2025.
Did the Bills cover the spread?
Yes. The closing spread was Bills −6 at Kelly's consensus.
Did Buccaneers vs Bills go over the total?
Yes. 76 points against a 46.5 closing total.
What is the Buccaneers vs Bills all-time record?
The Bills lead 2-1 in the (3) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.