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Kelly

Texans 23, Bills 19

Buffalo Bills (7-3) at Houston Texans (5-5)NRG Stadium

Final: Texans 23, Bills 19 at NRG Stadium. The Texans covered the closing spread (Texans +5.5). 42 points went under the 43.5 closing total.

Bills
19
Texans
23
Closing spread
Texans +5.5Texans covered
Closing total
43.5Under

Line score (2)

Showing (2) of (2) · This game

TeamFinalCloseATSTotalO/U
Buffalo Bills19-5.5Missed43.5Under
Houston Texans235.5Covered43.5Under

Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close

Team comparison (2)

Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

TeamGames playedEPA per playSuccess rateEPA per play allowedSuccess rate allowedPassing yardsRushing yardsSacksInterceptions caughtFumbles lost
Houston Texans171-0.01210.41428———————
Buffalo Bills1710.14130.4882———————
League average170.0058440.440———————

Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.

Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.

Unit against unit (10)

Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

StatOffenseOff rankDefense facedDef rankNFL avgRank gap
Bills offense against Texans defense
EPA per play0.1413——0.005844Locked
Success rate0.4882——0.4395Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked
Texans offense against Bills defense
EPA per play-0.0121——0.005844Locked
Success rate0.41428——0.4395Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked

Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.

Injuries (12)

Showing (12) of (12) · Latest team reports

PlayerTeamPosStatusInjuryPracticeChanged
Ali GayeHOUDEInjured reserve———
British BrooksHOURBInjured reserve———
Dylan HortonHOUDEInjured reserve———
Graham MertzHOUQBInjured reserve———
Jayden HigginsHOUWRInjured reserve———
Jaylin NoelHOUWRInjured reserve———
Josh PalmerBUFWRInjured reserve———
K.C. OssaiHOULBInjured reserve———
Mario EdwardsHOUDTInjured reserve———
Sam HagenHOUOTInjured reserve———
Solomon ByrdHOUDEInjured reserve———
Zane DurantBUFDTInjured reserve———

Source: Injury status from team reports

Questions (4)

Who won Bills vs Texans?

Texans 23, Bills 19 at NRG Stadium on Thursday, November 20, 2025.

Did the Texans cover the spread?

Yes. The closing spread was Texans +5.5 at Kelly's consensus.

Did Bills vs Texans go over the total?

No. 42 points against a 43.5 closing total.

What is the Bills vs Texans all-time record?

The Texans lead 3-2 in the (5) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.