Dolphins 20, Buccaneers 17
Final: Dolphins 20, Buccaneers 17 at Hard Rock Stadium. The Dolphins covered the closing spread (Dolphins +5.5). 37 points went under the 44.5 closing total.
- Buccaneers
- 17
- Dolphins
- 20
- Closing spread
- Dolphins +5.5Dolphins covered
- Closing total
- 44.5Under
Line score (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · This game
| Team | Final | Close | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 17 | -5.5 | Missed | 44.5 | Under |
| Miami Dolphins | 20 | 5.5 | Covered | 44.5 | Under |
Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close
Team comparison (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Team | Games played | EPA per play | Success rate | EPA per play allowed | Success rate allowed | Passing yards | Rushing yards | Sacks | Interceptions caught | Fumbles lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 171 | -0.00619 | 0.42524 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miami Dolphins | 171 | -0.01622 | 0.42025 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| League average | 17 | 0.005844 | 0.440 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.
Unit against unit (10)
Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Stat | Offense | Off rank | Defense faced | Def rank | NFL avg | Rank gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers offense against Dolphins defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | -0.006 | 19 | — | — | 0.005844 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.425 | 24 | — | — | 0.4395 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Dolphins offense against Buccaneers defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | -0.016 | 22 | — | — | 0.005844 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.42 | 25 | — | — | 0.4395 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Injuries (7)
Showing (7) of (7) · Latest team reports
| Player | Team | Pos | Status | Injury | Practice | Changed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Rozeboom | TB | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Cole Turner | MIA | TE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| De'Von Achane | MIA | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jalen McMillan | TB | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Kamara | TB | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Rene Konga | MIA | DE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Ronnie Harrison | MIA | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
Source: Injury status from team reports
Questions (4)
Who won Buccaneers vs Dolphins?
Dolphins 20, Buccaneers 17 at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, December 28, 2025.
Did the Dolphins cover the spread?
Yes. The closing spread was Dolphins +5.5 at Kelly's consensus.
Did Buccaneers vs Dolphins go over the total?
No. 37 points against a 44.5 closing total.
What is the Buccaneers vs Dolphins all-time record?
The series is level at 1-1 in the (2) meetings Kelly holds.