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Kelly

Colts 29, Broncos 28

Denver Broncos (1-0) at Indianapolis Colts (1-0)Lucas Oil Stadium

Final: Colts 29, Broncos 28 at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Colts covered the closing spread (Colts +2.5). 57 points went over the 43.5 closing total.

Broncos
28
Colts
29
Closing spread
Colts +2.5Colts covered
Closing total
43.5Over

Line score (2)

Showing (2) of (2) · This game

TeamFinalCloseATSTotalO/U
Denver Broncos28-2.5Missed43.5Over
Indianapolis Colts292.5Covered43.5Over

Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close

Team comparison (2)

Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

TeamGames playedEPA per playSuccess rateEPA per play allowedSuccess rate allowedPassing yardsRushing yardsSacksInterceptions caughtFumbles lost
Denver Broncos1710.048100.44116———————
Indianapolis Colts1710.07590.4647———————
League average170.0058440.440———————

Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.

Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.

Unit against unit (10)

Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

StatOffenseOff rankDefense facedDef rankNFL avgRank gap
Broncos offense against Colts defense
EPA per play0.04810——0.005844Locked
Success rate0.44116——0.4395Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked
Colts offense against Broncos defense
EPA per play0.0759——0.005844Locked
Success rate0.4647——0.4395Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked

Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.

Injuries (13)

Showing (13) of (13) · Latest team reports

PlayerTeamPosStatusInjuryPracticeChanged
Alec PierceINDWRInjured reserve———
Cam Taylor-BrittINDCBInjured reserve———
Cameron MitchellINDDBInjured reserve———
Carson TowtINDTEInjured reserve———
D.J. MontgomeryINDWRInjured reserve———
Eyioma UwazurikeDENDTInjured reserve———
Jonah EllissDENLBInjured reserve———
Levelle BaileyDENLBInjured reserve———
Matt HenningsenDENDEInjured reserve———
Michael DeiterDENCInjured reserve———
Micheal ClemonsINDDEInjured reserve———
RJ HarveyDENRBInjured reserve———
Tyler BadieDENRBInjured reserve———

Source: Injury status from team reports

Questions (4)

Who won Broncos vs Colts?

Colts 29, Broncos 28 at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday, September 14, 2025.

Did the Colts cover the spread?

Yes. The closing spread was Colts +2.5 at Kelly's consensus.

Did Broncos vs Colts go over the total?

Yes. 57 points against a 43.5 closing total.

What is the Broncos vs Colts all-time record?

The Colts lead 3-1 in the (4) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.