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Kelly

Packers 27, Commanders 18

Washington Commanders (1-0) at Green Bay Packers (1-0)Lambeau Field

Final: Packers 27, Commanders 18 at Lambeau Field. The Packers covered the closing spread (Packers −3.5). 45 points went under the 48.5 closing total.

Commanders
18
Packers
27
Closing spread
Packers −3.5Packers covered
Closing total
48.5Under

Line score (2)

Showing (2) of (2) · This game

TeamFinalCloseATSTotalO/U
Washington Commanders183.5Missed48.5Under
Green Bay Packers27-3.5Covered48.5Under

Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close

Team comparison (2)

Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

TeamGames playedEPA per playSuccess rateEPA per play allowedSuccess rate allowedPassing yardsRushing yardsSacksInterceptions caughtFumbles lost
Green Bay Packers1710.11340.4765———————
Washington Commanders1710.007180.45710———————
League average170.0058440.440———————

Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.

Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.

Unit against unit (10)

Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

StatOffenseOff rankDefense facedDef rankNFL avgRank gap
Commanders offense against Packers defense
EPA per play0.00718——0.005844Locked
Success rate0.45710——0.4395Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked
Packers offense against Commanders defense
EPA per play0.1134——0.005844Locked
Success rate0.4765——0.4395Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked

Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.

Injuries (20)

Showing (20) of (20) · Latest team reports

PlayerTeamPosStatusInjuryPracticeChanged
Daron PayneWASNTInjured reserve———
Dyami BrownWASWRInjured reserve———
Edgerrin CooperGBLBInjured reserve———
Jacob MonkGBGInjured reserve———
Jacory Croskey-MerrittWASRBInjured reserve———
Javon HargraveGBNTInjured reserve———
Javon KinlawWASDTInjured reserve———
Javontae Jean-BaptisteWASLBInjured reserve———
Jayden ReedGBWRInjured reserve———
Jaylin LaneWASWRInjured reserve———
Jeremy McNicholsWASRBInjured reserve———
Johnathan BaldwinGBSAFInjured reserve———
Jonathan FordGBDTInjured reserve———
Laremy TunsilWASOTInjured reserve———
Leo ChenalWASLBInjured reserve———
McCallan CastlesGBTEInjured reserve———
Terry McLaurinWASWRInjured reserve———
Thomas YassminGBTEInjured reserve———
Warren BrinsonGBDTInjured reserve———
Zach Bako-BeweleGBGInjured reserve———

Source: Injury status from team reports

Questions (4)

Who won Commanders vs Packers?

Packers 27, Commanders 18 at Lambeau Field on Thursday, September 11, 2025.

Did the Packers cover the spread?

Yes. The closing spread was Packers −3.5 at Kelly's consensus.

Did Commanders vs Packers go over the total?

No. 45 points against a 48.5 closing total.

What is the Commanders vs Packers all-time record?

The Packers lead 3-1 in the (4) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.