Bills 31, Dolphins 21
Final: Bills 31, Dolphins 21 at New Era Field. The Dolphins covered the closing spread (Bills −12.5). 52 points went over the 50.5 closing total.
- Dolphins
- 21
- Bills
- 31
- Closing spread
- Bills −12.5Bills missed
- Closing total
- 50.5Over
Line score (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · This game
| Team | Final | Close | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Dolphins | 21 | 12.5 | Covered | 50.5 | Over |
| Buffalo Bills | 31 | -12.5 | Missed | 50.5 | Over |
Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close
Team comparison (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Team | Games played | EPA per play | Success rate | EPA per play allowed | Success rate allowed | Passing yards | Rushing yards | Sacks | Interceptions caught | Fumbles lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Dolphins | 171 | -0.01622 | 0.42025 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Buffalo Bills | 171 | 0.1413 | 0.4882 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| League average | 17 | 0.005844 | 0.440 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.
Unit against unit (10)
Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Stat | Offense | Off rank | Defense faced | Def rank | NFL avg | Rank gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins offense against Bills defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | -0.016 | 22 | — | — | 0.005844 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.42 | 25 | — | — | 0.4395 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Bills offense against Dolphins defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | 0.141 | 3 | — | — | 0.005844 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.488 | 2 | — | — | 0.4395 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Injuries (6)
Showing (6) of (6) · Latest team reports
| Player | Team | Pos | Status | Injury | Practice | Changed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Turner | MIA | TE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| De'Von Achane | MIA | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Josh Palmer | BUF | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Rene Konga | MIA | DE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Ronnie Harrison | MIA | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Zane Durant | BUF | DT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
Source: Injury status from team reports
Questions (4)
Who won Dolphins vs Bills?
Bills 31, Dolphins 21 at New Era Field on Thursday, September 18, 2025.
Did the Bills cover the spread?
No. The closing spread was Bills −12.5 at Kelly's consensus.
Did Dolphins vs Bills go over the total?
Yes. 52 points against a 50.5 closing total.
What is the Dolphins vs Bills all-time record?
The Bills lead 13-2 in the (15) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.