Falcons 34, Commanders 27
Final: Falcons 34, Commanders 27 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Falcons covered the closing spread (Falcons −2.5). 61 points went over the 43.5 closing total.
- Commanders
- 27
- Falcons
- 34
- Closing spread
- Falcons −2.5Falcons covered
- Closing total
- 43.5Over
Line score (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · This game
| Team | Final | Close | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Commanders | 27 | 2.5 | Missed | 43.5 | Over |
| Atlanta Falcons | 34 | -2.5 | Covered | 43.5 | Over |
Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close
Team comparison (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Team | Games played | EPA per play | Success rate | EPA per play allowed | Success rate allowed | Passing yards | Rushing yards | Sacks | Interceptions caught | Fumbles lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Commanders | 171 | 0.00718 | 0.45710 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Atlanta Falcons | 171 | -0.02224 | 0.43718 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| League average | 17 | 0.005844 | 0.440 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.
Unit against unit (10)
Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Stat | Offense | Off rank | Defense faced | Def rank | NFL avg | Rank gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders offense against Falcons defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | 0.007 | 18 | — | — | 0.005844 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.457 | 10 | — | — | 0.4395 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Falcons offense against Commanders defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | -0.022 | 24 | — | — | 0.005844 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.437 | 18 | — | — | 0.4395 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Injuries (20)
Showing (20) of (20) · Latest team reports
| Player | Team | Pos | Status | Injury | Practice | Changed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Robinson | ATL | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Cameron Williams | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Carter Warren | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Da'Shawn Hand | ATL | DE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Daron Payne | WAS | NT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Dyami Brown | WAS | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| JD Bertrand | ATL | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | WAS | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jalon Walker | ATL | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Javon Kinlaw | WAS | DT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Javontae Jean-Baptiste | WAS | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jaylin Lane | WAS | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jeremy McNichols | WAS | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Laremy Tunsil | WAS | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Leo Chenal | WAS | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Michael Jerrell | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Ryan Hayes | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Samson Ebukam | ATL | DE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Terry McLaurin | WAS | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Trey Sermon | ATL | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
Source: Injury status from team reports
Questions (4)
Who won Commanders vs Falcons?
Falcons 34, Commanders 27 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, September 28, 2025.
Did the Falcons cover the spread?
Yes. The closing spread was Falcons −2.5 at Kelly's consensus.
Did Commanders vs Falcons go over the total?
Yes. 61 points against a 43.5 closing total.
What is the Commanders vs Falcons all-time record?
The Commanders lead 4-1 in the (5) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.