Vikings 23, Buccaneers 16
Final: Vikings 23, Buccaneers 16 at Raymond James Stadium. The Vikings covered the closing spread (Buccaneers +1.5). 39 points went under the 42.5 closing total.
- Vikings
- 23
- Buccaneers
- 16
- Closing spread
- Buccaneers +1.5Buccaneers missed
- Closing total
- 42.5Under
Line score (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · This game
| Team | Final | Close | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Vikings | 23 | -1.5 | Covered | 42.5 | Under |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 16 | 1.5 | Missed | 42.5 | Under |
Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close
Team comparison (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Team | Games played | EPA per play | Success rate | EPA per play allowed | Success rate allowed | Passing yards | Rushing yards | Sacks | Interceptions caught | Fumbles lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Vikings | 53 | -0.10328 | 0.35732 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 53 | -0.08826 | 0.40922 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| League average | 5 | 0.007094 | 0.434 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-15Source: nflverse data (CC BY 4.0)Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.
Unit against unit (10)
Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Stat | Offense | Off rank | Defense faced | Def rank | NFL avg | Rank gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings offense against Buccaneers defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | -0.103 | 28 | — | — | 0.007094 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.357 | 32 | — | — | 0.434406 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Buccaneers offense against Vikings defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | -0.088 | 26 | — | — | 0.007094 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.409 | 22 | — | — | 0.434406 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Injuries (9)
Showing (9) of (9) · Latest team reports
| Player | Team | Pos | Status | Injury | Practice | Changed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Rozeboom | TB | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Demond Claiborne | MIN | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Donovan Jackson | MIN | G | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jalen McMillan | TB | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jamal Adams | MIN | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Josh Oliver | MIN | TE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Kamara | TB | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Nick Samac | MIN | C | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Tyler Batty | MIN | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
Source: Injury status from team reports
Questions (4)
Who won Vikings vs Buccaneers?
Vikings 23, Buccaneers 16 at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, September 27, 2026.
Did the Vikings cover the spread?
Yes. The closing spread was Buccaneers +1.5 at Kelly's consensus.
Did Vikings vs Buccaneers go over the total?
No. 39 points against a 42.5 closing total.
What is the Vikings vs Buccaneers all-time record?
The Buccaneers lead 2-1 in the (3) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.