Falcons 45, Saints 24
Final: Falcons 45, Saints 24 at Caesars Superdome. The Falcons covered the closing spread (Saints −1.5). 69 points went over the 47.5 closing total.
- Falcons
- 45
- Saints
- 24
- Closing spread
- Saints −1.5Saints missed
- Closing total
- 47.5Over
Line score (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · This game
| Team | Final | Close | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons | 45 | 1.5 | Covered | 47.5 | Over |
| New Orleans Saints | 24 | -1.5 | Missed | 47.5 | Over |
Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close
Team comparison (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Team | Games played | EPA per play | Success rate | EPA per play allowed | Success rate allowed | Passing yards | Rushing yards | Sacks | Interceptions caught | Fumbles lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Saints | 53 | -0.05423 | 0.43115 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Atlanta Falcons | 53 | -0.02720 | 0.46110 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| League average | 5 | 0.007094 | 0.434 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-15Source: nflverse data (CC BY 4.0)Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.
Unit against unit (10)
Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Stat | Offense | Off rank | Defense faced | Def rank | NFL avg | Rank gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons offense against Saints defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | -0.027 | 20 | — | — | 0.007094 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.461 | 10 | — | — | 0.434406 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Saints offense against Falcons defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | -0.054 | 23 | — | — | 0.007094 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.431 | 15 | — | — | 0.434406 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Injuries (15)
Showing (15) of (15) · Latest team reports
| Player | Team | Pos | Status | Injury | Practice | Changed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Robinson | ATL | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Bryan Bresee | NO | DT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Cameron Williams | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Carter Warren | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Da'Shawn Hand | ATL | DE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Dillon Radunz | NO | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| JD Bertrand | ATL | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jalon Walker | ATL | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Michael Jerrell | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Moliki Matavao | NO | TE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Rejzohn Wright | NO | DB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Ryan Hayes | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Samson Ebukam | ATL | DE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Trey Sermon | ATL | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Ty Chandler | NO | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
Source: Injury status from team reports
Questions (4)
Who won Falcons vs Saints?
Falcons 45, Saints 24 at Caesars Superdome on Monday, October 5, 2026.
Did the Falcons cover the spread?
Yes. The closing spread was Saints −1.5 at Kelly's consensus.
Did Falcons vs Saints go over the total?
Yes. 69 points against a 47.5 closing total.
What is the Falcons vs Saints all-time record?
The Saints lead 8-7 in the (15) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.