Packers 17, Buccaneers 14
Final: Packers 17, Buccaneers 14 at Raymond James Stadium. The closing spread (Buccaneers +3) was a push. 31 points went under the 38.5 closing total.
- Packers
- 17
- Buccaneers
- 14
- Closing spread
- Buccaneers +3Buccaneers push
- Closing total
- 38.5Under
Line score (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · This game
| Team | Final | Close | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 17 | -3 | Push | 38.5 | Under |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 14 | 3 | Push | 38.5 | Under |
Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close
Team comparison (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Team | Games played | EPA per play | Success rate | EPA per play allowed | Success rate allowed | Passing yards | Rushing yards | Sacks | Interceptions caught | Fumbles lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 53 | -0.02418 | 0.40524 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 53 | -0.08826 | 0.40922 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| League average | 5 | 0.007094 | 0.434 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-15Source: nflverse data (CC BY 4.0)Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.
Unit against unit (10)
Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Stat | Offense | Off rank | Defense faced | Def rank | NFL avg | Rank gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers offense against Buccaneers defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | -0.024 | 18 | — | — | 0.007094 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.405 | 24 | — | — | 0.434406 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Buccaneers offense against Packers defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | -0.088 | 26 | — | — | 0.007094 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.409 | 22 | — | — | 0.434406 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Injuries (13)
Showing (13) of (13) · Latest team reports
| Player | Team | Pos | Status | Injury | Practice | Changed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Rozeboom | TB | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Edgerrin Cooper | GB | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jacob Monk | GB | G | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jalen McMillan | TB | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Javon Hargrave | GB | NT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jayden Reed | GB | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Johnathan Baldwin | GB | SAF | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Ford | GB | DT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| McCallan Castles | GB | TE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Kamara | TB | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Thomas Yassmin | GB | TE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Warren Brinson | GB | DT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Zach Bako-Bewele | GB | G | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
Source: Injury status from team reports
Questions (4)
Who won Packers vs Buccaneers?
Packers 17, Buccaneers 14 at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, October 4, 2026.
Did the Packers cover the spread?
It was a push. The closing spread was Buccaneers +3 at Kelly's consensus.
Did Packers vs Buccaneers go over the total?
No. 31 points against a 38.5 closing total.
What is the Packers vs Buccaneers all-time record?
The Buccaneers lead 3-2 in the (5) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.