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Kelly

Ravens 30, Falcons 23

Baltimore Ravens (3-1) at Atlanta Falcons (2-2)Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Final: Ravens 30, Falcons 23 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Ravens covered the closing spread (Falcons −3.5). 53 points went over the 44.5 closing total.

Ravens
30
Falcons
23
Closing spread
Falcons −3.5Falcons missed
Closing total
44.5Over

Line score (2)

Showing (2) of (2) · This game

TeamFinalCloseATSTotalO/U
Baltimore Ravens303.5Covered44.5Over
Atlanta Falcons23-3.5Missed44.5Over

Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close

Team comparison (2)

Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

TeamGames playedEPA per playSuccess rateEPA per play allowedSuccess rate allowedPassing yardsRushing yardsSacksInterceptions caughtFumbles lost
Baltimore Ravens530.15260.5072———————
Atlanta Falcons53-0.027200.46110———————
League average50.0070940.434———————

Data as of 2026-11-15Source: nflverse data (CC BY 4.0)Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.

Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.

Unit against unit (10)

Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

StatOffenseOff rankDefense facedDef rankNFL avgRank gap
Ravens offense against Falcons defense
EPA per play0.1526——0.007094Locked
Success rate0.5072——0.434406Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked
Falcons offense against Ravens defense
EPA per play-0.02720——0.007094Locked
Success rate0.46110——0.434406Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked

Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.

Injuries (22)

Showing (22) of (22) · Latest team reports

PlayerTeamPosStatusInjuryPracticeChanged
Adam RandallBALRBInjured reserve———
Bilhal KoneBALCBInjured reserve———
Brian RobinsonATLRBInjured reserve———
Cameron WilliamsATLOTInjured reserve———
Carter WarrenATLOTInjured reserve———
Da'Shawn HandATLDEInjured reserve———
Danny PinterBALGInjured reserve———
Durham SmytheBALTEInjured reserve———
Ethan PocicBALCInjured reserve———
JD BertrandATLLBInjured reserve———
Jahquez RobinsonBALSAFInjured reserve———
Jalon WalkerATLLBInjured reserve———
Jovaughn GwynBALCInjured reserve———
Lamar JacksonBALQBInjured reserve———
Michael JerrellATLOTInjured reserve———
Ryan HayesATLOTInjured reserve———
Samson EbukamATLDEInjured reserve———
Skylar ThompsonBALQBInjured reserve———
Tavius RobinsonBALLBInjured reserve———
Trey SermonATLRBInjured reserve———
Tyler HuntleyBALQBInjured reserve———
Tyler LoopBALKInjured reserve———

Source: Injury status from team reports

Questions (4)

Who won Ravens vs Falcons?

Ravens 30, Falcons 23 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, October 11, 2026.

Did the Ravens cover the spread?

Yes. The closing spread was Falcons −3.5 at Kelly's consensus.

Did Ravens vs Falcons go over the total?

Yes. 53 points against a 44.5 closing total.

What is the Ravens vs Falcons all-time record?

The Ravens lead 2-0 in the (2) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.