Bears 31, Falcons 23
Final: Bears 31, Falcons 23 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Bears covered the closing spread (Falcons +1). 54 points went over the 51 closing total.
- Bears
- 31
- Falcons
- 23
- Closing spread
- Falcons +1Falcons missed
- Closing total
- 51Over
Line score (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · This game
| Team | Final | Close | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears | 31 | -1 | Covered | 51 | Over |
| Atlanta Falcons | 23 | 1 | Missed | 51 | Over |
Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close
Team comparison (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Team | Games played | EPA per play | Success rate | EPA per play allowed | Success rate allowed | Passing yards | Rushing yards | Sacks | Interceptions caught | Fumbles lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears | 53 | 0.02312 | 0.46110 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Atlanta Falcons | 53 | -0.02720 | 0.46110 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| League average | 5 | 0.007094 | 0.434 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-15Source: nflverse data (CC BY 4.0)Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.
Unit against unit (10)
Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Stat | Offense | Off rank | Defense faced | Def rank | NFL avg | Rank gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears offense against Falcons defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | 0.023 | 12 | — | — | 0.007094 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.461 | 10 | — | — | 0.434406 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Falcons offense against Bears defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | -0.027 | 20 | — | — | 0.007094 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.461 | 10 | — | — | 0.434406 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Injuries (24)
Showing (24) of (24) · Latest team reports
| Player | Team | Pos | Status | Injury | Practice | Changed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Jones | CHI | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Brian Robinson | ATL | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Brittain Brown | CHI | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Cameron Williams | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Carter Warren | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Coby Bryant | CHI | CB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Cole Kmet | CHI | TE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Da'Shawn Hand | ATL | DE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Dallis Flowers | CHI | CB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Dayo Odeyingbo | CHI | DE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Dontae Manning | CHI | CB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Hayden Large | CHI | TE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| JD Bertrand | ATL | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jalon Walker | ATL | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Kentavius Street | CHI | DE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Michael Jerrell | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Nephi Sewell | CHI | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Nikola Kalinic | CHI | TE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Ruben Hyppolite II | CHI | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Ryan Hayes | ATL | OT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Samson Ebukam | ATL | DE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Tony Fields II | CHI | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Trey Sermon | ATL | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Zavier Scott | CHI | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
Source: Injury status from team reports
Questions (4)
Who won Bears vs Falcons?
Bears 31, Falcons 23 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, October 18, 2026.
Did the Bears cover the spread?
Yes. The closing spread was Falcons +1 at Kelly's consensus.
Did Bears vs Falcons go over the total?
Yes. 54 points against a 51 closing total.
What is the Bears vs Falcons all-time record?
The Bears lead 3-1 in the (4) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.