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Kelly

Falcons at Buccaneers

Atlanta Falcons (3-4) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-5)Raymond James Stadium

The Buccaneers (2-5) are 6.5-point favourites at home against the Falcons (3-4) on Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, with a total of 31.5. That implies Falcons 12.5, Buccaneers 19. The no-vig moneyline gives the Buccaneers a 78.7% win chance.

Spread
Buccaneers −6.5Open PK
Total
31.5Open 44.5
Moneyline
Falcons +296 · Buccaneers −420No-vig 21.3% · 78.7%
Implied score
Falcons 12.5 · Buccaneers 19
Kickoff
Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ETRaymond James Stadium

Team comparison (2)

Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

TeamGames playedEPA per playSuccess rateEPA per play allowedSuccess rate allowedPassing yardsRushing yardsSacksInterceptions caughtFumbles lost
Tampa Bay Buccaneers53-0.088260.40922———————
Atlanta Falcons53-0.027200.46110———————
League average50.0070940.434———————

Data as of 2026-11-15Source: nflverse data (CC BY 4.0)Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.Sum of player lines where there is no official team line (official team lines come first).

Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.

Unit against unit (10)

Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

StatOffenseOff rankDefense facedDef rankNFL avgRank gap
Falcons offense against Buccaneers defense
EPA per play-0.02720——0.007094Locked
Success rate0.46110——0.434406Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked
Buccaneers offense against Falcons defense
EPA per play-0.08826——0.007094Locked
Success rate0.40922——0.434406Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked

Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.Sum of player lines where there is no official team line (official team lines come first).

Injuries (13)

Showing (13) of (13) · Latest team reports

PlayerTeamPosStatusInjuryPracticeChanged
Brian RobinsonATLRBInjured reserve———
Cameron WilliamsATLOTInjured reserve———
Carter WarrenATLOTInjured reserve———
Christian RozeboomTBLBInjured reserve———
Da'Shawn HandATLDEInjured reserve———
JD BertrandATLLBInjured reserve———
Jalen McMillanTBWRInjured reserve———
Jalon WalkerATLLBInjured reserve———
Michael JerrellATLOTInjured reserve———
Mohamed KamaraTBLBInjured reserve———
Ryan HayesATLOTInjured reserve———
Samson EbukamATLDEInjured reserve———
Trey SermonATLRBInjured reserve———

Source: Injury status from team reports

Questions (6)

What is the spread for Falcons vs Buccaneers?

Buccaneers −6.5 at Kelly's consensus of US sportsbooks, after opening at PK. The total is 31.5.

Who is favoured, Falcons or Buccaneers?

The Buccaneers, at −420 on the moneyline: a 78.7% win chance once the sportsbook margin is removed.

When is Falcons vs Buccaneers?

Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET at Raymond James Stadium.

Who is injured for Falcons vs Buccaneers?

Nobody is listed out on the latest team reports.

Who won the last Falcons-Buccaneers game?

The Falcons, 29-28 on Thursday, December 11, 2025.

What is the Falcons vs Buccaneers all-time record?

The Buccaneers lead 9-6 in the (15) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.