NFL ATS records
Every NFL team's record against the spread, graded against the closing line: cover rate with its range, average cover margin, favourite and underdog, home and away, division, primetime and off a bye, for any seasons since 1999.
The Denver Broncos have the best record against the spread in the 2026 regular season at 7-2-0 (77.8%), beating the closing spread by +0.7 points a game. The Los Angeles Chargers are worst at 0-7-1 (0.0%). Favourites are 67-63-7 (51.5%) against the spread and games are 71-65-1 (52.2%) against the total across 137 games.
Team ATS records (32)
Showing (32) of (32) · Totals · Sorted by Cover %, high to low · Compared with the 32 teams over the same games
| Team | G | SU | ATS | Cover % | Avg cover margin | Avg spread | As fav | As dog | Home | Away | Last 5 ATS | ATS streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | 9 | 7-2-0 | 7-2-0 | 77.8% | 0.7 | -0.7 | 5-0-0 | 2-2-0 | 4-0-0 | 3-2-0 | WWWWW | W5 |
| Buffalo Bills | 8 | 7-1-0 | 6-2-0 | 75% | 5.1 | -3.6 | 5-2-0 | 1-0-0 | 3-1-0 | 3-1-0 | LWLWW | W2 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 8 | 6-2-0 | 6-2-0 | 75% | 2.9 | -1.6 | 5-1-0 | 1-1-0 | 4-0-0 | 1-2-0 | LWWWW | W4 |
| Chicago Bears | 9 | 7-2-0 | 6-3-0 | 66.7% | 4.5 | -1.8 | 4-3-0 | 2-0-0 | 3-2-0 | 3-1-0 | LWWWL | L1 |
| Cleveland Browns | 9 | 5-4-0 | 6-3-0 | 66.7% | -0.1 | 3.8 | 1-0-0 | 5-3-0 | 3-0-0 | 3-3-0 | LWWLW | W1 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 9 | 4-5-0 | 6-3-0 | 66.7% | 0.3 | 3.7 | 1-0-0 | 5-3-0 | 3-1-0 | 3-2-0 | LWLWL | L1 |
| New York Giants | 9 | 5-3-1 | 6-3-0 | 66.7% | 2.9 | 2.2 | 2-1-0 | 4-2-0 | 3-2-0 | 3-1-0 | WLWWL | L1 |
| Green Bay Packers | 9 | 6-3-0 | 5-3-1 | 62.5% | 2.3 | -0.4 | 1-2-1 | 4-1-0 | 3-1-0 | 2-2-1 | WWWWW | W5 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 8 | 6-2-0 | 5-3-0 | 62.5% | 9.1 | -4.4 | 4-2-0 | 1-1-0 | 3-0-0 | 2-1-0 | WLLWW | W2 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 8 | 7-1-0 | 5-3-0 | 62.5% | 5.5 | -4.4 | 3-3-0 | 2-0-0 | 3-2-0 | 1-1-0 | WWLLW | W1 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 8 | 6-2-0 | 4-3-1 | 57.1% | 4 | -4.1 | 3-3-1 | 1-0-0 | 1-2-0 | 2-1-1 | LPWLW | W1 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 9 | 5-4-0 | 5-4-0 | 55.6% | -1.1 | -4.7 | 5-3-0 | 0-1-0 | 2-2-0 | 3-1-0 | LLWWW | W3 |
| Washington Commanders | 9 | 3-5-1 | 5-4-0 | 55.6% | -0.1 | 2.9 | 1-1-0 | 4-3-0 | 2-2-0 | 3-1-0 | LWWLW | W1 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 9 | 4-5-0 | 4-4-1 | 50% | -1.8 | -2.9 | 3-4-0 | 1-0-1 | 1-2-0 | 3-2-0 | LLWLW | W1 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 8 | 6-2-0 | 4-4-0 | 50% | 2.6 | -4.8 | 4-3-0 | 0-1-0 | 3-1-0 | 1-3-0 | LWLLW | W1 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 8 | 6-2-0 | 4-4-0 | 50% | 2.4 | -1.4 | 3-2-0 | 1-2-0 | 1-3-0 | 3-1-0 | LWLLL | L3 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 9 | 3-6-0 | 4-4-1 | 50% | 4.8 | 2.1 | 1-1-0 | 3-3-1 | 1-3-1 | 3-1-0 | WLWWW | W3 |
| Tennessee Titans | 8 | 1-7-0 | 4-4-0 | 50% | -0.9 | 5.9 | 0-1-0 | 4-3-0 | 1-3-0 | 3-1-0 | WLWLW | W1 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 9 | 3-6-0 | 4-5-0 | 44.4% | -2.3 | 6.2 | 0-1-0 | 4-4-0 | 0-3-0 | 4-2-0 | LWLWL | L1 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 9 | 2-7-0 | 4-5-0 | 44.4% | -4.7 | 2.6 | 1-1-0 | 3-4-0 | 1-3-0 | 2-2-0 | LLWLL | L2 |
| Detroit Lions | 8 | 6-2-0 | 3-4-1 | 42.9% | 0.1 | -4 | 3-3-1 | 0-1-0 | 1-2-1 | 2-2-0 | LWLWW | W2 |
| Miami Dolphins | 8 | 1-7-0 | 3-4-1 | 42.9% | -1.8 | 7.4 | — | 3-4-1 | 1-2-1 | 2-2-0 | WPWWL | L1 |
| New England Patriots | 9 | 5-4-0 | 3-4-2 | 42.9% | -0.6 | -1 | 2-2-1 | 1-2-1 | 2-1-1 | 1-3-1 | WPLLL | L3 |
| New York Jets | 9 | 2-7-0 | 3-4-2 | 42.9% | -1.8 | 2.7 | 1-2-0 | 2-2-2 | 2-2-0 | 1-2-2 | WPLLL | L3 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 9 | 5-4-0 | 3-4-2 | 42.9% | -0.2 | -4.7 | 3-4-2 | — | 2-2-2 | 1-2-0 | LLWLW | W1 |
| Carolina Panthers | 8 | 3-5-0 | 3-5-0 | 37.5% | -2.1 | 0.4 | 2-2-0 | 1-3-0 | 1-3-0 | 2-2-0 | WWLLL | L3 |
| Houston Texans | 8 | 3-5-0 | 3-5-0 | 37.5% | -1.1 | -3.2 | 2-4-0 | 1-1-0 | 0-4-0 | 2-1-0 | LWWLW | W1 |
| New Orleans Saints | 8 | 3-5-0 | 3-5-0 | 37.5% | -2.6 | 1.3 | 1-3-0 | 2-2-0 | 0-4-0 | 3-0-0 | LLWLL | L2 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 9 | 3-6-0 | 3-6-0 | 33.3% | -1.7 | 2.2 | 0-1-0 | 3-5-0 | 1-3-0 | 2-2-0 | LLWLL | L2 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 9 | 4-5-0 | 2-6-1 | 25% | -6.4 | -1.2 | 1-3-1 | 1-3-0 | 0-4-0 | 2-2-0 | WLLLL | L4 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 9 | 2-7-0 | 1-8-0 | 11.1% | -7 | 1.1 | 0-3-0 | 1-5-0 | 0-5-0 | 0-3-0 | WLLLL | L4 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 8 | 0-8-0 | 0-7-1 | 0% | -9.5 | 2.8 | 0-2-0 | 0-5-1 | 0-4-0 | 0-3-1 | PLLLL | L4 |
| NFL, all teams | 274 | 136-136-2 | 130-130-14 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 67-63-7 | 63-67-7 | 55-69-6 | 69-55-6 | — | — |
| Break-even at −110 | — | — | — | 52.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-14 13:47 UTCSource: nflverse schedules and scores (CC BY 4.0), graded by Kelly; Kelly's closing consensus of the books it tracks; before Kelly kept prices, nflverse's published close (CC BY 4.0), else The Odds API's closing snapshots; opening lines from Kelly's Monday sheet, else The Odds API's Monday snapshot (from August 2020)137 finals, 2026, regular season; closes: kelly_consensus, nflverse_closing.A rate under 5 decided games is a small sample; pushes are left out of every rate.
One team, every season (8)
Showing (8) of (8) · Totals · Sorted by Season, high to low · Compared with this team's 8 seasons
| Season | G | SU | ATS | Cover % | Avg cover margin | Avg spread | As fav | As dog | O/U | Over % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9 | 7-2-0 | 6-3-0 | 66.7% | 4.5 | -1.8 | 4-3-0 | 2-0-0 | 5-4-0 | 55.6% |
| 2025 | 17 | 11-6-0 | 9-7-1 | 56.2% | 2.2 | 0.6 | 4-2-1 | 5-5-0 | 8-9-0 | 47.1% |
| 2024 | 17 | 5-12-0 | 8-7-2 | 53.3% | -1 | 2.6 | 3-1-0 | 5-6-2 | 7-10-0 | 41.2% |
| 2023 | 17 | 7-10-0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | 3-14-0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | 6-11-0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 16 | 8-8-0 | 8-8-0 | 50% | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1-2-0 | 7-6-0 | 8-8-0 | 50% |
| 2019 | 16 | 8-8-0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| All (8) seasons | 126 | 55-71-0 | 31-25-3 | 55.4% | 1.7 | 1.2 | 12-8-1 | 19-17-2 | 28-31-0 | 47.5% |
| Break-even at −110 | — | — | — | 52.4% | — | — | — | — | — | 52.4% |
Data as of 2026-11-14 13:47 UTCSource: nflverse schedules and scores (CC BY 4.0), graded by Kelly; Kelly's closing consensus of the books it tracks; before Kelly kept prices, nflverse's published close (CC BY 4.0), else The Odds API's closing snapshots; opening lines from Kelly's Monday sheet, else The Odds API's Monday snapshot (from August 2020)126 finals, 1999 on, regular season; closes: kelly_consensus, nflverse_closing, odds_api_closing.A rate under 5 decided games is a small sample; pushes are left out of every rate.
Questions
Which NFL team has the best ATS record in the 2026 regular season?
The Denver Broncos, 7-2-0 (77.8%) against the closing spread, covering by +0.7 points a game.
How often do NFL favourites cover the spread?
In the 2026 regular season, favourites are 67-63-7 (51.5%) against the closing spread and underdogs 63-67-7 (48.5%).
What does ATS mean?
Against the spread: a team covers when its score margin plus its closing spread is above zero. A favourite of 3 covers by winning by 4 or more; exactly 3 is a push.
What cover rate breaks even?
52.4% at the standard −110 price: risk 110 to win 100, so 110 ÷ 210.
As of Nov 14, 8:47 AM ET · /nfl/ats