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Bills vs Patriots head to head

The Bills lead the series 9-7 across the 16 meetings Kelly holds since 2019, playoffs included. Against the closing spread the Bills are 2-5 (7); over/under 4-2-1 (7). Last 10: Bills 6-4 (10). Next: Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots, Sunday, December 6, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET.

Next game

Buffalo Bills at New England PatriotsSunday, December 6, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET · 2026 week 13

Every meeting (16)

Row tabs and the Ask box filter on the engine's side; the record in the status line is counted for the rows in view.

Showing (16) of (16) · Meetings · Compared with the 16 meetings Kelly holds. In view: Bills 9-7-0 (16), ATS 2-5-0 (7), O/U 4-2-1 (7)

GameDateTypeSiteWinnerScoreBills margin
2026 W42026-10-04Regular seasonBuffaloPatriotsBUF 26, NE 29-3
2025 W152025-12-14Regular seasonNew EnglandBillsBUF 35, NE 314
2025 W52025-10-05Regular seasonBuffaloPatriotsBUF 20, NE 23-3
2024 W182025-01-05Regular seasonNew EnglandPatriotsBUF 16, NE 23-7
2024 W162024-12-22Regular seasonBuffaloBillsBUF 24, NE 213
2023 W172023-12-31Regular seasonBuffaloBillsBUF 27, NE 216
2023 W72023-10-22Regular seasonNew EnglandPatriotsBUF 25, NE 29-4
2022 W182023-01-08Regular seasonBuffaloBillsBUF 35, NE 2312
2022 W132022-12-01Regular seasonNew EnglandBillsBUF 24, NE 1014
2021 playoffs2022-01-15PlayoffsBuffaloBillsBUF 47, NE 1730
2021 W162021-12-26Regular seasonNew EnglandBillsBUF 33, NE 2112
2021 W132021-12-06Regular seasonBuffaloPatriotsBUF 10, NE 14-4
2020 W162020-12-28Regular seasonNew EnglandBillsBUF 38, NE 929
2020 W82020-11-01Regular seasonBuffaloBillsBUF 24, NE 213
2019 W162019-12-21Regular seasonNew EnglandPatriotsBUF 17, NE 24-7
2019 W42019-09-29Regular seasonBuffaloPatriotsBUF 10, NE 16-6
Total (16)—————79
Per meeting—————4.9

Data as of 2026-11-13 13:10 UTCSource: nflverse schedules and results (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; closing lines: Kelly's consensus, else nflverse's published close from 1999

Series splits (9)

The series cut by site, season type, closing line, decade and the latest meetings, with the NFL average over the same seasons. Marked rates rest on fewer than 5 decided meetings.

Showing (9) of (9) · Splits · Compared with every meeting (16) and the NFL average

SplitGBills W-L-TBills win %BUF pts/GNE pts/GBills margin/GPoints/G
Site
At Buffalo95-4-055.6%24.820.64.245.3
At New England74-3-057.1%26.9215.947.9
Season type
Regular season158-7-053.3%24.3213.345.3
Playoffs11-0-0100%47173064
Closing line
Bills favoured74-3-057.1%26.122.43.748.6
No closing line95-4-055.6%25.319.45.944.8
Decade
2020s149-5-064.3%27.420.96.648.3
2010s20-2-00%13.520-6.533.5
Recent
Last 10 meetings106-4-060%27.922.75.250.6
All meetings (16)169-7-056.2%25.720.84.946.4
NFL average, 2019 to 20262,097——22.922.9—45.8

Data as of 2026-11-13 13:10 UTCSource: nflverse schedules and results (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; closing lines: Kelly's consensus, else nflverse's published close from 1999

Streaks (19)

The longest runs in the series. Active streaks are still going.

Showing (19) of (19) · Streaks · Sorted by Meetings, high to low · Compared with every meeting Kelly holds (16)

Streak ofMeetingsFromToStateOut of
Home team wins52022 W182024 W18Ended16
Bills wins42021 W162022 W18Ended16
Patriots covers32024 W162025 W5Ended7
Bills wins22023 W172024 W16Ended16
Bills wins22020 W82020 W16Ended16
Patriots wins22024 W182025 W5Ended16
Patriots wins22019 W42019 W16Ended16
Home team wins22019 W162020 W8Ended16
Overs22025 W152026 W4Active7
Patriots wins12026 W42026 W4Active16
Home team wins12021 playoffs2021 playoffsEnded16
Bills covers12025 W152025 W15Ended7
Bills covers12020 W162020 W16Ended7
Patriots covers12026 W42026 W4Active7
Patriots covers12020 W82020 W8Ended7
Overs12024 W182024 W18Ended7
Overs12020 W82020 W8Ended7
Unders12025 W52025 W5Ended7
Unders12024 W162024 W16Ended7

Data as of 2026-11-13 13:10 UTCSource: nflverse schedules and results (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; closing lines: Kelly's consensus, else nflverse's published close from 1999

Postseason meetings (1)

Questions (6)

What is the Bills vs Patriots head-to-head record?
The Bills lead the series 9-7 across the 16 meetings Kelly holds since 2019, playoffs included.
What is the Bills vs Patriots record against the spread?
The Bills are 2-5-0 against the closing spread in the 7 meetings with a line; the Patriots are 5-2-0.
Do Bills vs Patriots games go over the total?
4 overs, 2 unders and 1 pushes against the closing total in the 7 meetings with one.
Who won the last Bills vs Patriots game?
The Patriots won 29-26 in Buffalo on October 4, 2026.
When do the Bills and Patriots play next?
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots, Sunday, December 6, 2026, at 4:25 PM ET.
Have the Bills and Patriots met in the playoffs?
Yes, in 1 postseason Kelly holds: 2021 (Bills 1-0).

Data as of 2026-11-13 13:10 UTC · 16 meetings Kelly holds since 2019 · results from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; closing lines from Kelly's consensus, else nflverse's published close