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Kelly

2019 NFL betting results

Against the closing lines in 2019's regular season, favourites went 113-133-10 against the spread and home teams 104-137-10, and games went over 128 times and under 127. Past results only, never a forecast.

2019 NFL records against the spread (32)

Showing (32) of (32) · Now · Sorted by Cover%, high to low, then Avg vs spread, high to low · Compared with every row on the board (32)

TeamGW-LATSCover%Avg vs spreadAs fav ATSAs dog ATSFav SU
Arizona Cardinals165-10-1——————
Atlanta Falcons167-9——————
Baltimore Ravens1614-2——————
Buffalo Bills1610-6——————
Carolina Panthers165-11——————
Chicago Bears168-8——————
Cincinnati Bengals162-14——————
Cleveland Browns166-10——————
Dallas Cowboys168-8——————
Denver Broncos167-9——————
Detroit Lions163-12-1——————
Green Bay Packers1613-3——————
Houston Texans1610-6——————
Indianapolis Colts167-9——————
Jacksonville Jaguars166-10——————
Kansas City Chiefs1612-4——————
Las Vegas Raiders167-9——————
Los Angeles Chargers165-11——————
Los Angeles Rams169-7——————
Miami Dolphins165-11——————
Minnesota Vikings1610-6——————
New England Patriots1612-4——————
New Orleans Saints1613-3——————
New York Giants164-12——————
New York Jets167-9——————
Philadelphia Eagles169-7——————
Pittsburgh Steelers168-8——————
San Francisco 49ers1613-3——————
Seattle Seahawks1611-5——————
Tampa Bay Buccaneers167-9——————
Tennessee Titans169-7——————
Washington Commanders163-13——————
Team average16———————

Data as of 2026-11-13 13:14 UTCSource: Each final graded against its close: Kelly's closing consensus, else nflverse's published closeRegular season; 256 finals graded against their closes. Rates on fewer than 5 decisions are marked small.

2019 betting results by situation (37)

How favourites, home teams and totals did in every common situation. Sorting keeps each group together.

Showing (37) of (37) · Now

SituationGamesFav ATSFav cover%Fav SUFav vs spreadHome ATSHome cover%Home SUO/UOver%Avg totalAvg points
Spread
Pick em to 2.54921-28-042.9%22-26-2.124-23-051.1%24-22-128-21-057.1%44.545.7
3 to 3.55923-32-441.8%31-28-0.126-29-447.3%29-3027-31-146.6%46.145.7
4 to 6.57333-38-246.5%50-23026-43-237.7%36-3536-37-049.3%4545
7 to 9.53317-14-254.8%26-7113-18-241.9%16-1717-16-051.5%4548.3
10 or more4219-21-247.5%35-7-0.415-24-238.5%25-1620-22-047.6%44.844.5
Total
Under 413211-20-135.5%16-16-4.919-11-163.3%18-1317-15-053.1%38.337.3
41 to 43.56031-27-253.4%46-142.329-29-250%36-2429-31-048.3%42.342.5
44 to 46.56926-38-540.6%44-24-219-44-530.2%32-35-141-28-059.4%45.249.2
47 to 49.56935-33-151.5%43-261.627-39-140.9%32-3530-38-144.1%48.147.3
50 or more2610-15-140%15-11-1.910-14-141.7%12-1311-15-042.3%51.949.3
Matchup
Division9644-48-447.8%67-290.136-53-440.4%47-4646-49-148.4%44.844.1
Conference9638-54-441.3%54-41-1.138-54-441.3%48-47-150-46-052.1%45.347.4
Interconference6431-31-250%43-210.130-30-250%35-2732-32-050%45.345.2
Kickoff slot
Thursday night155-10-033.3%9-6-2.37-8-046.7%9-67-8-046.7%45.242.5
Sunday early13867-67-450%95-43-0.356-74-443.1%67-6775-63-054.3%44.646.5
Sunday late6422-38-436.7%33-30-2.326-34-443.3%34-29-133-31-051.6%45.546.5
Sunday night179-8-052.9%9-829-8-052.9%9-84-12-125%46.940.1
Monday night1710-7-058.8%14-36.85-11-031.2%9-76-11-035.3%46.643.1
Saturday30-1-20%3-0-1.30-1-20%2-12-1-066.7%4549.7
Thursday20-2-00%1-1-9.51-1-050%0-21-1-050%4242.5
Month
September6324-38-138.7%36-26-1.522-40-135.5%27-35-128-35-044.4%45.944.4
October5926-32-144.8%41-181.223-32-141.8%28-2828-31-047.5%45.345.4
November5727-28-249.1%37-20-1.328-25-252.8%36-1929-28-050.9%44.844.4
December7736-35-650.7%50-270.131-40-643.7%39-3843-33-156.6%44.647.6
Roof
Outdoors19285-97-1046.7%121-71-0.472-105-1040.7%96-9193-98-148.7%44.744.8
Dome2410-14-041.7%19-5-0.313-11-054.2%14-1014-10-058.3%45.648.1
Roof closed3516-19-045.7%20-14-0.716-19-045.7%17-17-120-15-057.1%46.749
Roof open52-3-040%4-143-2-060%3-21-4-020%48.743.8
Temperature
35°F or below105-4-155.6%7-30.25-4-155.6%7-34-6-040%42.638.8
36 to 54°F6332-29-252.5%41-22-228-31-247.5%37-2426-36-141.9%43.943.4
55 to 74°F6630-32-448.4%43-231.525-34-442.4%30-3337-29-056.1%45.146.6
75°F or above5117-31-335.4%29-22-0.712-36-325%20-3124-27-047.1%45.544.5
Indoors5926-33-044.1%39-19-0.529-30-049.2%31-27-134-25-057.6%46.248.6
Weeks
Weeks 1-46324-38-138.7%36-26-1.522-40-135.5%27-35-128-35-044.4%45.944.4
Weeks 5-97233-38-146.5%48-240.134-33-150.7%39-2937-35-051.4%45.245.7
Weeks 10-135726-29-247.3%37-20-0.224-30-244.4%33-2327-30-047.4%44.744.1
Weeks 14-186430-28-651.7%43-21-024-34-641.4%31-3336-27-157.1%44.748
All games (256)256113-133-1045.9%164-91-0.4104-137-1043.2%130-120-1128-127-150.2%45.145.6

Data as of 2026-11-13 05:46 UTCSource: nflverse data (CC BY 4.0); Closing spread and total as nflverse publishes them (a market consensus, never one book's price)Regular season. Rates on fewer than 5 decisions are marked small. Past results only.