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Kelly

2020 NFL betting results

Against the closing lines in 2020's regular season, favourites went 114-142-0 against the spread and home teams 126-127-0, and games went over 127 times and under 124. Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins shared the best record against the spread at 11-5-0. Past results only, never a forecast.

2020 NFL records against the spread (32)

Showing (32) of (32) · Now · Sorted by Cover%, high to low, then Avg vs spread, high to low · Compared with every row on the board (32)

TeamGW-LATSCover%Avg vs spreadAs fav ATSAs dog ATSFav SU
Buffalo Bills1613-311-568.8%5.77-44-110-1
Miami Dolphins1610-611-568.8%4.74-37-25-2
Baltimore Ravens1611-510-5-166.7%3.68-5-12-010-4
Green Bay Packers1613-310-662.5%3.98-52-111-2
Pittsburgh Steelers1612-410-662.5%2.16-54-19-2
Cincinnati Bengals164-11-19-6-160%-0.31-08-6-11-0
New Orleans Saints1612-49-756.2%48-61-111-3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers1611-59-756.2%3.87-62-110-3
Los Angeles Rams1610-69-756.2%1.17-52-28-4
New York Giants166-109-756.2%0.40-29-52-0
Carolina Panthers165-119-756.2%0.31-38-41-3
Denver Broncos165-119-756.2%-2.1—9-7—
Washington Commanders167-98-7-153.3%3.62-26-5-13-1
Los Angeles Chargers167-98-7-153.3%-3.24-4-14-36-3
Chicago Bears168-88-850%2.31-27-62-1
Indianapolis Colts1611-58-850%1.18-70-111-4
Seattle Seahawks1612-48-850%0.77-71-111-3
Las Vegas Raiders168-88-850%-1.63-45-45-2
Atlanta Falcons164-127-943.8%1.21-46-51-4
Arizona Cardinals168-87-943.8%0.84-63-35-5
Tennessee Titans1611-57-943.8%0.74-73-28-3
Kansas City Chiefs1614-27-943.8%-0.46-81-113-1
San Francisco 49ers166-107-943.8%-12-65-32-6
New England Patriots167-97-943.8%-1.63-54-44-4
Jacksonville Jaguars161-157-943.8%-40-17-80-1
Detroit Lions165-117-943.8%-5.72-25-72-2
Cleveland Browns1611-56-1037.5%-2.94-72-39-2
Minnesota Vikings167-96-1037.5%-32-74-35-4
Houston Texans164-126-1037.5%-3.52-44-63-3
Philadelphia Eagles164-11-16-1037.5%-3.51-65-42-4-1
New York Jets162-146-1037.5%-4.20-16-90-1
Dallas Cowboys166-105-1131.2%-2.91-64-53-4
Team average16——50.1%0———

Data as of 2026-11-13 13:09 UTCSource: Each final graded against its close: Kelly's closing consensus, else nflverse's published closeRegular season; 256 finals graded against their closes. Rates on fewer than 5 decisions are marked small.

2020 betting results by situation (40)

How favourites, home teams and totals did in every common situation. Sorting keeps each group together.

Showing (40) of (40) · Now

SituationGamesFav ATSFav cover%Fav SUFav vs spreadHome ATSHome cover%Home SUO/UOver%Avg totalAvg points
Spread
Pick em to 2.55324-29-045.3%27-26-425-27-048.1%24-2824-28-146.2%4847.8
3 to 3.55523-32-041.8%30-25-3.425-29-046.3%24-3028-25-252.8%49.753.3
4 to 6.56026-34-043.3%41-18-0.330-30-050%29-30-131-29-051.7%47.249.3
7 to 9.55829-29-050%48-101.333-24-057.9%31-2635-22-161.4%4851.4
10 or more3012-18-040%26-4-0.813-17-043.3%19-119-20-131%4743.1
Total
Under 4142-2-050%2-2-5.43-1-075%3-12-2-050%39.139
41 to 43.53513-22-037.1%24-11-1.816-18-047.1%17-1715-19-144.1%42.342.1
44 to 46.56426-38-040.6%38-25-2.732-31-050.8%33-29-130-34-046.9%45.147.8
47 to 49.56736-31-053.7%50-171.133-33-050%31-3535-31-153%48.347.9
50 or more8637-49-043%58-28-2.142-44-048.8%43-4345-38-354.2%52.855.7
Matchup
Division9641-55-042.7%67-29-0.550-45-052.6%49-4652-42-255.3%47.650.1
Conference9639-57-040.6%58-38-2.847-48-049.5%48-4744-50-246.8%48.548.3
Interconference6434-30-053.1%47-16-0.629-34-046%30-32-131-32-149.2%48.150.8
Kickoff slot
Thursday night125-7-041.7%7-5-0.44-8-033.3%6-66-6-050%48.248.9
Sunday early12952-77-040.3%83-45-1.865-64-050.4%68-60-170-56-355.6%47.850.2
Sunday late6737-30-055.2%50-17-0.133-32-050.8%31-3430-36-145.5%48.348.8
Sunday night177-10-041.2%11-6-3.111-6-064.7%11-66-11-035.3%4948
Monday night208-12-040%13-7-3.99-10-047.4%6-138-11-142.1%47.847.7
Friday11-0-0100%1-012.51-0-0100%1-01-0-0100%4985
Saturday52-3-040%4-171-4-020%1-42-3-040%51.248.8
Thursday21-1-050%1-1-7.20-2-00%0-22-0-0100%49.261.5
Tuesday21-1-050%1-1-10.22-0-0100%2-02-0-0100%4954.5
Wednesday10-1-00%1-0-5.50-1-00%1-00-1-00%41.533
Month
September4824-24-050%33-14-0.424-24-050%25-22-129-19-060.4%46.651
October5823-35-039.7%36-22-2.923-35-039.7%28-3024-32-242.9%49.650.4
November7029-41-041.4%46-24-2.640-30-057.1%37-3336-33-152.2%48.348.1
December6431-33-048.4%43-21-0.530-32-048.4%30-3228-34-245.2%47.948.7
January167-9-043.8%14-22.39-6-060%7-810-6-062.5%46.752.4
Roof
Outdoors16578-87-047.3%114-50-0.789-76-053.9%87-77-176-86-346.9%47.147.3
Dome4824-24-050%36-12022-26-045.8%22-2628-18-260.9%49.452.9
Roof closed4312-31-027.9%22-21-5.915-25-037.5%18-2223-20-053.5%50.154.8
Temperature
35°F or below158-7-053.3%9-6-0.37-8-046.7%8-79-6-060%46.453.5
36 to 54°F5525-30-045.5%41-14-0.331-24-056.4%29-2619-35-135.2%46.943.2
55 to 74°F6130-31-049.2%43-180.231-30-050.8%34-2734-26-156.7%47.349.6
75°F or above3415-19-044.1%21-12-320-14-058.8%16-17-114-19-142.4%47.546.9
Indoors9136-55-039.6%58-33-2.837-51-042%40-4851-38-257.3%49.853.8
Weeks
Weeks 1-46331-32-049.2%43-19-0.729-34-046%31-31-136-26-158.1%47.351.3
Weeks 5-97025-45-035.7%42-28-3.833-37-047.1%34-3635-33-251.5%48.850.1
Weeks 10-135926-33-044.1%40-19-2.629-29-050%31-2724-34-141.4%48.446.9
Weeks 14-186432-32-050%47-171.635-27-056.5%31-3132-31-150.8%47.749.8
All games (256)256114-142-044.5%172-83-1.4126-127-049.8%127-125-1127-124-550.6%48.149.6

Data as of 2026-11-13 05:46 UTCSource: nflverse data (CC BY 4.0); Closing spread and total as nflverse publishes them (a market consensus, never one book's price)Regular season. Rates on fewer than 5 decisions are marked small. Past results only.