2021 NFL betting results
Against the closing lines in 2021's regular season, favourites went 125-143-4 against the spread and home teams 126-139-4, and games went over 124 times and under 145. Past results only, never a forecast.
2021 NFL records against the spread (32)
Showing (32) of (32) · Now · Sorted by Cover%, high to low, then Avg vs spread, high to low · Compared with every row on the board (32)
| Team | G | W-L | ATS | Cover% | Avg vs spread | As fav ATS | As dog ATS | Fav SU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | 17 | 11-6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Atlanta Falcons | 17 | 7-10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Baltimore Ravens | 17 | 8-9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Buffalo Bills | 17 | 11-6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carolina Panthers | 17 | 5-12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chicago Bears | 17 | 6-11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 17 | 10-7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cleveland Browns | 17 | 8-9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dallas Cowboys | 17 | 12-5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Denver Broncos | 17 | 7-10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Detroit Lions | 17 | 3-13-1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Green Bay Packers | 17 | 13-4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Houston Texans | 17 | 4-13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Indianapolis Colts | 17 | 9-8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 17 | 3-14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 17 | 12-5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 17 | 10-7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 17 | 9-8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Los Angeles Rams | 17 | 12-5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miami Dolphins | 17 | 9-8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Minnesota Vikings | 17 | 8-9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| New England Patriots | 17 | 10-7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| New Orleans Saints | 17 | 9-8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| New York Giants | 17 | 4-13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| New York Jets | 17 | 4-13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 17 | 9-8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 17 | 9-7-1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| San Francisco 49ers | 17 | 10-7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seattle Seahawks | 17 | 7-10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 17 | 13-4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tennessee Titans | 17 | 12-5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Washington Commanders | 17 | 7-10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team average | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-14 09:58 UTCSource: Each final graded against its close: Kelly's closing consensus, else nflverse's published closeRegular season; 272 finals graded against their closes. Rates on fewer than 5 decisions are marked small.
2021 betting results by situation (39)
How favourites, home teams and totals did in every common situation. Sorting keeps each group together.
Showing (39) of (39) · Now
| Situation | Games | Fav ATS | Fav cover% | Fav SU | Fav vs spread | Home ATS | Home cover% | Home SU | O/U | Over% | Avg total | Avg points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ||||||||||||
| Pick em to 2.5 | 50 | 21-28-1 | 42.9% | 22-28 | -4.1 | 20-28-1 | 41.7% | 20-29 | 22-27-1 | 44.9% | 47 | 46.3 |
| 3 to 3.5 | 62 | 27-35-0 | 43.5% | 30-32 | -1 | 26-35-0 | 42.6% | 27-34 | 29-32-1 | 47.5% | 47 | 45 |
| 4 to 6.5 | 57 | 22-35-0 | 38.6% | 34-23 | -3.4 | 21-35-0 | 37.5% | 23-33 | 23-33-1 | 41.1% | 46.2 | 45.7 |
| 7 to 9.5 | 50 | 26-24-0 | 52% | 39-10 | 1.6 | 26-24-0 | 52% | 27-22-1 | 24-26-0 | 48% | 46 | 46.8 |
| 10 or more | 53 | 29-21-3 | 58% | 44-9 | 1.7 | 33-17-3 | 66% | 40-13 | 26-27-0 | 49.1% | 45.9 | 46.2 |
| Total | ||||||||||||
| Under 41 | 16 | 9-6-1 | 60% | 13-3 | 1.4 | 6-9-1 | 40% | 8-8 | 8-8-0 | 50% | 39.1 | 38.9 |
| 41 to 43.5 | 58 | 27-30-1 | 47.4% | 37-20 | 0.2 | 30-27-1 | 52.6% | 31-26-1 | 31-26-1 | 54.4% | 42.4 | 44.1 |
| 44 to 46.5 | 75 | 36-38-1 | 48.6% | 47-28 | -1 | 37-36-1 | 50.7% | 40-34 | 30-44-1 | 40.5% | 45.2 | 44.8 |
| 47 to 49.5 | 68 | 32-35-1 | 47.8% | 43-25 | -1.1 | 33-32-1 | 50.8% | 34-32 | 28-39-1 | 41.8% | 48.1 | 45.1 |
| 50 or more | 55 | 21-34-0 | 38.2% | 29-26 | -3.1 | 20-35-0 | 36.4% | 24-31 | 27-28-0 | 49.1% | 52.5 | 52.7 |
| Matchup | ||||||||||||
| Division | 96 | 44-49-3 | 47.3% | 56-40 | -0.8 | 45-48-3 | 48.4% | 50-46 | 48-48-0 | 50% | 45.6 | 45.8 |
| Conference | 96 | 38-58-0 | 39.6% | 53-43 | -2.2 | 50-44-0 | 53.2% | 55-39 | 48-48-0 | 50% | 46.9 | 47.9 |
| Interconference | 80 | 43-36-1 | 54.4% | 60-19 | 0.1 | 31-47-1 | 39.7% | 32-46-1 | 28-49-3 | 36.4% | 46.9 | 43.9 |
| Kickoff slot | ||||||||||||
| Thursday night | 16 | 9-7-0 | 56.2% | 13-3 | 0.8 | 6-10-0 | 37.5% | 8-8 | 5-11-0 | 31.2% | 47.3 | 46.4 |
| Sunday early | 142 | 69-71-2 | 49.3% | 91-50 | -0.5 | 61-77-2 | 44.2% | 63-76-1 | 63-78-1 | 44.7% | 45.8 | 45.1 |
| Sunday late | 69 | 32-37-0 | 46.4% | 38-31 | -2.2 | 36-32-0 | 52.9% | 40-28 | 34-34-1 | 50% | 47.2 | 47.3 |
| Sunday night | 18 | 7-11-0 | 38.9% | 10-8 | -0.9 | 9-9-0 | 50% | 10-8 | 11-6-1 | 64.7% | 47.9 | 50 |
| Monday night | 18 | 6-12-0 | 33.3% | 11-7 | -2 | 11-7-0 | 61.1% | 12-6 | 7-11-0 | 38.9% | 47 | 42.3 |
| Saturday | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20% | 3-2 | -2.9 | 2-3-0 | 40% | 2-3 | 2-3-0 | 40% | 46.2 | 51.4 |
| Thursday | 2 | 0-1-1 | 0% | 1-1 | -5 | 0-1-1 | 0% | 0-2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 46.2 | 49.5 |
| Tuesday | 2 | 1-0-1 | 100% | 2-0 | 1.2 | 1-0-1 | 100% | 2-0 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 43.2 | 37 |
| Month | ||||||||||||
| September | 49 | 18-31-0 | 36.7% | 28-21 | -3.1 | 20-28-0 | 41.7% | 24-24 | 20-29-0 | 40.8% | 48.1 | 47.1 |
| October | 72 | 36-35-1 | 50.7% | 46-26 | -0.3 | 31-38-1 | 44.9% | 31-39 | 34-37-1 | 47.9% | 47.4 | 47.1 |
| November | 59 | 23-35-1 | 39.7% | 33-25 | -2.7 | 24-34-1 | 41.4% | 31-27-1 | 23-35-1 | 39.7% | 47 | 43.8 |
| December | 60 | 34-25-1 | 57.6% | 41-19 | 0.7 | 29-30-1 | 49.2% | 32-28 | 30-29-1 | 50.8% | 44.9 | 44.6 |
| January | 32 | 14-17-1 | 45.2% | 21-11 | 0.2 | 22-9-1 | 71% | 19-13 | 17-15-0 | 53.1% | 43.8 | 48.2 |
| Roof | ||||||||||||
| Outdoors | 182 | 86-93-3 | 48% | 116-65 | -1.1 | 87-89-3 | 49.4% | 97-81-1 | 77-102-3 | 43% | 45.8 | 44.4 |
| Dome | 49 | 21-27-1 | 43.8% | 28-21 | -0.5 | 23-25-1 | 47.9% | 25-24 | 26-23-0 | 53.1% | 47.9 | 48.7 |
| Roof closed | 30 | 14-16-0 | 46.7% | 20-10 | -0.8 | 14-16-0 | 46.7% | 12-18 | 15-15-0 | 50% | 47.5 | 49.8 |
| Roof open | 11 | 4-7-0 | 36.4% | 5-6 | -3 | 2-9-0 | 18.2% | 3-8 | 6-5-0 | 54.5% | 47.5 | 49.4 |
| Temperature | ||||||||||||
| 35°F or below | 13 | 8-4-1 | 66.7% | 10-3 | 4.6 | 8-4-1 | 66.7% | 10-3 | 7-6-0 | 53.8% | 44.3 | 46 |
| 36 to 54°F | 62 | 31-29-2 | 51.7% | 45-16 | 1.8 | 33-27-2 | 55% | 37-24-1 | 26-33-3 | 44.1% | 44.4 | 43.3 |
| 55 to 74°F | 65 | 30-35-0 | 46.2% | 40-25 | -2.8 | 30-33-0 | 47.6% | 30-33 | 26-39-0 | 40% | 46.7 | 44.2 |
| 75°F or above | 42 | 17-25-0 | 40.5% | 21-21 | -4.5 | 16-25-0 | 39% | 20-21 | 18-24-0 | 42.9% | 47.1 | 45.7 |
| Indoors | 79 | 35-43-1 | 44.9% | 48-31 | -0.6 | 37-41-1 | 47.4% | 37-42 | 41-38-0 | 51.9% | 47.7 | 49.1 |
| Weeks | ||||||||||||
| Weeks 1-4 | 64 | 26-38-0 | 40.6% | 37-27 | -2.8 | 27-36-0 | 42.9% | 30-33 | 27-37-0 | 42.2% | 48 | 47 |
| Weeks 5-9 | 72 | 32-39-1 | 45.1% | 45-27 | -1.6 | 28-41-1 | 40.6% | 33-37 | 34-37-1 | 47.9% | 47.3 | 46.6 |
| Weeks 10-13 | 58 | 27-30-1 | 47.4% | 33-24 | -0.5 | 26-31-1 | 45.6% | 29-28-1 | 21-36-1 | 36.8% | 46.6 | 43.5 |
| Weeks 14-18 | 78 | 40-36-2 | 52.6% | 54-24 | 0.5 | 45-31-2 | 59.2% | 45-33 | 42-35-1 | 54.5% | 44.3 | 46.4 |
| All games (272) | 272 | 125-143-4 | 46.6% | 169-102 | -1 | 126-139-4 | 47.5% | 137-131-1 | 124-145-3 | 46.1% | 46.5 | 46 |
Data as of 2026-11-14 04:46 UTCSource: nflverse data (CC BY 4.0); Closing spread and total as nflverse publishes them (a market consensus, never one book's price)Regular season. Rates on fewer than 5 decisions are marked small. Past results only.