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Kelly

2022 NFL betting results

Against the closing lines in 2022's regular season, favourites went 118-143-10 against the spread and home teams 126-129-10, and games went over 119 times and under 149. Past results only, never a forecast.

2022 NFL records against the spread (32)

Showing (32) of (32) · Now · Sorted by Cover%, high to low, then Avg vs spread, high to low · Compared with every row on the board (32)

TeamGW-LATSCover%Avg vs spreadAs fav ATSAs dog ATSFav SU
Arizona Cardinals174-13——————
Atlanta Falcons177-10——————
Baltimore Ravens1710-7——————
Carolina Panthers177-10——————
Chicago Bears173-14——————
Cleveland Browns177-10——————
Dallas Cowboys1712-5——————
Denver Broncos175-12——————
Detroit Lions179-8——————
Green Bay Packers178-9——————
Houston Texans173-13-1——————
Indianapolis Colts174-12-1——————
Jacksonville Jaguars179-8——————
Kansas City Chiefs1714-3——————
Las Vegas Raiders176-11——————
Los Angeles Chargers1710-7——————
Los Angeles Rams175-12——————
Miami Dolphins179-8——————
Minnesota Vikings1713-4——————
New England Patriots178-9——————
New Orleans Saints177-10——————
New York Giants179-7-1——————
New York Jets177-10——————
Philadelphia Eagles1714-3——————
Pittsburgh Steelers179-8——————
San Francisco 49ers1713-4——————
Seattle Seahawks179-8——————
Tampa Bay Buccaneers178-9——————
Tennessee Titans177-10——————
Washington Commanders178-8-1——————
Buffalo Bills1613-3——————
Cincinnati Bengals1612-4——————
Team average16.9———————

Data as of 2026-11-13 13:18 UTCSource: Each final graded against its close: Kelly's closing consensus, else nflverse's published closeRegular season; 271 finals graded against their closes. Rates on fewer than 5 decisions are marked small.

2022 betting results by situation (38)

How favourites, home teams and totals did in every common situation. Sorting keeps each group together.

Showing (38) of (38) · Now

SituationGamesFav ATSFav cover%Fav SUFav vs spreadHome ATSHome cover%Home SUO/UOver%Avg totalAvg points
Spread
Pick em to 2.57238-34-052.8%39-320.235-35-050%33-36-127-44-138%43.840.9
3 to 3.56628-31-747.5%40-26-1.324-35-740.7%33-3328-37-143.1%43.443.1
4 to 6.56628-38-042.4%44-22-0.535-30-053.8%38-2734-31-152.3%44.947.4
7 to 9.53113-18-041.9%23-7-1.915-14-051.7%16-12-113-18-041.9%43.942.8
10 or more3611-22-333.3%32-4-1.317-15-353.1%29-617-19-047.2%44.644.8
Total
Under 415931-25-355.4%38-20-0.930-26-353.6%35-23-127-31-146.6%38.737.8
41 to 43.57125-43-336.8%43-28-2.427-37-342.2%34-3327-44-038%42.241.7
44 to 46.57028-41-140.6%47-22-1.431-37-145.6%41-27-135-34-150.7%4546.5
47 to 49.54623-22-151.1%32-141.926-19-157.8%25-2121-25-045.7%48.247.8
50 or more2511-12-247.8%18-70.912-10-254.5%14-109-15-137.5%52.148.5
Matchup
Division9641-54-143.2%66-28-0.943-51-145.7%58-35-238-55-340.9%43.742.1
Conference9543-45-748.9%63-32-0.544-39-753%50-4041-54-043.2%44.443.9
Interconference8034-44-243.6%49-31-0.939-39-250%41-3940-40-050%44.245.6
Kickoff slot
Thursday night178-8-150%11-6-0.27-9-143.8%7-106-11-035.3%43.441
Sunday early13861-70-746.6%88-48-169-57-754.8%78-53-261-75-244.9%44.144.1
Sunday late6327-34-244.3%41-22-0.828-33-245.9%32-3132-31-050.8%44.345
Sunday night185-13-027.8%12-6-1.48-10-044.4%11-75-13-027.8%45.441.7
Monday night178-9-047.1%11-60.46-10-037.5%9-77-9-143.8%43.840.2
Saturday169-7-056.2%13-30.47-9-043.8%11-57-9-043.8%41.944.1
Thursday20-2-00%2-0-4.81-1-050%1-11-1-050%49.850.5
Month
September4919-28-240.4%27-21-0.624-23-251.1%26-22-118-30-137.5%45.542.1
October7434-39-146.6%47-27-2.131-39-144.3%40-3133-40-145.2%44.544.9
November5723-30-443.4%38-19-1.128-22-456%30-2427-30-047.4%44.343.9
December6129-30-249.2%44-160.230-29-250.8%33-27-128-32-146.7%43.444.2
January3013-16-144.8%22-80.813-16-144.8%20-1013-17-043.3%4242.4
Roof
Outdoors17773-96-843.2%108-68-1.479-85-848.2%102-69-170-105-240%43.241.7
Dome5225-26-149%38-14-0.427-23-154%30-2130-21-158.8%46.649.2
Roof closed3216-15-151.6%27-42.713-18-141.9%11-20-115-17-046.9%44.744.2
Roof open104-6-040%5-5-3.57-3-070%6-44-6-040%45.650.2
Temperature
35°F or below2311-11-150%14-9-1.99-13-140.9%10-139-14-039.1%42.342.4
36 to 54°F4316-26-138.1%26-16-1.618-24-142.9%27-15-121-21-150%41.842.1
55 to 74°F227-13-235%15-7-2.313-7-265%15-77-14-133.3%43.443.2
75°F or above85-2-171.4%6-23.57-0-1100%8-03-5-037.5%43.441.5
Indoors8441-41-250%65-180.840-41-249.4%41-41-145-38-154.2%45.947.3
Weeks
Weeks 1-46425-36-341%36-27-0.730-30-350%33-29-126-37-141.3%45.243.9
Weeks 5-97232-38-245.7%47-25-2.132-36-247.1%40-3029-42-140.8%44.843.4
Weeks 10-135929-28-250.9%42-160.730-24-255.6%32-23-130-28-151.7%44.144.5
Weeks 14-187632-41-343.8%53-23-0.734-39-346.6%44-3234-42-044.7%42.643.4
All games (271)271118-143-1045.2%178-91-0.8126-129-1049.4%149-114-2119-149-344.4%44.143.8

Data as of 2026-11-13 05:46 UTCSource: nflverse data (CC BY 4.0); Closing spread and total as nflverse publishes them (a market consensus, never one book's price)Regular season. Rates on fewer than 5 decisions are marked small. Past results only.