2023 NFL betting results
Against the closing lines in 2023's regular season, favourites went 137-121-14 against the spread and home teams 126-127-14, and games went over 124 times and under 146. Past results only, never a forecast.
2023 NFL records against the spread (32)
Showing (32) of (32) · Now · Sorted by Cover%, high to low, then Avg vs spread, high to low · Compared with every row on the board (32)
| Team | G | W-L | ATS | Cover% | Avg vs spread | As fav ATS | As dog ATS | Fav SU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | 17 | 4-13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Atlanta Falcons | 17 | 7-10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Baltimore Ravens | 17 | 13-4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Buffalo Bills | 17 | 11-6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carolina Panthers | 17 | 2-15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chicago Bears | 17 | 7-10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 17 | 9-8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cleveland Browns | 17 | 11-6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dallas Cowboys | 17 | 12-5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Denver Broncos | 17 | 8-9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Detroit Lions | 17 | 12-5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Green Bay Packers | 17 | 9-8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Houston Texans | 17 | 10-7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Indianapolis Colts | 17 | 9-8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 17 | 9-8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 17 | 11-6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 17 | 8-9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 17 | 5-12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Los Angeles Rams | 17 | 10-7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miami Dolphins | 17 | 11-6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Minnesota Vikings | 17 | 7-10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| New England Patriots | 17 | 4-13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| New Orleans Saints | 17 | 9-8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| New York Giants | 17 | 6-11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| New York Jets | 17 | 7-10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 17 | 11-6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 17 | 10-7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| San Francisco 49ers | 17 | 12-5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seattle Seahawks | 17 | 9-8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 17 | 9-8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tennessee Titans | 17 | 6-11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Washington Commanders | 17 | 4-13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Team average | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-14 14:33 UTCSource: Each final graded against its close: Kelly's closing consensus, else nflverse's published closeRegular season; 272 finals graded against their closes. Rates on fewer than 5 decisions are marked small.
2023 betting results by situation (39)
How favourites, home teams and totals did in every common situation. Sorting keeps each group together.
Showing (39) of (39) · Now
| Situation | Games | Fav ATS | Fav cover% | Fav SU | Fav vs spread | Home ATS | Home cover% | Home SU | O/U | Over% | Avg total | Avg points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ||||||||||||
| Pick em to 2.5 | 71 | 39-32-0 | 54.9% | 44-27 | -0.3 | 31-38-0 | 44.9% | 34-35 | 25-46-0 | 35.2% | 43 | 41.5 |
| 3 to 3.5 | 78 | 42-27-9 | 60.9% | 57-21 | 4.1 | 38-30-9 | 55.9% | 44-33 | 31-47-0 | 39.7% | 42.2 | 40.9 |
| 4 to 6.5 | 58 | 26-30-2 | 46.4% | 34-24 | -0.1 | 26-28-2 | 48.1% | 30-26 | 31-27-0 | 53.4% | 43.2 | 45.4 |
| 7 to 9.5 | 38 | 17-19-2 | 47.2% | 28-10 | -0.1 | 20-16-2 | 55.6% | 24-14 | 22-15-1 | 59.5% | 43.3 | 47.2 |
| 10 or more | 27 | 13-13-1 | 50% | 22-5 | -0.4 | 11-15-1 | 42.3% | 17-10 | 15-11-1 | 57.7% | 44.1 | 47.2 |
| Total | ||||||||||||
| Under 41 | 80 | 37-36-7 | 50.7% | 53-27 | 1.1 | 42-31-7 | 57.5% | 48-32 | 39-40-1 | 49.4% | 37.7 | 39.4 |
| 41 to 43.5 | 74 | 26-45-3 | 36.6% | 42-32 | -2.7 | 30-38-3 | 44.1% | 40-31 | 33-40-1 | 45.2% | 42.3 | 43.1 |
| 44 to 46.5 | 62 | 36-25-1 | 59% | 44-18 | 2.2 | 31-30-1 | 50.8% | 33-29 | 27-35-0 | 43.5% | 45.1 | 43.5 |
| 47 to 49.5 | 43 | 29-11-3 | 72.5% | 36-7 | 4.1 | 19-20-3 | 48.7% | 23-19 | 22-21-0 | 51.2% | 48 | 51 |
| 50 or more | 13 | 9-4-0 | 69.2% | 10-3 | 6.1 | 4-8-0 | 33.3% | 5-7 | 3-10-0 | 23.1% | 51.8 | 47 |
| Matchup | ||||||||||||
| Division | 96 | 50-43-3 | 53.8% | 62-34 | 0.5 | 43-50-3 | 46.2% | 49-47 | 45-51-0 | 46.9% | 42.4 | 42.5 |
| Conference | 96 | 47-46-3 | 50.5% | 65-31 | 0.7 | 46-43-3 | 51.7% | 51-41 | 49-46-1 | 51.6% | 43.3 | 45.2 |
| Interconference | 80 | 40-32-8 | 55.6% | 58-22 | 2.1 | 37-34-8 | 52.1% | 49-30 | 30-49-1 | 38% | 43.2 | 42.8 |
| Kickoff slot | ||||||||||||
| Thursday night | 17 | 9-6-2 | 60% | 13-4 | 2.2 | 7-8-2 | 46.7% | 11-6 | 11-6-0 | 64.7% | 42.6 | 50.2 |
| Sunday early | 137 | 69-62-6 | 52.7% | 92-45 | 1.3 | 64-62-6 | 50.8% | 76-56 | 60-75-2 | 44.4% | 42 | 42.7 |
| Sunday late | 68 | 37-28-3 | 56.9% | 49-19 | 1 | 35-30-3 | 53.8% | 38-30 | 34-34-0 | 50% | 43.9 | 44.9 |
| Sunday night | 18 | 10-8-0 | 55.6% | 13-5 | 3 | 8-10-0 | 44.4% | 9-9 | 5-13-0 | 27.8% | 44.9 | 40.1 |
| Monday night | 21 | 6-13-2 | 31.6% | 9-12 | -3.9 | 7-12-2 | 36.8% | 9-12 | 6-15-0 | 28.6% | 43.8 | 40.6 |
| Friday | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1-0 | 11.5 | 0-1-0 | 0% | 0-1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 40 | 47 |
| Saturday | 8 | 4-3-1 | 57.1% | 7-1 | 0 | 4-3-1 | 57.1% | 5-3 | 5-3-0 | 62.5% | 43.8 | 44 |
| Thursday | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 1-1 | 3.2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 1-1 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 47.5 | 53 |
| Month | ||||||||||||
| September | 49 | 22-24-3 | 47.8% | 30-19 | 1.7 | 19-27-3 | 41.3% | 22-27 | 23-26-0 | 46.9% | 43.9 | 45.1 |
| October | 73 | 37-31-5 | 54.4% | 49-24 | -0.6 | 39-26-5 | 60% | 42-28 | 26-46-1 | 36.1% | 43.7 | 42.5 |
| November | 59 | 33-25-1 | 56.9% | 44-15 | 3.2 | 25-31-1 | 44.6% | 36-21 | 25-33-1 | 43.1% | 42.6 | 42.9 |
| December | 75 | 35-35-5 | 50% | 51-24 | 0.2 | 35-35-5 | 50% | 42-33 | 43-32-0 | 57.3% | 42.3 | 45.3 |
| January | 16 | 10-6-0 | 62.5% | 11-5 | 1.7 | 8-8-0 | 50% | 7-9 | 7-9-0 | 43.8% | 41.1 | 37.5 |
| Roof | ||||||||||||
| Outdoors | 180 | 89-79-12 | 53% | 118-62 | 0.5 | 81-82-12 | 49.7% | 98-77 | 78-100-2 | 43.8% | 42.3 | 42 |
| Dome | 50 | 26-22-2 | 54.2% | 34-16 | 1.1 | 23-25-2 | 47.9% | 26-24 | 21-29-0 | 42% | 44.5 | 44.3 |
| Roof closed | 31 | 18-13-0 | 58.1% | 26-5 | 5.5 | 17-14-0 | 54.8% | 19-12 | 17-14-0 | 54.8% | 44.5 | 48.7 |
| Roof open | 11 | 4-7-0 | 36.4% | 7-4 | -3.8 | 5-6-0 | 45.5% | 6-5 | 8-3-0 | 72.7% | 41.9 | 51 |
| Temperature | ||||||||||||
| 35°F or below | 7 | 2-5-0 | 28.6% | 3-4 | -6.9 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 5-2 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 39.9 | 39.4 |
| 36 to 54°F | 69 | 33-30-6 | 52.4% | 45-24 | -0.2 | 32-31-6 | 50.8% | 40-29 | 32-36-1 | 47.1% | 40.9 | 40.6 |
| 55 to 74°F | 51 | 24-24-3 | 50% | 33-18 | 0.4 | 21-27-3 | 43.8% | 24-27 | 20-30-1 | 40% | 43 | 43.4 |
| 75°F or above | 23 | 15-7-1 | 68.2% | 18-5 | 4.5 | 14-8-1 | 63.6% | 16-7 | 10-13-0 | 43.5% | 43.2 | 43.4 |
| Indoors | 81 | 44-35-2 | 55.7% | 60-21 | 2.8 | 40-39-2 | 50.6% | 45-36 | 38-43-0 | 46.9% | 44.5 | 46 |
| Weeks | ||||||||||||
| Weeks 1-4 | 64 | 30-29-5 | 50.8% | 42-22 | 1.8 | 25-33-5 | 43.1% | 29-34 | 29-35-0 | 45.3% | 44 | 44.6 |
| Weeks 5-9 | 72 | 39-30-3 | 56.5% | 49-23 | 0.5 | 40-26-3 | 60.6% | 44-25 | 23-48-1 | 32.4% | 43.3 | 42.2 |
| Weeks 10-13 | 57 | 31-25-1 | 55.4% | 41-16 | 1.7 | 21-34-1 | 38.2% | 31-25 | 30-26-1 | 53.6% | 42.6 | 43.9 |
| Weeks 14-18 | 79 | 37-37-5 | 50% | 53-26 | 0.4 | 40-34-5 | 54.1% | 45-34 | 42-37-0 | 53.2% | 42 | 43.7 |
| All games (272) | 272 | 137-121-14 | 53.1% | 185-87 | 1 | 126-127-14 | 49.8% | 149-118 | 124-146-2 | 45.9% | 42.9 | 43.5 |
Data as of 2026-11-14 04:46 UTCSource: nflverse data (CC BY 4.0); Closing spread and total as nflverse publishes them (a market consensus, never one book's price)Regular season. Rates on fewer than 5 decisions are marked small. Past results only.