2024 NFL betting results
Against the closing lines in 2024's regular season, favourites went 143-125-4 against the spread and home teams 132-131-4, and games went over 145 times and under 124. The Los Angeles Chargers had the best record against the spread at 13-4-0. Past results only, never a forecast.
2024 NFL records against the spread (32)
Showing (32) of (32) · Now · Sorted by Cover%, high to low, then Avg vs spread, high to low · Compared with every row on the board (32)
| Team | G | W-L | ATS | Cover% | Avg vs spread | As fav ATS | As dog ATS | Fav SU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Chargers | 17 | 11-6 | 13-4 | 76.5% | 4.1 | 11-2 | 2-2 | 11-2 |
| Detroit Lions | 17 | 15-2 | 12-4-1 | 75% | 7.7 | 11-4-1 | 1-0 | 14-2 |
| Denver Broncos | 17 | 10-7 | 12-5 | 70.6% | 6.7 | 8-0 | 4-5 | 8-0 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 17 | 14-3 | 11-5-1 | 68.8% | 3.8 | 7-4-1 | 4-1 | 10-2 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 17 | 14-3 | 11-6 | 64.7% | 5.4 | 8-6 | 3-0 | 11-3 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 17 | 12-5 | 11-6 | 64.7% | 3.1 | 11-5 | 0-1 | 12-4 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 17 | 8-9 | 11-6 | 64.7% | 2.1 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 3-4 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 17 | 10-7 | 11-6 | 64.7% | 2.1 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 5-3 |
| Buffalo Bills | 17 | 13-4 | 10-7 | 58.8% | 5.4 | 8-5 | 2-2 | 11-2 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 17 | 10-7 | 10-7 | 58.8% | 5.3 | 5-4 | 5-3 | 7-2 |
| Washington Commanders | 17 | 12-5 | 10-7 | 58.8% | 4 | 7-4 | 3-3 | 9-2 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 17 | 9-8 | 10-7 | 58.8% | -1 | 8-5 | 2-2 | 9-4 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 17 | 4-13 | 10-7 | 58.8% | -4 | 1-3 | 9-4 | 2-2 |
| Chicago Bears | 17 | 5-12 | 8-7-2 | 53.3% | -1 | 3-1 | 5-6-2 | 3-1 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 17 | 10-7 | 9-8 | 52.9% | -0.6 | 4-4 | 5-4 | 6-2 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 17 | 8-9 | 9-8 | 52.9% | -1.9 | 3-4 | 6-4 | 5-2 |
| Green Bay Packers | 17 | 11-6 | 8-8-1 | 50% | 4.4 | 6-6 | 2-2-1 | 9-3 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 17 | 4-13 | 8-9 | 47.1% | -2.4 | 2-1 | 6-8 | 2-1 |
| Carolina Panthers | 17 | 5-12 | 8-9 | 47.1% | -4.5 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 0-1 |
| New England Patriots | 17 | 4-13 | 7-9-1 | 43.8% | -1.5 | — | 7-9-1 | — |
| Houston Texans | 17 | 10-7 | 7-9-1 | 43.8% | -1.7 | 4-6-1 | 3-3 | 9-2 |
| New Orleans Saints | 17 | 5-12 | 7-10 | 41.2% | -0.4 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 2-2 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 17 | 15-2 | 7-10 | 41.2% | -1 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 14-0 |
| Miami Dolphins | 17 | 8-9 | 7-10 | 41.2% | -1.9 | 4-5 | 3-5 | 6-3 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 17 | 7-10 | 7-10 | 41.2% | -3.8 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 2-1 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 17 | 10-7 | 6-11 | 35.3% | 0.4 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 5-1 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 17 | 8-9 | 6-11 | 35.3% | -3.7 | 5-6 | 1-5 | 7-4 |
| New York Jets | 17 | 5-12 | 6-11 | 35.3% | -4.8 | 5-6 | 1-5 | 5-6 |
| New York Giants | 17 | 3-14 | 5-12 | 29.4% | -3.3 | 0-1 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 17 | 6-11 | 5-12 | 29.4% | -5.2 | 5-8 | 0-4 | 6-7 |
| Cleveland Browns | 17 | 3-14 | 4-13 | 23.5% | -6.3 | 0-4 | 4-9 | 0-4 |
| Tennessee Titans | 17 | 3-14 | 2-14-1 | 12.5% | -5.5 | 0-5-1 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Team average | 17 | — | — | 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-13 13:26 UTCSource: Each final graded against its close: Kelly's closing consensus, else nflverse's published closeRegular season; 272 finals graded against their closes. Rates on fewer than 5 decisions are marked small.
2024 betting results by situation (39)
How favourites, home teams and totals did in every common situation. Sorting keeps each group together.
Showing (39) of (39) · Now
| Situation | Games | Fav ATS | Fav cover% | Fav SU | Fav vs spread | Home ATS | Home cover% | Home SU | O/U | Over% | Avg total | Avg points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ||||||||||||
| Pick em to 2.5 | 62 | 30-32-0 | 48.4% | 33-29 | -2.5 | 28-31-0 | 47.5% | 27-32 | 30-32-0 | 48.4% | 44.4 | 44.6 |
| 3 to 3.5 | 69 | 38-28-3 | 57.6% | 51-18 | 2.1 | 32-34-3 | 48.5% | 34-35 | 37-32-0 | 53.6% | 44.5 | 45.5 |
| 4 to 6.5 | 80 | 46-33-1 | 58.2% | 64-16 | 2.5 | 38-39-1 | 49.4% | 42-36 | 42-35-3 | 54.5% | 44.6 | 46.8 |
| 7 to 9.5 | 43 | 18-25-0 | 41.9% | 30-13 | 0.9 | 23-20-0 | 53.5% | 23-20 | 25-18-0 | 58.1% | 43.7 | 46.1 |
| 10 or more | 18 | 11-7-0 | 61.1% | 16-2 | 5.2 | 11-7-0 | 61.1% | 14-4 | 11-7-0 | 61.1% | 44.2 | 46.3 |
| Total | ||||||||||||
| Under 41 | 47 | 24-21-2 | 53.3% | 28-19 | -0.2 | 22-22-2 | 50% | 21-25 | 26-21-0 | 55.3% | 38.4 | 40.3 |
| 41 to 43.5 | 77 | 46-31-0 | 59.7% | 62-15 | 3.1 | 40-35-0 | 53.3% | 38-37 | 40-37-0 | 51.9% | 42.3 | 43.1 |
| 44 to 46.5 | 72 | 35-36-1 | 49.3% | 52-20 | 2 | 41-29-1 | 58.6% | 48-23 | 42-29-1 | 59.2% | 45.4 | 47.9 |
| 47 to 49.5 | 55 | 25-30-0 | 45.5% | 36-19 | -1.9 | 22-32-0 | 40.7% | 25-29 | 27-26-2 | 50.9% | 48.1 | 49.1 |
| 50 or more | 21 | 13-7-1 | 65% | 16-5 | 2.4 | 7-13-1 | 35% | 8-13 | 10-11-0 | 47.6% | 51.9 | 52.7 |
| Matchup | ||||||||||||
| Division | 96 | 41-53-2 | 43.6% | 68-28 | 0.5 | 47-47-2 | 50% | 53-43 | 56-40-0 | 58.3% | 44.1 | 47.2 |
| Conference | 96 | 63-32-1 | 66.3% | 73-23 | 3.3 | 50-42-1 | 54.3% | 50-43 | 50-45-1 | 52.6% | 44.5 | 45 |
| Interconference | 80 | 39-40-1 | 49.4% | 53-27 | -0.6 | 35-42-1 | 45.5% | 37-41 | 39-39-2 | 50% | 44.4 | 45.1 |
| Kickoff slot | ||||||||||||
| Thursday night | 17 | 9-7-1 | 56.2% | 13-4 | 0.8 | 11-5-1 | 68.8% | 11-6 | 9-8-0 | 52.9% | 45.4 | 44.6 |
| Sunday early | 136 | 60-74-2 | 44.8% | 89-47 | -0.2 | 60-70-2 | 46.2% | 64-68 | 72-63-1 | 53.3% | 43.7 | 45.9 |
| Sunday late | 67 | 39-28-0 | 58.2% | 48-19 | 1.9 | 34-33-0 | 50.7% | 35-32 | 38-29-0 | 56.7% | 44.3 | 45.6 |
| Sunday night | 18 | 12-5-1 | 70.6% | 15-3 | 3.6 | 11-6-1 | 64.7% | 12-6 | 6-10-2 | 37.5% | 47.2 | 44.3 |
| Monday night | 21 | 14-7-0 | 66.7% | 16-5 | 3.3 | 10-11-0 | 47.6% | 10-11 | 13-8-0 | 61.9% | 45 | 50 |
| Friday | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 2-0 | -4.2 | 0-1-0 | 0% | 1-0 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 45.8 | 49.5 |
| Saturday | 7 | 5-2-0 | 71.4% | 7-0 | 6.6 | 5-2-0 | 71.4% | 5-2 | 5-2-0 | 71.4% | 45.5 | 43 |
| Thursday | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 2-0 | -2 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 2-0 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 43.2 | 45 |
| Wednesday | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100% | 2-0 | 19.8 | 0-2-0 | 0% | 0-2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | 45 | 36 |
| Month | ||||||||||||
| September | 64 | 26-37-1 | 41.3% | 37-27 | -2.7 | 29-33-1 | 46.8% | 32-31 | 30-34-0 | 46.9% | 43.6 | 43.1 |
| October | 60 | 38-22-0 | 63.3% | 45-15 | 3 | 25-32-0 | 43.9% | 28-29 | 35-24-1 | 59.3% | 44.3 | 47.5 |
| November | 59 | 30-27-2 | 52.6% | 44-15 | 1.3 | 28-28-2 | 50% | 31-27 | 30-28-1 | 51.7% | 44.9 | 45.2 |
| December | 73 | 42-30-1 | 58.3% | 56-17 | 2.9 | 40-32-1 | 55.6% | 40-33 | 39-33-1 | 54.2% | 44.9 | 46.9 |
| January | 16 | 7-9-0 | 43.8% | 12-4 | 2 | 10-6-0 | 62.5% | 9-7 | 11-5-0 | 68.8% | 42.8 | 47.8 |
| Roof | ||||||||||||
| Outdoors | 178 | 95-81-2 | 54% | 128-50 | 1.5 | 83-88-2 | 48.5% | 89-84 | 98-78-2 | 55.7% | 43.7 | 45.1 |
| Dome | 51 | 25-25-1 | 50% | 35-16 | 1.4 | 29-21-1 | 58% | 29-22 | 27-24-0 | 52.9% | 45.4 | 47.9 |
| Roof closed | 43 | 23-19-1 | 54.8% | 31-12 | -0.3 | 20-22-1 | 47.6% | 22-21 | 20-22-1 | 47.6% | 45.9 | 46.3 |
| Temperature | ||||||||||||
| 35°F or below | 19 | 12-7-0 | 63.2% | 14-5 | 3.9 | 13-6-0 | 68.4% | 13-6 | 10-8-1 | 55.6% | 43.6 | 44.9 |
| 36 to 54°F | 46 | 24-21-1 | 53.3% | 33-13 | 1.2 | 22-22-1 | 50% | 20-25 | 25-20-1 | 55.6% | 43.5 | 44.4 |
| 55 to 74°F | 68 | 38-30-0 | 55.9% | 50-18 | 2.5 | 31-35-0 | 47% | 39-27 | 39-29-0 | 57.4% | 43.5 | 44.9 |
| 75°F or above | 40 | 18-21-1 | 46.2% | 27-13 | -0.9 | 16-23-1 | 41% | 17-23 | 21-19-0 | 52.5% | 43.9 | 45.3 |
| Indoors | 94 | 48-44-2 | 52.2% | 66-28 | 0.6 | 49-43-2 | 53.3% | 51-43 | 47-46-1 | 50.5% | 45.6 | 47.1 |
| Weeks | ||||||||||||
| Weeks 1-4 | 64 | 26-37-1 | 41.3% | 37-27 | -2.7 | 29-33-1 | 46.8% | 32-31 | 30-34-0 | 46.9% | 43.6 | 43.1 |
| Weeks 5-9 | 74 | 47-26-1 | 64.4% | 58-16 | 3.3 | 31-39-1 | 44.3% | 38-33 | 42-31-1 | 57.5% | 44.6 | 47.3 |
| Weeks 10-13 | 57 | 26-30-1 | 46.4% | 40-17 | 0.4 | 28-27-1 | 50.9% | 25-31 | 29-26-2 | 52.7% | 44.8 | 46 |
| Weeks 14-18 | 77 | 44-32-1 | 57.9% | 59-18 | 3 | 44-32-1 | 57.9% | 45-32 | 44-33-0 | 57.1% | 44.4 | 46.6 |
| All games (272) | 272 | 143-125-4 | 53.4% | 194-78 | 1.2 | 132-131-4 | 50.2% | 140-127 | 145-124-3 | 53.9% | 44.3 | 45.8 |
Data as of 2026-11-13 05:46 UTCSource: nflverse data (CC BY 4.0); Closing spread and total as nflverse publishes them (a market consensus, never one book's price)Regular season. Rates on fewer than 5 decisions are marked small. Past results only.