2025 NFL betting results
Against the closing lines in 2025's regular season, favourites went 131-140-1 against the spread and home teams 131-133-1, and games went over 142 times and under 130. Jacksonville Jaguars and Los Angeles Rams and New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks shared the best record against the spread at 12-5-0. Past results only, never a forecast.
2025 NFL records against the spread (32)
Showing (32) of (32) · Now · Sorted by Cover%, high to low, then Avg vs spread, high to low · Compared with every row on the board (32)
| Team | G | W-L | ATS | Cover% | Avg vs spread | As fav ATS | As dog ATS | Fav SU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks | 17 | 14-3 | 12-5 | 70.6% | 6.9 | 10-4 | 2-1 | 13-1 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 17 | 13-4 | 12-5 | 70.6% | 6.7 | 7-2 | 5-3 | 8-1 |
| New England Patriots | 17 | 14-3 | 12-5 | 70.6% | 6.2 | 8-3 | 4-2 | 10-1 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 17 | 12-5 | 12-5 | 70.6% | 4.1 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 12-3 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 17 | 12-5 | 11-6 | 64.7% | 2.2 | 10-2 | 1-4 | 11-1 |
| Carolina Panthers | 17 | 8-9 | 10-7 | 58.8% | 0.3 | 0-2 | 10-5 | 0-2 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 17 | 11-6 | 10-7 | 58.8% | -0.9 | 8-7 | 2-0 | 9-6 |
| Chicago Bears | 17 | 11-6 | 9-7-1 | 56.2% | 2.2 | 4-2-1 | 5-5 | 6-1 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 17 | 10-7 | 9-7-1 | 56.2% | 0.8 | 4-4 | 5-3-1 | 5-3 |
| Houston Texans | 17 | 12-5 | 9-8 | 52.9% | 4.5 | 4-5 | 5-3 | 7-2 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 17 | 8-9 | 9-8 | 52.9% | 2.5 | 4-5 | 5-3 | 6-3 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 17 | 9-8 | 9-8 | 52.9% | 1.9 | 5-3 | 4-5 | 5-3 |
| New York Giants | 17 | 4-13 | 9-8 | 52.9% | 1.4 | 1-1 | 8-7 | 1-1 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 17 | 11-6 | 9-8 | 52.9% | 0.2 | 5-7 | 4-1 | 7-5 |
| New Orleans Saints | 17 | 6-11 | 9-8 | 52.9% | -0.2 | 3-1 | 6-7 | 3-1 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 17 | 8-9 | 9-8 | 52.9% | -2 | 2-5 | 7-3 | 3-4 |
| Buffalo Bills | 17 | 12-5 | 8-9 | 47.1% | 0.6 | 6-9 | 2-0 | 10-5 |
| Detroit Lions | 17 | 9-8 | 8-9 | 47.1% | 0.2 | 6-5 | 2-4 | 7-4 |
| Cleveland Browns | 17 | 5-12 | 8-9 | 47.1% | -0.5 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 1-2 |
| Miami Dolphins | 17 | 7-10 | 8-9 | 47.1% | -1.4 | 3-3 | 5-6 | 4-2 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 17 | 6-11 | 8-9 | 47.1% | -2.4 | 3-3 | 5-6 | 4-2 |
| Denver Broncos | 17 | 14-3 | 7-10 | 41.2% | 0.6 | 3-9 | 4-1 | 10-2 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 17 | 7-9-1 | 7-10 | 41.2% | -2.7 | 2-8 | 5-2 | 4-6 |
| Washington Commanders | 17 | 5-12 | 7-10 | 41.2% | -2.9 | 2-2 | 5-8 | 2-2 |
| Tennessee Titans | 17 | 3-14 | 7-10 | 41.2% | -3.8 | — | 7-10 | — |
| New York Jets | 17 | 3-14 | 7-10 | 41.2% | -5.7 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 0-2 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 17 | 3-14 | 7-10 | 41.2% | -6 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 1-2 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 17 | 6-11 | 6-11 | 35.3% | -1 | 4-10 | 2-1 | 5-9 |
| Green Bay Packers | 17 | 9-7-1 | 6-11 | 35.3% | -2.1 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 8-5-1 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 17 | 8-9 | 6-11 | 35.3% | -2.5 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 7-7 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 17 | 3-14 | 6-11 | 35.3% | -4.1 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 2-1 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 17 | 8-9 | 5-12 | 29.4% | -3 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 6-5 |
| Team average | 17 | — | — | 50% | 0 | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-14 14:27 UTCSource: Each final graded against its close: Kelly's closing consensus, else nflverse's published closeRegular season; 272 finals graded against their closes. Rates on fewer than 5 decisions are marked small.
2025 betting results by situation (38)
How favourites, home teams and totals did in every common situation. Sorting keeps each group together.
Showing (38) of (38) · Now
| Situation | Games | Fav ATS | Fav cover% | Fav SU | Fav vs spread | Home ATS | Home cover% | Home SU | O/U | Over% | Avg total | Avg points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ||||||||||||
| Pick em to 2.5 | 70 | 36-34-0 | 51.4% | 39-31 | -0.3 | 30-38-0 | 44.1% | 31-37 | 35-35-0 | 50% | 45 | 45.4 |
| 3 to 3.5 | 63 | 29-33-1 | 46.8% | 35-28 | -0.4 | 30-29-1 | 50.8% | 32-28 | 34-29-0 | 54% | 45.7 | 47.4 |
| 4 to 6.5 | 56 | 26-30-0 | 46.4% | 38-18 | 1.1 | 23-32-0 | 41.8% | 28-27 | 25-31-0 | 44.6% | 44.3 | 46.4 |
| 7 to 9.5 | 49 | 19-30-0 | 38.8% | 33-15 | 0.2 | 24-24-0 | 50% | 24-23-1 | 27-22-0 | 55.1% | 45.2 | 45.3 |
| 10 or more | 34 | 21-13-0 | 61.8% | 32-2 | 3.5 | 24-10-0 | 70.6% | 27-7 | 21-13-0 | 61.8% | 43.7 | 45 |
| Total | ||||||||||||
| Under 41 | 42 | 18-24-0 | 42.9% | 26-16 | -0.3 | 24-17-0 | 58.5% | 22-19 | 24-18-0 | 57.1% | 38.4 | 41.5 |
| 41 to 43.5 | 71 | 32-39-0 | 45.1% | 46-25 | 0.2 | 33-36-0 | 47.8% | 36-33 | 36-35-0 | 50.7% | 42.6 | 43.6 |
| 44 to 46.5 | 73 | 39-33-1 | 54.2% | 52-21 | 1.9 | 39-32-1 | 54.9% | 46-26 | 36-37-0 | 49.3% | 45.3 | 45.2 |
| 47 to 49.5 | 57 | 31-26-0 | 54.4% | 36-20 | 0.9 | 19-35-0 | 35.2% | 20-33-1 | 30-27-0 | 52.6% | 48.3 | 48.8 |
| 50 or more | 29 | 11-18-0 | 37.9% | 17-12 | -1.9 | 16-13-0 | 55.2% | 18-11 | 16-13-0 | 55.2% | 52.1 | 55 |
| Matchup | ||||||||||||
| Division | 96 | 45-51-0 | 46.9% | 61-35 | -0 | 47-48-0 | 49.5% | 51-44 | 46-50-0 | 47.9% | 44.5 | 43.7 |
| Conference | 96 | 44-52-0 | 45.8% | 62-33 | 0.2 | 51-44-0 | 53.7% | 51-43-1 | 49-47-0 | 51% | 45.2 | 47.2 |
| Interconference | 80 | 42-37-1 | 53.2% | 54-26 | 1.6 | 33-41-1 | 44.6% | 40-35 | 47-33-0 | 58.8% | 44.8 | 47.4 |
| Kickoff slot | ||||||||||||
| Thursday night | 17 | 6-11-0 | 35.3% | 11-6 | -2.9 | 8-9-0 | 47.1% | 11-6 | 8-9-0 | 47.1% | 45.7 | 47.9 |
| Sunday early | 137 | 68-68-1 | 50% | 94-43 | 1.4 | 63-67-1 | 48.5% | 69-62 | 70-67-0 | 51.1% | 44 | 45.7 |
| Sunday late | 67 | 33-34-0 | 49.3% | 45-22 | 0.4 | 34-33-0 | 50.7% | 38-29 | 39-28-0 | 58.2% | 45.2 | 46.7 |
| Sunday night | 18 | 9-9-0 | 50% | 10-7 | 0.2 | 10-8-0 | 55.6% | 8-9-1 | 9-9-0 | 50% | 46.9 | 48.8 |
| Monday night | 21 | 12-9-0 | 57.1% | 12-9 | 1.6 | 12-9-0 | 57.1% | 12-9 | 10-11-0 | 47.6% | 46.9 | 44 |
| Friday | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0% | 0-2 | -12.5 | 0-1-0 | 0% | 0-1 | 1-1-0 | 50% | 45.5 | 43.5 |
| Saturday | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50% | 4-2 | -1.7 | 1-5-0 | 16.7% | 2-4 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 43.2 | 38.7 |
| Thursday | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0% | 1-3 | -9.4 | 3-1-0 | 75% | 2-2 | 3-1-0 | 75% | 49.5 | 50 |
| Month | ||||||||||||
| September | 64 | 36-28-0 | 56.2% | 46-17 | 1.7 | 32-30-0 | 51.6% | 37-24-1 | 32-32-0 | 50% | 45.1 | 46.5 |
| October | 58 | 34-24-0 | 58.6% | 40-18 | 3.1 | 29-26-0 | 52.7% | 30-25 | 33-25-0 | 56.9% | 45.1 | 46.3 |
| November | 71 | 25-45-1 | 35.7% | 44-27 | -1.6 | 32-36-1 | 47.1% | 34-35 | 30-41-0 | 42.3% | 45.3 | 45 |
| December | 63 | 29-34-0 | 46% | 37-26 | -0.5 | 29-34-0 | 46% | 29-34 | 39-24-0 | 61.9% | 44.3 | 48.2 |
| January | 16 | 7-9-0 | 43.8% | 10-6 | -0.2 | 9-7-0 | 56.2% | 12-4 | 8-8-0 | 50% | 43.3 | 39.2 |
| Roof | ||||||||||||
| Outdoors | 180 | 86-93-1 | 48% | 120-60 | 0.5 | 88-86-1 | 50.6% | 95-80 | 96-84-0 | 53.3% | 44.6 | 45.6 |
| Dome | 50 | 28-22-0 | 56% | 32-18 | 0.9 | 26-23-0 | 53.1% | 26-23 | 21-29-0 | 42% | 45.2 | 43.4 |
| Roof closed | 42 | 17-25-0 | 40.5% | 25-16 | 0 | 17-24-0 | 41.5% | 21-19-1 | 25-17-0 | 59.5% | 45.6 | 51 |
| Temperature | ||||||||||||
| 35°F or below | 23 | 12-11-0 | 52.2% | 15-8 | 3.1 | 10-13-0 | 43.5% | 11-12 | 14-9-0 | 60.9% | 43.8 | 43.4 |
| 36 to 54°F | 44 | 20-23-1 | 46.5% | 30-14 | -1.2 | 23-20-1 | 53.5% | 23-21 | 22-22-0 | 50% | 44.5 | 45.9 |
| 55 to 74°F | 71 | 35-36-0 | 49.3% | 48-23 | 1.6 | 36-31-0 | 53.7% | 38-29 | 39-32-0 | 54.9% | 44.4 | 45.7 |
| 75°F or above | 38 | 18-20-0 | 47.4% | 24-14 | -0.6 | 18-20-0 | 47.4% | 22-16 | 21-17-0 | 55.3% | 45.6 | 47.6 |
| Indoors | 92 | 45-47-0 | 48.9% | 57-34 | 0.5 | 43-47-0 | 47.8% | 47-42-1 | 46-46-0 | 50% | 45.4 | 46.9 |
| Weeks | ||||||||||||
| Weeks 1-4 | 64 | 36-28-0 | 56.2% | 46-17 | 1.7 | 32-30-0 | 51.6% | 37-24-1 | 32-32-0 | 50% | 45.1 | 46.5 |
| Weeks 5-9 | 71 | 38-33-0 | 53.5% | 47-24 | 2 | 34-34-0 | 50% | 34-34 | 40-31-0 | 56.3% | 45.5 | 46.9 |
| Weeks 10-13 | 59 | 22-36-1 | 37.9% | 38-21 | -1.1 | 28-28-1 | 50% | 31-26 | 24-35-0 | 40.7% | 44.9 | 43.9 |
| Weeks 14-18 | 78 | 35-43-0 | 44.9% | 46-32 | -0.6 | 37-41-0 | 47.4% | 40-38 | 46-32-0 | 59% | 44.1 | 46.4 |
| All games (272) | 272 | 131-140-1 | 48.3% | 177-94 | 0.5 | 131-133-1 | 49.6% | 142-122-1 | 142-130-0 | 52.2% | 44.9 | 46 |
Data as of 2026-11-14 04:46 UTCSource: nflverse data (CC BY 4.0); Closing spread and total as nflverse publishes them (a market consensus, never one book's price)Regular season. Rates on fewer than 5 decisions are marked small. Past results only.