2026 NFL betting results
Against the closing lines in 2026's regular season, favourites went 67-64-6 against the spread and home teams 56-69-5, and games went over 71 times and under 66. The Denver Broncos had the best record against the spread at 7-2-0. Past results only, never a forecast.
2026 NFL records against the spread (32)
Showing (32) of (32) · Now · Sorted by Cover%, high to low, then Avg vs spread, high to low · Compared with every row on the board (32)
| Team | G | W-L | ATS | Cover% | Avg vs spread | As fav ATS | As dog ATS | Fav SU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | 9 | 7-2 | 7-2 | 77.8% | 0.7 | 5-0 | 2-2 | 5-0 |
| Buffalo Bills | 8 | 7-1 | 6-2 | 75% | 5.1 | 5-2 | 1-0 | 6-1 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 8 | 6-2 | 6-2 | 75% | 2.9 | 5-1 | 1-1 | 5-1 |
| Chicago Bears | 9 | 7-2 | 6-3 | 66.7% | 4.5 | 4-3 | 2-0 | 5-2 |
| New York Giants | 9 | 5-3-1 | 6-3 | 66.7% | 2.9 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 9 | 4-5 | 6-3 | 66.7% | 0.3 | 1-0 | 5-3 | 1-0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 9 | 5-4 | 6-3 | 66.7% | -0.1 | 1-0 | 5-3 | 1-0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 8 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 62.5% | 9.1 | 4-2 | 1-1 | 5-1 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 8 | 7-1 | 5-3 | 62.5% | 5.5 | 3-3 | 2-0 | 5-1 |
| Green Bay Packers | 9 | 6-3 | 5-3-1 | 62.5% | 2.3 | 1-2-1 | 4-1 | 3-1 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 8 | 6-2 | 4-3-1 | 57.1% | 4 | 3-3-1 | 1-0 | 5-2 |
| Washington Commanders | 9 | 3-5-1 | 5-4 | 55.6% | -0.1 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 1-0-1 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 9 | 5-4 | 5-4 | 55.6% | -1.1 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 5-3 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 9 | 3-6 | 4-4-1 | 50% | 4.8 | 1-1 | 3-3-1 | 1-1 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 8 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 50% | 2.6 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 6-1 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 8 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 50% | 2.4 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 5-0 |
| Tennessee Titans | 8 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 50% | -0.9 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 9 | 4-5 | 4-4-1 | 50% | -1.8 | 3-4 | 1-0-1 | 3-4 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 9 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 44.4% | -2.3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0-1 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 9 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 44.4% | -4.7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Detroit Lions | 8 | 6-2 | 3-4-1 | 42.9% | 0.1 | 3-3-1 | 0-1 | 6-1 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 9 | 5-4 | 3-4-2 | 42.9% | -0.2 | 3-4-2 | — | 5-4 |
| New England Patriots | 9 | 5-4 | 3-4-2 | 42.9% | -0.6 | 2-2-1 | 1-2-1 | 4-1 |
| Miami Dolphins | 8 | 1-7 | 3-4-1 | 42.9% | -1.8 | — | 3-4-1 | — |
| New York Jets | 9 | 2-7 | 3-4-2 | 42.9% | -1.8 | 1-2 | 2-2-2 | 1-2 |
| Houston Texans | 8 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 37.5% | -1.1 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 |
| Carolina Panthers | 8 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 37.5% | -2.1 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| New Orleans Saints | 8 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 37.5% | -2.6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 9 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 33.3% | -1.7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 9 | 4-5 | 2-6-1 | 25% | -6.4 | 1-3-1 | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 9 | 2-7 | 1-8 | 11.1% | -7 | 0-3 | 1-5 | 2-1 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 8 | 0-8 | 0-7-1 | 0% | -9.5 | 0-2 | 0-5-1 | 0-2 |
| Team average | 8.6 | — | — | 49.5% | 0 | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-14 14:33 UTCSource: Each final graded against its close: Kelly's closing consensus, else nflverse's published closeRegular season; 137 finals graded against their closes. Rates on fewer than 5 decisions are marked small.
2026 betting results by situation (32)
How favourites, home teams and totals did in every common situation. Sorting keeps each group together.
Showing (32) of (32) · Now
| Situation | Games | Fav ATS | Fav cover% | Fav SU | Fav vs spread | Home ATS | Home cover% | Home SU | O/U | Over% | Avg total | Avg points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ||||||||||||
| Pick em to 2.5 | 30 | 16-14-0 | 53.3% | 16-14 | -0.6 | 16-13-0 | 55.2% | 16-13 | 14-16-0 | 46.7% | 43.6 | 45.3 |
| 3 to 3.5 | 48 | 27-18-3 | 60% | 32-15 | 1.7 | 19-23-2 | 45.2% | 20-23-1 | 24-24-0 | 50% | 45.6 | 46.8 |
| 4 to 6.5 | 27 | 14-13-0 | 51.9% | 22-5 | 1.8 | 10-16-0 | 38.5% | 12-14 | 14-13-0 | 51.9% | 46 | 44.7 |
| 7 to 9.5 | 24 | 7-14-3 | 33.3% | 17-7 | -1.9 | 9-11-3 | 45% | 13-10 | 15-9-0 | 62.5% | 45.5 | 46.7 |
| 10 or more | 8 | 3-5-0 | 37.5% | 6-2 | -1.1 | 2-6-0 | 25% | 5-3 | 4-4-0 | 50% | 44.5 | 44.9 |
| Total | ||||||||||||
| Under 41 | 26 | 16-9-1 | 64% | 19-7 | 3.5 | 13-12-1 | 52% | 13-13 | 10-16-0 | 38.5% | 39.3 | 38.3 |
| 41 to 43.5 | 36 | 16-19-1 | 45.7% | 24-11 | -0.5 | 14-18-1 | 43.8% | 19-13-1 | 18-18-0 | 50% | 42.5 | 42.2 |
| 44 to 46.5 | 32 | 16-14-2 | 53.3% | 21-11 | -0.2 | 11-18-2 | 37.9% | 13-18 | 19-13-0 | 59.4% | 45.6 | 47.9 |
| 47 to 49.5 | 22 | 9-12-1 | 42.9% | 14-8 | -2 | 7-13-1 | 35% | 10-11 | 12-10-0 | 54.5% | 48.4 | 51.4 |
| 50 or more | 21 | 10-10-1 | 50% | 15-6 | 1.6 | 11-8-0 | 57.9% | 11-8 | 12-9-0 | 57.1% | 52.7 | 52.9 |
| Matchup | ||||||||||||
| Division | 43 | 18-25-0 | 41.9% | 24-18 | -0.1 | 19-22-0 | 46.3% | 21-19-1 | 23-20-0 | 53.5% | 43.9 | 43.7 |
| Conference | 51 | 28-21-2 | 57.1% | 37-14 | 1.2 | 20-29-2 | 40.8% | 25-26 | 26-25-0 | 51% | 45.9 | 48.9 |
| Interconference | 43 | 21-18-4 | 53.8% | 32-11 | -0.1 | 17-18-3 | 48.6% | 20-18 | 22-21-0 | 51.2% | 45.5 | 44.6 |
| Kickoff slot | ||||||||||||
| Thursday night | 10 | 4-6-0 | 40% | 4-6 | -5.5 | 5-4-0 | 55.6% | 5-4 | 6-4-0 | 60% | 45.3 | 46.5 |
| Sunday early | 75 | 38-34-3 | 52.8% | 51-23 | 1 | 28-39-3 | 41.8% | 32-37-1 | 36-39-0 | 48% | 44.4 | 44.9 |
| Sunday late | 33 | 18-13-2 | 58.1% | 27-6 | 2.2 | 14-17-1 | 45.2% | 16-16 | 19-14-0 | 57.6% | 45.9 | 47.9 |
| Sunday night | 9 | 3-6-0 | 33.3% | 5-4 | -2.5 | 6-3-0 | 66.7% | 8-1 | 6-3-0 | 66.7% | 46.6 | 47.2 |
| Monday night | 9 | 4-5-0 | 44.4% | 5-4 | -1.5 | 3-6-0 | 33.3% | 4-5 | 4-5-0 | 44.4% | 46.9 | 47.6 |
| Wednesday | 1 | 0-0-1 | — | 1-0 | 0 | 0-0-1 | — | 1-0 | 0-1-0 | 0% | 44.5 | 23 |
| Month | ||||||||||||
| September | 48 | 23-22-3 | 51.1% | 32-16 | 0.1 | 24-20-2 | 54.5% | 28-18 | 23-25-0 | 47.9% | 44.9 | 45.7 |
| October | 60 | 25-32-3 | 43.9% | 37-22 | -1.2 | 19-34-3 | 35.8% | 24-31-1 | 33-27-0 | 55% | 45.2 | 46.3 |
| November | 29 | 19-10-0 | 65.5% | 24-5 | 4.4 | 13-15-0 | 46.4% | 14-14 | 15-14-0 | 51.7% | 45.4 | 45.5 |
| Roof | ||||||||||||
| Outdoors | 91 | 47-40-4 | 54% | 63-27 | 0.7 | 45-39-4 | 53.6% | 52-35-1 | 48-43-0 | 52.7% | 44.2 | 45 |
| Dome | 26 | 11-14-1 | 44% | 19-7 | -1.2 | 7-16-1 | 30.4% | 11-13 | 11-15-0 | 42.3% | 46.4 | 45.2 |
| Roof closed | 14 | 9-5-0 | 64.3% | 9-5 | 4.4 | 1-12-0 | 7.7% | 1-12 | 9-5-0 | 64.3% | 48.1 | 51.5 |
| Roof open | 6 | 0-5-1 | 0% | 2-4 | -6.4 | 3-2-0 | 60% | 2-3 | 3-3-0 | 50% | 47.3 | 49.8 |
| Temperature | ||||||||||||
| 55 to 74°F | 25 | 9-14-2 | 39.1% | 15-10 | -3.2 | 14-8-2 | 63.6% | 18-6 | 12-13-0 | 48% | 45.2 | 44.3 |
| 75°F or above | 19 | 10-7-2 | 58.8% | 14-5 | 1.8 | 10-7-1 | 58.8% | 10-8 | 10-9-0 | 52.6% | 44 | 46.5 |
| Indoors | 40 | 20-19-1 | 51.3% | 28-12 | 0.8 | 8-28-1 | 22.2% | 12-25 | 20-20-0 | 50% | 47 | 47.4 |
| Weeks | ||||||||||||
| Weeks 1-4 | 64 | 27-32-5 | 45.8% | 41-23 | -0.9 | 30-27-4 | 52.6% | 36-25 | 32-32-0 | 50% | 45 | 46.2 |
| Weeks 5-9 | 72 | 40-31-1 | 56.3% | 52-19 | 1.7 | 26-41-1 | 38.8% | 30-37-1 | 38-34-0 | 52.8% | 45.3 | 45.7 |
| Weeks 10-13 | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0% | 0-1 | -4.5 | 0-1-0 | 0% | 0-1 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 40.5 | 45 |
| All games (137) | 137 | 67-64-6 | 51.1% | 93-43 | 0.4 | 56-69-5 | 44.8% | 66-63-1 | 71-66-0 | 51.8% | 45.1 | 45.9 |
Data as of 2026-11-14 04:46 UTCSource: nflverse data (CC BY 4.0); Closing spread and total as nflverse publishes them (a market consensus, never one book's price)Regular season. Rates on fewer than 5 decisions are marked small. Past results only.