Broncos 18, Patriots 12
Final: Broncos 18, Patriots 12 at Gillette Stadium. The Broncos covered the closing spread (Patriots −7). 30 points went under the 44 closing total.
- Broncos
- 18
- Patriots
- 12
- Closing spread
- Patriots −7Patriots missed
- Closing total
- 44Under
Line score (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · This game
| Team | Final | Close | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | 18 | 7 | Covered | 44 | Under |
| New England Patriots | 12 | -7 | Missed | 44 | Under |
Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close
Team comparison (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Team | Games played | EPA per play | Success rate | EPA per play allowed | Success rate allowed | Passing yards | Rushing yards | Sacks | Interceptions caught | Fumbles lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | 161 | -0.10431 | 0.38832 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| New England Patriots | 161 | -0.00421 | 0.46112 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| League average | 16 | 0.031969 | 0.453 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.
Unit against unit (10)
Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Stat | Offense | Off rank | Defense faced | Def rank | NFL avg | Rank gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos offense against Patriots defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | -0.104 | 31 | — | — | 0.031969 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.388 | 32 | — | — | 0.452625 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Patriots offense against Broncos defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | -0.004 | 21 | — | — | 0.031969 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.461 | 12 | — | — | 0.452625 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Injuries (15)
Showing (15) of (15) · Latest team reports
| Player | Team | Pos | Status | Injury | Practice | Changed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alijah Vera-Tucker | NE | G | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Dell Pettus | NE | SAF | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Eyioma Uwazurike | DEN | DT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jonah Elliss | DEN | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Julian Hill | NE | TE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Khalil Jacobs | NE | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Levelle Bailey | DEN | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Matt Henningsen | DEN | DE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Michael Deiter | DEN | C | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Mike Onwenu | NE | G | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Myles Montgomery | NE | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Quintayvious Hutchins | NE | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| RJ Harvey | DEN | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Romeo Doubs | NE | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Tyler Badie | DEN | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
Source: Injury status from team reports
Questions (4)
Who won Broncos vs Patriots?
Broncos 18, Patriots 12 at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, October 18, 2020.
Did the Broncos cover the spread?
Yes. The closing spread was Patriots −7 at Kelly's consensus.
Did Broncos vs Patriots go over the total?
No. 30 points against a 44 closing total.
What is the Broncos vs Patriots all-time record?
The Patriots lead 2-1 in the (3) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.