Patriots 33, Dolphins 27
Final: Patriots 33, Dolphins 27 at Hard Rock Stadium. The Patriots covered the closing spread (Dolphins −1.5). 60 points went over the 43.5 closing total.
- Patriots
- 33
- Dolphins
- 27
- Closing spread
- Dolphins −1.5Dolphins missed
- Closing total
- 43.5Over
Line score (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · This game
| Team | Final | Close | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | 33 | 1.5 | Covered | 43.5 | Over |
| Miami Dolphins | 27 | -1.5 | Missed | 43.5 | Over |
Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close
Team comparison (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Team | Games played | EPA per play | Success rate | EPA per play allowed | Success rate allowed | Passing yards | Rushing yards | Sacks | Interceptions caught | Fumbles lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | 171 | 0.1571 | 0.4833 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miami Dolphins | 171 | -0.01622 | 0.42025 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| League average | 17 | 0.005844 | 0.440 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.
Unit against unit (10)
Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Stat | Offense | Off rank | Defense faced | Def rank | NFL avg | Rank gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots offense against Dolphins defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | 0.157 | 1 | — | — | 0.005844 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.483 | 3 | — | — | 0.4395 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Dolphins offense against Patriots defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | -0.016 | 22 | — | — | 0.005844 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.42 | 25 | — | — | 0.4395 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Injuries (12)
Showing (12) of (12) · Latest team reports
| Player | Team | Pos | Status | Injury | Practice | Changed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alijah Vera-Tucker | NE | G | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Cole Turner | MIA | TE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| De'Von Achane | MIA | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Dell Pettus | NE | SAF | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Julian Hill | NE | TE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Khalil Jacobs | NE | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Mike Onwenu | NE | G | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Myles Montgomery | NE | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Quintayvious Hutchins | NE | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Rene Konga | MIA | DE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Romeo Doubs | NE | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Ronnie Harrison | MIA | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
Source: Injury status from team reports
Questions (4)
Who won Patriots vs Dolphins?
Patriots 33, Dolphins 27 at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, September 14, 2025.
Did the Patriots cover the spread?
Yes. The closing spread was Dolphins −1.5 at Kelly's consensus.
Did Patriots vs Dolphins go over the total?
Yes. 60 points against a 43.5 closing total.
What is the Patriots vs Dolphins all-time record?
The Dolphins lead 9-6 in the (15) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.