Patriots 10, Broncos 7
Final: Patriots 10, Broncos 7 at Empower Field at Mile High. The Broncos covered the closing spread (Broncos +3.5). 17 points went under the 43.5 closing total.
- Patriots
- 10
- Broncos
- 7
- Closing spread
- Broncos +3.5Broncos covered
- Closing total
- 43.5Under
Line score (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · This game
| Team | Final | Close | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | 10 | -3.5 | Missed | 43.5 | Under |
| Denver Broncos | 7 | 3.5 | Covered | 43.5 | Under |
Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close
Team comparison (2)
Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Team | Games played | EPA per play | Success rate | EPA per play allowed | Success rate allowed | Passing yards | Rushing yards | Sacks | Interceptions caught | Fumbles lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos | 171 | 0.04810 | 0.44116 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| New England Patriots | 171 | 0.1571 | 0.4833 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| League average | 17 | 0.005844 | 0.440 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.
Unit against unit (10)
Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season
| Stat | Offense | Off rank | Defense faced | Def rank | NFL avg | Rank gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots offense against Broncos defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | 0.157 | 1 | — | — | 0.005844 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.483 | 3 | — | — | 0.4395 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Broncos offense against Patriots defense | ||||||
| EPA per play | 0.048 | 10 | — | — | 0.005844 | Locked |
| Success rate | 0.441 | 16 | — | — | 0.4395 | Locked |
| Explosiveness | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Pass EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
| Rush EPA per play | — | — | — | — | — | Locked |
Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.
Injuries (15)
Showing (15) of (15) · Latest team reports
| Player | Team | Pos | Status | Injury | Practice | Changed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alijah Vera-Tucker | NE | G | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Dell Pettus | NE | SAF | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Eyioma Uwazurike | DEN | DT | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Jonah Elliss | DEN | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Julian Hill | NE | TE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Khalil Jacobs | NE | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Levelle Bailey | DEN | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Matt Henningsen | DEN | DE | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Michael Deiter | DEN | C | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Mike Onwenu | NE | G | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Myles Montgomery | NE | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Quintayvious Hutchins | NE | LB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| RJ Harvey | DEN | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Romeo Doubs | NE | WR | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
| Tyler Badie | DEN | RB | Injured reserve | — | — | — |
Source: Injury status from team reports
Questions (4)
Who won Patriots vs Broncos?
Patriots 10, Broncos 7 at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, January 25, 2026.
Did the Patriots cover the spread?
No. The closing spread was Broncos +3.5 at Kelly's consensus.
Did Patriots vs Broncos go over the total?
No. 17 points against a 43.5 closing total.
What is the Patriots vs Broncos all-time record?
The Patriots lead 2-1 in the (3) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.