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Kelly

Patriots 24, Falcons 23

Atlanta Falcons (3-4) at New England Patriots (6-2)Gillette Stadium

Final: Patriots 24, Falcons 23 at Gillette Stadium. The Falcons covered the closing spread (Patriots −5.5). 47 points went over the 45.5 closing total.

Falcons
23
Patriots
24
Closing spread
Patriots −5.5Patriots missed
Closing total
45.5Over

Line score (2)

Showing (2) of (2) · This game

TeamFinalCloseATSTotalO/U
Atlanta Falcons235.5Covered45.5Over
New England Patriots24-5.5Missed45.5Over

Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by Kelly; Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close

Team comparison (2)

Showing (2) of (2) · Totals · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

TeamGames playedEPA per playSuccess rateEPA per play allowedSuccess rate allowedPassing yardsRushing yardsSacksInterceptions caughtFumbles lost
New England Patriots1710.15710.4833———————
Atlanta Falcons171-0.022240.43718———————
League average170.0058440.440———————

Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.

Points, third-down and red-zone rates, penalties and ATS beside the ranks wait for the engine’s game.team_compare view.

Unit against unit (10)

Showing (10) of (10) · This season, ranks of 32 · Compared with NFL teams in the same season

StatOffenseOff rankDefense facedDef rankNFL avgRank gap
Falcons offense against Patriots defense
EPA per play-0.02224——0.005844Locked
Success rate0.43718——0.4395Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked
Patriots offense against Falcons defense
EPA per play0.1571——0.005844Locked
Success rate0.4833——0.4395Locked
Explosiveness—————Locked
Pass EPA per play—————Locked
Rush EPA per play—————Locked

Data as of 2026-11-15Each season's line from the source Kelly serves first by precedence (nflverse, kelly, balldontlie, cfbd), else the sum of its games.At least 1 games (min_sample).Stat catalogue 1.0.0; a missing value is not zero, and games without it are left out of its total.

Injuries (18)

Showing (18) of (18) · Latest team reports

PlayerTeamPosStatusInjuryPracticeChanged
Alijah Vera-TuckerNEGInjured reserve———
Brian RobinsonATLRBInjured reserve———
Cameron WilliamsATLOTInjured reserve———
Carter WarrenATLOTInjured reserve———
Da'Shawn HandATLDEInjured reserve———
Dell PettusNESAFInjured reserve———
JD BertrandATLLBInjured reserve———
Jalon WalkerATLLBInjured reserve———
Julian HillNETEInjured reserve———
Khalil JacobsNELBInjured reserve———
Michael JerrellATLOTInjured reserve———
Mike OnwenuNEGInjured reserve———
Myles MontgomeryNERBInjured reserve———
Quintayvious HutchinsNELBInjured reserve———
Romeo DoubsNEWRInjured reserve———
Ryan HayesATLOTInjured reserve———
Samson EbukamATLDEInjured reserve———
Trey SermonATLRBInjured reserve———

Source: Injury status from team reports

Questions (4)

Who won Falcons vs Patriots?

Patriots 24, Falcons 23 at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, November 2, 2025.

Did the Patriots cover the spread?

No. The closing spread was Patriots −5.5 at Kelly's consensus.

Did Falcons vs Patriots go over the total?

Yes. 47 points against a 45.5 closing total.

What is the Falcons vs Patriots all-time record?

The Patriots lead 2-0 in the (2) meetings Kelly holds, playoffs included.