Patriots at Bears odds and line history
Market board (6)
Showing (6) of (6) · Kelly consensus
| Market | Line | Price | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | |||
| Moneyline · Bears | — | -1,321 | Won |
| Moneyline · Patriots | — | 658 | Lost |
| Spread | |||
| Spread · Bears | -6.5 | 185 | Lost |
| Spread · Patriots | 6.5 | -269 | Won |
| Total | |||
| Total · Over | 48.5 | 130 | Won |
| Total · Under | 48.5 | -174 | Lost |
Data as of 2026-10-23Source: Kelly consensus of US sportsbooks (median line, then the sharp-weighted price)Consensus: the median line, then the sharp-weighted price at that line.
Line history (69)
Bears spread
Kelly consensus of 5 US sportsbooks
Showing (69) of (69) · Every consensus change
| Time | Market | From | To | Change | Books | Moved first |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16T15:08:31+00:00 | Total | — | 50.5 | — | 2 | Locked |
| 2026-10-16T15:08:31+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | — | -129 | — | 3 | Locked |
| 2026-10-16T15:08:31+00:00 | Spread (Bears) | — | -2.5 | — | 5 | Locked |
| 2026-10-17T15:08:25+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -129 | -128 | 1 | 4 | Locked |
| 2026-10-17T15:08:26+00:00 | Total | 50.5 | 50 | -0.5 | 4 | Locked |
| 2026-10-18T15:07:55+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -128 | -127 | 1 | 5 | Locked |
| 2026-10-19T10:52:38+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -127 | -163 | -36 | 10 | Locked |
| 2026-10-19T10:52:38+00:00 | Spread (Bears) | -2.5 | -3 | -0.5 | 7 | Locked |
| 2026-10-19T15:08:38+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -163 | -161 | 2 | 11 | Locked |
| 2026-10-20T15:08:41+00:00 | Total | 50 | 50.5 | 0.5 | 11 | Locked |
| 2026-10-20T15:08:41+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -161 | -160 | 1 | 11 | Locked |
| 2026-10-21T14:15:19+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -160 | -159 | 1 | 11 | Locked |
| 2026-10-21T20:39:18+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -159 | -160 | -1 | 11 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T08:53:12+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -160 | -161 | -1 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T12:21:06+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -161 | -160 | 1 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T16:06:31+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -160 | -159 | 1 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T17:11:17+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -159 | -158 | 1 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T17:14:04+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -158 | -159 | -1 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T17:14:52+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -159 | -157 | 2 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T17:21:22+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -157 | -156 | 1 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T17:44:15+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -156 | -155 | 1 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T17:46:30+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -155 | -156 | -1 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T20:12:17+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -156 | -155 | 1 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T20:13:53+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -155 | -156 | -1 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T22:02:53+00:00 | Total | 50.5 | 51 | 0.5 | 7 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T22:05:17+00:00 | Total | 51 | 50.5 | -0.5 | 6 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T22:25:12+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -156 | -158 | -2 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T22:36:24+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -158 | -159 | -1 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T22:39:49+00:00 | Total | 50.5 | 51 | 0.5 | 7 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T22:46:51+00:00 | Total | 51 | 50.5 | -0.5 | 6 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T22:47:41+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -159 | -158 | 1 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T22:48:54+00:00 | Total | 50.5 | 51 | 0.5 | 7 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T23:08:54+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -158 | -156 | 2 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-22T23:40:59+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -156 | -155 | 1 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T00:02:05+00:00 | Total | 51 | 50.5 | -0.5 | 6 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T00:10:28+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -155 | -154 | 1 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T00:11:17+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -154 | -153 | 1 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T00:22:29+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -153 | -182 | -29 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T00:26:55+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -182 | -195 | -13 | 12 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T00:26:55+00:00 | Spread (Bears) | -3 | -3.5 | -0.5 | 4 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T00:34:55+00:00 | Total | 50.5 | 49.5 | -1 | 4 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T00:34:55+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -195 | -251 | -56 | 9 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T00:34:55+00:00 | Spread (Bears) | -3.5 | -5.5 | -2 | 6 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T00:36:35+00:00 | Total | 49.5 | 48.5 | -1 | 4 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T00:36:35+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -251 | -247 | 4 | 9 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T00:36:55+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -247 | -246 | 1 | 9 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T00:37:41+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -246 | -250 | -4 | 9 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T00:38:25+00:00 | Total | 48.5 | 48 | -0.5 | 2 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T00:38:25+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -250 | -246 | 4 | 9 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T01:38:17+00:00 | Total | 48 | 51 | 3 | 2 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T01:38:17+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -246 | -452 | -206 | 9 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T01:38:17+00:00 | Spread (Bears) | -5.5 | -8.5 | -3 | 5 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T02:02:16+00:00 | Total | 51 | 59.5 | 8.5 | 3 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T02:02:16+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -452 | -308 | 144 | 9 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T02:02:16+00:00 | Spread (Bears) | -8.5 | -5.5 | 3 | 7 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T02:04:39+00:00 | Total | 59.5 | 58.5 | -1 | 4 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T02:04:39+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -308 | -315 | -7 | 9 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T02:18:33+00:00 | Total | 58.5 | 61.5 | 3 | 8 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T02:18:33+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -315 | -615 | -300 | 9 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T02:18:33+00:00 | Spread (Bears) | -5.5 | -7.5 | -2 | 5 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T02:27:56+00:00 | Total | 61.5 | 64.5 | 3 | 5 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T02:27:56+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -615 | -257 | 358 | 9 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T02:27:56+00:00 | Spread (Bears) | -7.5 | -2.5 | 5 | 6 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T03:02:32+00:00 | Total | 64.5 | 54.5 | -10 | 7 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T03:02:32+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -257 | -371 | -114 | 9 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T03:02:32+00:00 | Spread (Bears) | -2.5 | -5.5 | -3 | 8 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T03:11:22+00:00 | Total | 54.5 | 48.5 | -6 | 2 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T03:12:13+00:00 | Moneyline (Bears) | -371 | -1321 | -950 | 8 | Locked |
| 2026-10-23T03:12:13+00:00 | Spread (Bears) | -5.5 | -6.5 | -1 | 5 | Locked |
Data as of 2026-10-23Source: Kelly consensus of US sportsbooks (median line, then the sharp-weighted price)
Betting results (10)
Showing (10) of (10) · This season, before this game
| Situation | G | W-L | ATS | Cover % | O/U | Over % | Avg vs spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | |||||||
| All games | 6 | 4-2 | 3-1-2 | 75% | 3-3 | 50% | 3.5 |
| Home | 3 | 3-0 | 2-0-1 | 100% | 2-1 | 66.7% | 12.3 |
| Road | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1-1 | 50% | 1-2 | 33.3% | -5.3 |
| Favourite | 3 | 3-0 | 2-0-1 | 100% | 2-1 | 66.7% | 12.3 |
| Underdog | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1-1 | 50% | 1-2 | 33.3% | -5.3 |
| Chicago Bears | |||||||
| All games | 6 | 4-2 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 2-4 | 33.3% | 3.5 |
| Home | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 0-3 | 0% | 6.8 |
| Road | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 2-1 | 66.7% | 0.2 |
| Favourite | 5 | 3-2 | 3-2-0 | 60% | 2-3 | 40% | -0.5 |
| Underdog | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0-1 | 0% | 23.5 |
Data as of 2026-11-15Source: Closing lines: Kelly consensus close, else nflverse's published close; Data from nflverse (CC BY 4.0), changed by KellyPast results against the closing number, so this table sorts by record.